October 2026 general discussion

[jlauderdal]

13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We grow and bloom and GWLH

https://imgur.com/a/yaDsc3o

No damage from last night?

[Damage In Tolland]

18 minutes ago, jlauderdal said:

No damage from last night?

From 34.2 ?? Freeze and frost free at 1K on the hilltop 

[Torch Tiger]

 

[klw]

On 10/17/2026 at 6:59 AM, Cyclone-68 said:

Different subject but Albert annoyed the hell out of me because he always said “thundershowers” in his forecasts instead of “thunderstorms” And to this day you never see or hear anyone using that  

About 20 or 25 years back I went to the NE Weather Conference and one of the presenters mentioned that there is no such thing as a thundershower, just thunderstorms.  My reaction then as it is today is that is a Thundershower is a thunderstorm that you can only hear but hits the next town over.  A thunderstorm hits you.

Not scientific but it is how I differentiated them.

[dryslot]

9 hours ago, dendrite said:

Mins

23.2F here this morning.

[Cyclone-68]

5 hours ago, vortex95 said:

Yes, I do not like that term either.  "Thunderstorm" is best b/c it means w/ or w/o precip which covers it all b/c how many time do you not get a drop of rain but you get LTG/T that sends @weatherwiz and @ineedsnow bouncing off the walls!?  Or @CoastalWxgetting a jolt from his PC b/c of an isolated +CG hits very close that scares the bejesus out of him, but it is sunny out?

And when you get to desert regions, many tstms never get a drop to the ground since it is all virga, yet the LTG/T is nasty!

And when you say "thunder," that by default means convective, even when it is from CSI or embedded in a large area of synoptic precip (convective elements), so the precip is showery in nature and thus "showers" attached to thunder is redundant.

I bet @CoastalWx still uses "thunderhead" to describe a CB!   Also, "heat lightning!"  Or he may go, "why is is called a "funnel cloud" when it always does not look like a funnel!" 

To be fair to the other guys I might be as big a “thunder weenie” as they are lol

[Cyclone-68]

47 minutes ago, klw said:

About 20 or 25 years back I went to the NE Weather Conference and one of the presenters mentioned that there is no such thing as a thundershower, just thunderstorms.  My reaction then as it is today is that is a Thundershower is a thunderstorm that you can only hear but hits the next town over.  A thunderstorm hits you.

Not scientific but it is how I differentiated them.

This is the kind of validation I need more of in my life lol 

[HoarfrostHubb]

10 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Worcester couldn't even make freezing last night.   

26 already 35 though.   

Still air leaf fall flitting through the lateral morning sun rays... always a neat effect.  

It was stunning this morning when I walked the dog. Totally still and silent other than the leaves hitting the ground 

[Typhoon Tip]

It’s like trying to trend into a warm week

Wait next week

[powderfreak]

Frosty cars when taking the dog out for her final walk.

It seems like we will be getting a steady diet of radiational nights even if thicknesses are high.  Large diurnal trends this time of year. 

[Brewbeer]

36/35, cars getting frosty here too

[WxWatcher007]

To be clear, our coastal a few weeks ago never became subtropical, but I do find this pretty funny.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Oct 18 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Off the East Coast of the United States:
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area is developing along a 
frontal boundary tonight off the southeast coast of the United 
States. This low is likely to move slowly and erratically over the 
next couple of days while it initially remains non-tropical. Later 
this week, if the system stays over the Gulf Stream, environmental 
conditions could become more conducive for the low to develop some 
subtropical characteristics. A subtropical cyclone could form over 
the second half of this week as the system begins moving generally 
northeastward, offshore of the eastern United States. Regardless of 
development, this system will cause high winds, coastal flooding, 
and dangerous surf along portions of the U.S. East Coast. Please 
consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service 
offices and the Weather Prediction Center for more information, 
along with High Seas Forecasts and Storm Warnings issued by the 
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Papin

[Modfan2]

A little warmer this am, only down to 32F so far

[kdxken]

29°. Too early in the season.

[kdxken]

I'll take the weather underground's forecast. 

 

[Great Snow 1717]

Back to back "vanishing" freezes here in Methuen ..lol

[jbenedet]

The early freezes are right up there with my least favorite weather in New England. Global warming hasn’t helped us in this regard, even though we won’t see first white rain flakes until December 

[Chrisrotary12]

Will it even snow this year?

[Damage In Tolland]

No rain till mid Nov?

[rclab]

3 hours ago, kdxken said:

I'll take the weather underground's forecast. 

 

Good morning kdxken. The accu weather forecast for Centrak Park for those days, other than for temperature, is not that far off …. Except ….  For the 29th and 30th. The prediction is for 2.49 inches of rain between those two days. Possibly a nor’easter? I’m sure it will change I just found it interesting, even 10 days out. Stay well, as always …..

 

[dendrite]

Min 29.0°

Atmospherically fake. Vegetatively real.

[kdxken]

33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

No rain till mid Nov?

We can hope

[dendrite]

38 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

No rain till mid Nov?

 

[SouthCoastMA]

Ha forgot there was a Bob Dylan cameo in that

[Typhoon Tip]

2 hours ago, jbenedet said:

The early freezes are right up there with my least favorite weather in New England. Global warming hasn’t helped us in this regard, even though we won’t see first white rain flakes until December 

yeah... I was just remarking about this over the ENSO thread this morning.

It's anomalously cold relative to pattern - which is interesting ... if one can keep personal druthers out of the perspectives. 

We've observed a trough scooting quickly through Ontario a couple of times, but by and large ... we've been above normal hydrostats  over much of the CONUS below the 45th parallel, yet ... we are getting frost and freeze headlines and lows in the upper 20s. 

-the longer term temperature anomaly distribution still probably end up decimals warmer than normal. That's been a leitmotif going back ... years actually.  We end up above normal against the 30 year base while being below normal relative to daily metrics like the pattern. 

It's like we've been getting "cheated" from realizing a stunningly warm October along 80W over the continent, stunningly warm a lot of months, due to "pinch low" phenomenon and/or sneaky llv cool inserts, despite the fact that a truer polar branch of the westerlies (jet) has been situating N-W.

It's interesting that we just cannot seem to sustain a westerly lower tropospheric momentum under this July setting ... like in Julys either!  This whilst frost advisories underneath ...

[tamarack]

4 hours ago, kdxken said:

I'll take the weather underground's forecast. 

 

October is the wettest month here, currently 5.39" and the only month over 5".  Thru today we've had 1.95".  After April/May/June came in a bit AN, we've gone back to dry.