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Strong Nor'Easter/Hybrid Storm Late September 2026


Rjay
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5 minutes ago, straphanger said:

Any word on timing with this rain?  TWC is showing Saturday is more showery in nature while putting the big rains for Saturday night into Sunday.

That’s what it’s looking like. Most of the precip will fall Saturday night into Sunday 

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13 minutes ago, straphanger said:

Any word on timing with this rain?  TWC is showing Saturday is more showery in nature while putting the big rains for Saturday night into Sunday.

 

starting on eastern long island already BUT the storm is outside the benchmark and crawling will have to make a move westward  - might have showers much later tonight around NYC and eastern NJ metro

IMGv_43.jpg

GOES-EAST US PSeUdo-Color LOOP

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 I’m not saying the Euro is necessarily going to be right. But I’m passing this along because it’s objectively determined and easily available to the wx community. So fwiw:

 The new Euro ensemble (12Z) maintains the 90-100% chance that the 0Z and 6Z had for a tropical storm to form from this:

IMG_2648.thumb.webp.d1c0d3e27e3951dd3c649731d7429c80.webp

The run from just 24 hrs earlier for the same period had only just over 70% for the chance:

IMG_2647.thumb.webp.d6c92c0c5b569e551a10d4fd2df07fd8.webp

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