WxUSAF Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Going to need to expand the STW into MD quickly… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Going to need to expand the STW into MD quickly… Certainly sounds like SPC is going to issue a new box over us soon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 yep latest MCD from SPC says a downstream watch coming... that line certainly doesn't look like it's getting any weaker and the timing is pretty good since peak heating is a few hours away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 From my amateur SPC mesoanalysis skills I think that our region might get a bit screwed from the storm complex, at least when it comes to maximizing our severe threat. The best shear looks to be to the northeast of our area, alongside the best ML lapse rates. The instability gradient additionally rides right along Baltimore. Think that MD might be able to cash in but I'd be worried about the storms riding that gradient if I was in NOVA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Watch up until 5pm URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 643 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1140 AM EDT Wed Sep 2 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Maryland Northern Virginia The Eastern West Virginia Panhandle Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 1140 AM until 500 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A well-organized thunderstorm cluster should continue to pose some threat for scattered damaging winds as it moves quickly southeastward this afternoon. Occasional hail may also occur with the strongest cores. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Figure this will be an “everybody gets a warning” event? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Looks like i got my inch extension west how about the line get a little thicker now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 2 Author Share Posted September 2 The western part of the line near Bedford, PA has some of the highest echo tops and plenty of lightning. Could be a good sign for those a bit more on the fringe. Also, guidance has had runs where it had the stuff going almost south or even southwest a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Have maybe 20 min before it hits. Just warned Mr Map to save his work hahaha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 fringed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 24 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Figure this will be an “everybody gets a warning” event? If I’m in a watch then yeah…they’re just handing them out like trophies at a youth soccer tournament. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Not much gust front out ahead of it. Barely a breeze. Lots of thunder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Waiting for the shelf to emerge before I get rained on 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Not the prettiest shelf. Got dark real quick 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Pretty tame wind wise, but very electric and pouring rain. Hope yall cash in too! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Western side getting a bit fugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 2 Author Share Posted September 2 Outflow evident on radar now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Got a touch over .6" in the last 40 minutes with more rain to come. I guess an inch is possible based on radar, but that may be stretching it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tstate21 Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Storm near Glen Arm into Perry Hall likely should be tor warned or at least tor possible language in the STW at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 6 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: Western side getting a bit fugly Lack of lightning tells the tale 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 2 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Lack of lightning tells the tale Nothing severe here, but it is another Frederick downpour. Latest drought monitor is now showing only pockets of moderate drought. Extremely efficient summer in the rain dept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Looks like incoming for south of i-70 across central maryland ... now til the next hour or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Been a while for me to be staring down a guaranteed hit. I guess it's easier with storms coming from the North. Thankful for the lack of wind and lightening in the line. Need a good soaker though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Lightning pretty much died down on much of the line. Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Enhanced Risk was added on 1630z OTLK up in PA/NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Oh look. A dieing line on my doorstep. At least I got my thundershower warning lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Going to be pretty disappointing if this is it and done for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Heavy rain but nothing severe. No thunder yet either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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