Modfan2
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Everything posted by Modfan2
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Here’s my scientific take on winter with some observations from nature
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Rainfall totals out of the NOAA Melbourne office. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=PNSMLB&e=202210022213&fbclid=IwAR1mobS9xiS8nwayIhwO4rEsBRprzkKA2CMjMfIXj7GS0TWOHdJQy_z-KI8
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Just like with Hurricane Michael, house with Metal Roofs can withstand a beating unlike shingle roofs
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Florida Power and Light outages;
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We are still getting decent TS gust here in Stuart after 6+ inches of rain and a few Tornado warnings Tuesday night into Wednesday; nothing compared to SW FL.
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Nice, Kev needs to wear this shirt for the next G2G
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Had a few tornado warnings to deal with overnight here in SE FL, heavy rain band now; nothing compared to what SW FL is going to deal with.
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Looking on radar like it’s heading to Venice/Bradenton area
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Looks like it’s heading N; when is the right turn projected?
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I would agree with you, just the west edge seems to be eroding which is concerning
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That’s what I was thinking earlier, radar out of Key West appeared to show dry air working in from west side
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Question, watching the Melbourne radar, echoes pushing S to N seem to be dying out just north of West Palm; is there drier air coming from N?
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Could be just the radar, but does it look like dry air is getting wrapped into the back side?
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I think this will end up between Venice and Sarasota
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Where?
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Tropical Storm warnings expanded here in SE FL
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Under a Tropical Storm warning now in SE FL.
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Nice plot Ray; while at this moment I am too far east (pretty much on the I 95 sign above Palm Beach) for any major impacts other than rain and some breezy weather at this point.
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5am cone from NHC
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During Irma parts of St Lucie County and neighboring Indian River counties received 21” and there was quite a bit of flooding.
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Plenty of members show a Tampa area hit, not sure I would call that “wishcasting”. Nothing is off the table at this point.
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Most all models except GFS are around Tampa area
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5am cone from NHC, S FL currently out of the cone; this can change.
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Would a slower development mean a more westerly track into the Gulf?
