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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. The GFS has some decent supercell composite parameters to our west for next Tuesday afternoon - but the timing is bad for us and it fizzles east of the mountains.
  2. From people more knowledgeable than myself - I've heard that it's not as simple as "drop the anchor = stop the boat" - and as a prior poster said - it seems they DID attempt to drop it anyway.
  3. The optimist in me would hope that even the most adamant of environmental advocates would see the economic impact of this bridge being out of commission for a long duration. Additionally, perhaps they'd see the added fossil fuel burning from trucks having to find longer alternate routes to get to/from the same spots. But optimism only gets you so far these days lol
  4. I would think they will rebuild a bridge. Right now - that's a major way people go if they can't tolerate the tunnel (other interstate option would be all the way around the western side of 695. Obviously the decision probably won't factor in people's tunnel phobias...but I imagine due to the logistics of tunneling, they will keep it as a bridge when rebuilt.
  5. A lesser impact - but for folks who do not want to drive through a tunnel - this really sucks for adding travel time to trips through this area.
  6. Absolutely this. Horrifying to imagine if this had been during the morning or evening rush hour especially.
  7. Well one thing is you can have a hard freeze or two and then have 20 degree plus departures and the averages will look like the freezes never happened.
  8. Every few runs of the GFS at least have had a storm system near the fantasy range/end of run that could be a severe producer for our area. Way too far out but has shown up a few times in varying forms.
  9. We usually flag April as "it's still too early" - but it does come with the benefit of having some really potent systems sometimes before we head into the more summery "doldrum" patterns. It seems we always have a bit of a "butter zone" in spring and fall when CAPE is healthy enough for more than just pencil thin lines of gusty showers - but with higher shear than you'd see in July.
  10. I'm torn on whether to root for a last minute freak snowstorm that makes me lose....or if I should just hope for the win at this point.
  11. I had not been checking the thread - I thought for sure I would be out after the little snow event. Goes to show you weather is a lot of guesswork...my entry was a total shot in the dark.
  12. The wind was really rocking last night for a time but it seemed mostly synoptic wind in nature rather than specifically associated with that line of showers. Hopefully before too long we start tracking spring severe!
  13. That HRRR map shows the localized DC bow very well. #derecho
  14. Line segment between Rosedale and Clay in WV looks nice!
  15. SPC playing catchup. It's June 29, 2012!!!
  16. Tracking *something* (even a pencil thin squall) would be fun and a welcome break from the winter crap-tracking. Obviously it's early for anything super beefy - but stranger things have happened. I personally think one reason severe tracking is a bit more "civil" and "tame" than the winter stuff is other than my stupid CIPS posting, we really don't look much beyond 8 days (from the D4-8 outlook) for severe. Save for a major signal, like 95% of our severe threat windows pop up within 7 days - and often more like inside 5 days. We aren't pattern hunting for weeks looking for a hint of severe. Add in that you can get a rogue pulse storm that wipes out 1000 trees and sneaky stuff is all around. Not looking forward to bugs and heat...but I sure as heck am ready to end the boredom of tracking nothing.
  17. Is there ducting going on?
  18. Not to mention their ideas can generally be found elsewhere on the interwebs as well! I just hope we don't drop into a months long doldrum of boring weather. I can deal with little stretches of beautiful weather...but prolonged stretches get BORING. Hopefully we get some nasty freezes late season to cut down on the mosquito populations
  19. Ultimately it's going to be very specific if we are talking about personalized backyard results. But area wide it doesn't get much more intense than June 29, 2012
  20. It's early, but might as well do the annual severe thread (people were talking about it in the long range thread!). I don't have the @WxWatcher007 scale handy on this computer - but I usually post it for posterity for the upcoming severe season. Anything from discussing past events to potential upcoming patterns/analogs, and discussion about more specific upcoming threats can be posted in here. A while ago we stopped doing event-specific severe threads for most things. Whether we do that or not - this is the general thread. Have at it!
  21. It almost makes me wonder if some piece of "bad" data either from an aircraft or a 0z sounding did something odd. Though I think somebody else mentioned it's been a trend for a few runs.
  22. LOVE the Crooked Crab! Tasty pizza there too!
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