IowaStorm05

I want to say too that winter-related fatal crashes might have fallen in recent years and here is why I theorize this: Higher speed crashes still kill as efficiently as ever. Today’s marvelous safety designs in automobiles cannot offset laws of physics on the human body when you come to an immediate stop from 70mph, and increased distracted and reckless driving has also offset safety advances. But in winter storms most people are traveling 20 to 45 miles per hour. And it is at these velocities that if you crash, modern cars’ designs save your life when compared to the extreme hazards of steel tanks from the mid 20th century, which had razor-thin sides and doors btw, which direct all of the energy of the crash into the human body with no airbags, no side airbags, or crumple zones to slow the deceleration. In summary, crashes at 25 to 40mph used to kill people regularly in older cars. Since the 2000s, new vehicles have made crashes at these speeds much more survivable especially when side airbags and well engineered bodies entered the picture. Since modern vehicles are so good at saving lives in moderate speed crashes but still so ineffective in high speed ones, I have been known to promote some of the most unpopular ideas in the world involving reducing legal speeds by 15 per cent on two lane roads and 10 per cent on interstates just on account of how many lives would be saved if you just shaved off 20 per cent of the impact energy in higher speed crashes. No one will ever go for this. Because freedom.

The storm is here! And it’s DOA.

We may get hit by the spin-off cell from the Hartford one. Otherwise, is this it? In general, is there more energy behind this line that can fire up additional storms into the evening? I know less about convective events than winter ones, but I sense these cells are along a partly invisible line or boundary of sorts. I can’t suss out how much of this is diurnal heating driven or how much is Strictly dependent on a wave or line of energy. I know a lot more about Nevada convection events than Midwest or New England ones.

Spin off cell developed which is now looking to head this way.

What’s that mark!

That’s good. I don’t want anyone in my family to get uncle Vince-d out on the roads. That being said, I still can’t quite make out if the cell will pass to our north at IJD, or if it will hit us on its south flank, or if it does not, the convective area will pass by with us in the clear and that’s that. Either way, safety is most important.

Does that mean it might fire up to the south of the extant cell? I’m just trying to monitor my mom’s drive home on route 395 and 32 she is about to drive now from Waterford. I just didn’t want her driving out in this.

I advised my dad to take cover in west Hartford with that cell closing in there Nothing looks to be upstream for us here yet, but I expect that will easily change in a matter of minutes.

I checked out those cams and can see the precip.

I think that when it comes to thunderstorms, the haves and have nots line runs more of a SSW to NNE direction, where your location in terms of Western position is favored versus Eastern. This is compared to the snowfall rules, in which being further north, or simply being away from the South Coast, begins to favor you even if you are sort of close to the East coastline. Obviously, heading north is heading away from the sun that generates or supports the storms, in a general sense. Sure, the south coast is not favored compared to, say, West Hartford. But you’re still going to usually be much better off in Southbury CT or maybe even North Haven, than you would be in Providence County RI. some of you may already knew this without me saying, but I thought it was interesting enough to notate. The first small cumulus are starting to form near IJD area now.

RI and SE MA has never been a thunderstorm haven. Yes you do get them sometimes, but many years I remember only getting 2 good storms the whole year. I noticed a huge difference when we moved to Interior CT. I feel like, In a long term sense, the line dividing haves and have nots is drawn from Colchester CT almost directly to Woonsocket, or even Millville…and runs NNE from there but I am not as sure about where it sits in MA because I’m less familiar, except to say Braintree is a no-no. Inland RI and Inland SE MA see noticeable favor for snowfall compared to the coast. But I’m afraid that for thunderstorms, the rules are more strict and involves more of an East/West factor than the snow line does. With snow usually the south coast always is screwed, but Boston might do OK! But with thunderstorms, not so easy, those storms will be long-dead before they get anywhere near Boston. And sometimes even the south coast is favored for Tstorms compared to Providence county, if you are far enough west. I would be Southbury CT is always better than Providence Country RI for Tstorms.

Idk but I like the HRRR in general for summer events. Isn’t that why the HRRR was made?

Hope so. I am near IJD. I am generally far enough NW that we definitely get more Tstorm activity than the coast, but am I far enough West to get in on this today and tonight? Hard to say. Forecast this morning looked less enthusiastic than it did yesterday, which is not a shocker given this year so far. They are saying IJD will be about the dividing line between haves and have not chances today and tonight.

Do you like how in the middle there’s suddenly a spot that just says “TEXT”!! Like I made an error by adding a text window and just didn’t do anything with it or notice it before I wrapped up my work and sent it out. And in the southern part of the Western Sierra on the map I may have been slightly too generous. The cutoff may be more brutal but then again I’ve experienced thunderstorms in the foothills there on multiple occasions just by visiting so…

For Late August, after we get that massive volcano eruption with requisite chemical composition release.