IowaStorm05 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 10 hours ago, radarman said: Poor Tahoe is in kind of rough shape after the huge Dec. The base at Alpine had 2" for January. 6" at 8k'. And a lot of warm California sunshine. Probably decent bumps at least. When I was a teen I was jealous of Tahoe and looked up to the Sierra as the ultimate snow utopia. 1999-2000 I was 15, I was teased about my snow obsession. It was a pretty decent winter for the mountains above 5500 feet, but terrible for Reno and Sparks, Sparks at 4400 feet probably managed about 5 inches of snow for that winter, spaced out over 4 to 5 one-inch events, which is very below normal but was typical for a few years 1999-2001. As I have gotten older I have observed and studies more years than those, and have come to realize that the middle and southern Sierra is in all actuality unreliable for heavy snow. When they get it THEY GET IT but there are some years where Lake Level at Lake Tahoe only pulls together 40-80 inches for the season. Do note, that the West shore of the lake sees 3 times as much snow as the East shore despite the distance being several miles, due to the rain shadow that is cast by the Sierra Crest just west of the lake. You think I am concerned about the SE Massachusetts coast failing to break 1 inch in a bad winter? Oh think again. With modeled predictions of global warming, the Sierra is poised to suffer massive losses in snowfall and I have zero doubt that by the late 21st century, Reno and Sparks will experience not just one or two winters without measurable snow, but that it will happen again and again all the time! The Sierra winters are not dictated by the same influences that New England is. New England is situated in a continental influence and derives its cold air from Canada. But the Sierra is dependent on atmospheric HEIGHTS entirely for getting low enough "Snow Levels" to bring snow to its altitudes because it is adjacent to the Pacific Ocean, which will be much less forgiving of increases in global temperature. The lack of Continental/Radiational cooling is why the far west is so badly exposed to the impacts of climate change, prompting concern that these mountain ranges will become relatively snowless in bad years. Cold air already struggles to make it far enough south to reach the West Coast on some years, so maybe you just end up with multiple years where you got high average snow levels... The kind of storms that will bring rain below 8000 feet and stuff. Then throw in the region's penchant for multi-year droughts, and the odds really start working against you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 -1F again. My dog is hating this 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 26 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: -1F again. My dog is hating this One more on Saturday and hopefully it's the last of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 -6. Yet another day colder than -5. I count 9 of them in 3 weeks with 5 at -10 or colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: Speaking of the LR, I love this look for February Neg EPO supplying the cold. Just enough SE ridge to avoid suppression. To me I see a warmer 1994 here. Also, I truly believe the Negative NAO hurt us in December as it created compression between the SE Ridge and the -NAO. This look of course would induce cutter risk, however with cutters you get bootleg blocking AND introduce weak trailing wave opportunities. I believe we would have had more snow with a positive NAO in December. Finally, and I will admit I do not fully understand this, but we will have shorter wavelengths in second half of February. I am thinking this would mute the effects of a deep RNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Clear, -7°F this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 -1 clear sparkling snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Cold cold cold. I agree this round of -pna will work better. By march 1 will be talking about this as a close to top tier winter. Long cold stretch, great pack, and snowier as it went along. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 0.3° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 -3.1⁰, ready for a warmup cool ice on everything this morning. Made it look very arctic like 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 -2.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 -3 was the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 hours ago, mahk_webstah said: -6. Yet another day colder than -5. I count 9 of them in 3 weeks with 5 at -10 or colder. -17 here. After just one subzero morning in December, a modest -3, last month had 15 with 8 at -10 or lower. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Do we have a signal Feb 6 or 7? Or is that gone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, 512high said: Do we have a signal Feb 6 or 7? Or is that gone? Still there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4ºF was the low here in the valley overnight. While, at the same time, it was 21ºF at the top of Whiteface at 4,800ft., 35 miles west of here. I could almost see the impinging warmth looking up. We've rocketed up to 22ºF already today. Should see 30ºF for the first time in a while later this afternoon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Now back over here to discuss the 2/7 threat… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 12z GFS was close to being much bigger 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, ineedsnow said: 12z GFS was close to being much bigger Hits areas that look to miss from this upcoming event. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Hits areas that look to miss from this upcoming event. we track got the next 5 nights off perfect timing to be on vacation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 trying for storm 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 lol holy pattern reload 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: lol holy pattern reload February is going to be very active 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Interesting look for Feb 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Euro wants no part of day 6 storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Euro wants no part of day 6 storm. it was weird on the GFS...does seem like there's not enough space to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Euro wants no part of day 6 storm. Good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Good Good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 15 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Good 9 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Good 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 13 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Good I'm actually sad about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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