February is upon us - pattern change is in order

[SnowHole413]

I hope the berks and southern Vermont make out well next week. I don’t even care if it’s rains over my head, I just wanna get some more riding in this year

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

55 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Better EPS run today. I think next week is probably tough for SNE (outside maybe far interior SNE) but hopefully something better past day 10ish. 

We may have to squeeze this back half into a 3 week stretch and capitalize on any opportunities....before the birds start chirping. 

[OSUmetstud]

Mike V's stuff looks pretty favorable, I thought in the extended, but it almost like the models are seeing forcing elsewhere. 

 

 

[SnowHole413]

6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We may have to squeeze this back half into a 3 week stretch and capitalize on any opportunities....before the birds begin to chirp. 

Lol I’m already hearing the birds chirpin

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Better EPS run today. I think next week is probably tough for SNE (outside maybe far interior SNE) but hopefully something better past day 10ish. 

10 days from now brings us to Feb 11....more conceivable for me, as that's just about mid month...if not then, shouldn't be long after.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, Powderboy413 said:

I hope the berks and southern Vermont make out well next week. I don’t even care if it’s rains over my head, I just wanna get some more riding in this year

I either want a torch or significant snow imby.

I'm done with the 3.5" over a month trash. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

25 minutes ago, Powderboy413 said:

Lol I’m already hearing the birds chirpin

Another 10 days, and Tip will start to pop a woody when the first dusting of snow over the windshield succumbs to thinly veiled solar irradiance under a canopy of clouds.

[JC-CT]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Another 10 days, and Tip will start to pop a woody when the first dusting of snow over the windshield succumbs to thinly veiled solar irradiance under a canopy of clouds.

So very, very true.

[snowgeek]

I need 2 weeks of snowy winter before I head to Greece 2/17-2/25. Pile it up deep and fast!!


.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

 Greenfield should be surfing the line for the next week or so, I'll take my chances though.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Another 10 days, and Tip will start to pop a woody when the first dusting of snow over the windshield succumbs to thinly veiled solar irradiance under a canopy of clouds.

Napes sunning themselves not too far off

[CapturedNature]

17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Napes sunning themselves not too far off

Meh...we'll see what happens.  I'm sure I'll be collecting sap through March and we'll do some shoveling as well.

[CoastalWx]

Weeklies are ugly. Hopefully it’s wrong.

[Damage In Tolland]

That is a furnaced snowless Rest of Feb if correct. Though my hunch is they have the MJO wrong. Especially with EPS so much colder today 

[SnowHole413]

It’s over.

[weathafella]

[MJO812]

15 minutes ago, Powderboy413 said:

It’s over.

On Feb 1 ?

Weenie

[MJO812]

28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Weeklies are ugly. Hopefully it’s wrong.

They said this month was going to rock

Weeklies suck

[Typhoon Tip]

2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Another 10 days, and Tip will start to pop a woody when the first dusting of snow over the windshield succumbs to thinly veiled solar irradiance under a canopy of clouds.

February 8th ... a date y'all have grown to loathe.  You take it out on me by making fun ... I understand that. I do. In reality, you fear it for the implications of it. 

   j/k ... but, it is the end of the perennial solar minimum... I think it's February 8th... I always thought that date was interesting for it seems to cross over into an uptick in sun's warming diurnal effectiveness, then I came to find that it was indeed the end.  The beginning I believe is November 10.  You know, it's why I like my winters front loaded.  Take advantage of the dimmed sun...

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Models couldn’t get Tuesday’s system right 5 minutes before it started.... color me skeptical of a forecast 4 weeks from now.

[dendrite]

44 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

They said this month was going to rock

Weeklies suck

All eyes turn to Punxsutawney tomorrow.

[NorEastermass128]

I know it’s the 18z...GFS....and an OP run....but man, that’s a horrible look. At least it looks like the CONUS fast forwards to spring by mid month. Cutter-cold-cutter until then. 

[512high]

48 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

They said this month was going to rock

Weeklies suck

agreed, another two weeks, I'm going for the noose!

[WinterWolf]

Tuesdays System was supposed to suck..right up to go time.  And then it turned out pretty decent-especially for the SE Mass peeps.

 

Tonight’s was on total life support yesterday and Tuesday...now a good chunk of us may get a nice thump..some may get  4-6 inches out of this.

Mondays looks sucky now(just like Tuesdays and tonight’s looked), but who knows how that will really play out??? 

And  Wednesday...we’ll thats 6 days away so we all know the caveats with those????

 

So two weeks to a month from now...I’m not believing anything those weeklies show at this juncture.  Things are changing by the hour, and day...all you need to know right there.  Sit tight..modeling is struggling in a big way...can’t trust anything a few days out, let alone a week, and two to three weeks out...forget it!

 

 

[dryslot]

18 minutes ago, dendrite said:

All eyes turn to Punxsutawney tomorrow.

Gobblers knob folk are already sipping dbbl bourbons.

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Gobblers knob folk are already sipping dbbl bourbons.

You want a prediction about the weather? You're asking the wrong Phil. I'm going to give you a prediction about this winter. It's going to be cold, it's going to be dark, and it's going to last you for the rest of your lives.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Models couldn’t get Tuesday’s system right 5 minutes before it started.... color me skeptical of a forecast 4 weeks from now.

You’ve come around lately, i like the realistic yet positive mindset. We meditate. 

[kdxken]

Kinda cool, watching the bruins and in the intro video I noticed my Brighton street! (1.05 mark) They should have used the 2015 version however

 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

February 8th ... a date y'all have grown to loathe.  You take it out on me by making fun ... I understand that. I do. In reality, you fear it for the implications of it. 

   j/k ... but, it is the end of the perennial solar minimum... I think it's February 8th... I always thought that date was interesting for it seems to cross over into an uptick in sun's warming diurnal effectiveness, then I came to find that it was indeed the end.  The beginning I believe is November 10.  You know, it's why I like my winters front loaded.  Take advantage of the dimmed sun...

Its gets a day or two earlier each year, too..it was like 2/10 last season

[Typhoon Tip]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Its gets a day or two earlier each year, too..it was like 2/10 last season

It might be 2/10. Round there