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We are hitting well into the window for December discussion. My best event of winter was on December 12th last year and I believe in 2019 it was a December event for the far Eastern areas. That was as the pattern of a very cold November bled into December. To get there this year we are going to have to count on the pattern to switch in December itself. Hints that it may, at least for a short time, as we head into the last few days of November and first week of December.
So we are wrapping up a month that say many highs (Early month Blizzard) and lows (late month TORCH) but we have survived and are in the midst of our stormiest period of the season historically. The pattern looks to be quite active as we enter the month with the PAC reigning supreme. We have a small threat later this week to start the month that could be a refresher of sorts for some and wet for others. After that we look towards 5-7th for a more significant storm coming up the coast. Details still to be ironed out on that one. Lets see where we go from here.....
Conflicting signs this morning. The first week or so looks chilly, but that could be centered over the Lakes and midwest and struggle to reach the east coast. Looks like a massive cutter around April 1, with big severe outbreak for New England, and then maybe a few days of calling behind it. Gibbs says most of the cold stays to our west and there's no risk of snow with -PNA pattern. Other circles says ridging in Greenland and it screams cold in Se Canada and backdoors..which i don't think anyone here wants. Hopefully things become clearer over the coming days. Either way..after about the 10th long range stuff signaling big warmth.