Winter Storm Threat Feb 22-24th

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[WeatherGeek2025]

HUGE HIT HUGE HIT

[nycsnow]

Gfs bomb 

[BoulderWX]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

HUGE HIT HUGE HIT

Please stop dude. We all are begging you to post less. It’s one run and there’s been zero consistency. 

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[mob1]

Looks awesome 

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[nycsnow]

Just now, mob1 said:

Looks awesome 

Not sure if it comes north hope so

[Jersey_Snowhole]

Sorry when only the 06z & 18z gfs show the changes you want tread with caution red flag 

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[nycsnow]

Step in right direction 

[nycsnow]

Just now, Jersey_Snowhole said:

Sorry when only the 06z & 18z gfs show the changes you want tread with caution red flag 

12z trended better 

[MJO812]

Just now, Jersey_Snowhole said:

Sorry when only the 06z & 18z gfs show the changes you want tread with caution red flag 

12z also showed improvements. 

[MJO812]

Gfs looks great

[Stormlover74]

1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

Not sure if it comes north hope so

Advisory level up here. Crushed 50 to 100 miles south

[Brian5671]

3 minutes ago, BoulderWX said:

Please stop dude. We all are begging you to post less 

Terrible analysis by him....huge hit for VA maybe-heads east.   It's also an off hour run the GFS at 18z is famous for crazy solutions

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[nycsnow]

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

Advisory level up here. Crushed 50 to 100 miles south

Maryland might get 3 feet this run. I rather a miss than that lmfao

[snowman19]

4 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

HUGE HIT HUGE HIT

No it’s not. For the love of God, stop this

[Stormlover74]

Just now, Brian5671 said:

Terrible analysis by him....huge hit for VA maybe-heads east.   It's also an off hour run the GFS at 18z is famous for crazy solutions

And he hates every model but the aifs

[NEG NAO]

Just now, nycsnow said:

Maryland might get 3 feet this run. I rather a miss than that lmfao

we know that won't verify

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[Wxbear25]

When I say the orientation of the wave, this is exactly what I mean. The s/w rounding the trough is much faster to round the axis turning it negative earlier

the big risk you run with the GFS-type solution is it cutting off and meandering too far south which, seeing the frames later, is exactly what it does

get that to occur 75-100 miles north and then you’re talking massive hit

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[Jersey_Snowhole]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

12z also showed improvements. 

Would like to have the euro on board. 18z gfs paints me with 21” I can tell you right now I don’t buy it but that just my opinion hopefully I am proven wrong 

[winterwarlock]

Its still being pushed east southeast. Thats where it wants go

 

Read the tealeaves

[NJwx85]

The 18z GFS is not a huge hit LOL, but it is a tick further North than the 12z run was. It would be enough for a low end warning level storm for most. 

 

[SACRUS]

 

2/18 18z GFS  

 

qpf

 

[nycsnow]

1 minute ago, snowman19 said:

No it’s not. For the love of God, stop this

Where is the gfs not a huge hit verbatim?