Jump to content

Kmlwx

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    13,240

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    Pouring with no visibility of the structure right now unfortunately. But it looks nice on radar for sure. Somebody maybe east of me perhaps near like Fort Meade might have better luck.
  2. Kmlwx
    Now a TOR warning for me.
  3. Kmlwx
    Some rotation over me on radar.
  4. Kmlwx
    Messy radar
  5. Kmlwx
    Well seems our weenie handbook "SPC playing catch-up" checkbox could also be getting checked
  6. Kmlwx
    You know it's at least somewhat intriguing when @andyhb pops into the Mid-Atlantic forum. And as always, thanks for your insight/thoughts!
  7. Kmlwx
    WPC frontal analysis assesses that the front is north of many of us but as a stationary front.
  8. Kmlwx
    Sunshine? - Check Shear? - Present-ish CAPE? - Present-ish MLLR? - Nope. @Eskimo Joe - Thoughts?
  9. Kmlwx
    On the CoD model page - many models showed decent clearing/sunshine this morning at least when I looked at them yesterday.
  10. Kmlwx
    I'm mostly ready to "meh" this in MBY. Seems like one of those days when south of the area gets hammered, though.
  11. Kmlwx
    Sends a UH swath right through Charles County.....
  12. Kmlwx
    CSU doesn't like the threat...but CIPS is honking nicely.
  13. Kmlwx
    It's been pretty uneventful this year in our area in the severe department. I might have to stop using the WxWatcher007 blanket....it might actually be a curse.
  14. Kmlwx
    The 0z HRRR is pretty much a dud the rest of the night.
  15. Kmlwx
    Mesoanalysis show a minimum of CAPE over most of the region. I just wonder if between the MLLR to the west potentially advecting in, and any "recovery" from any other processes overnight could sustain convection into our area. But judging my CAPE alone - it seems we are cooked for surface based activity. Perhaps the MLLR and better forcing and maybe if there's a cold pool fro the activity to the west could sustain covection. Lots of question marks.
  16. Kmlwx
    Seems like a mixture of both.
  17. Kmlwx
    HRRR fires storms in the 3am timeframe.
  18. Kmlwx
    It honestly might miss MBY to the north - but yes it looks fierce!
  19. Kmlwx
    Torrential rain with the MoCo cell that just went through. Nothing noteworthy otherwise. Thinking that if the next line holds up and doens't run out of gas it will be more intense.
  20. Kmlwx
    The northern cell is still the more intense one it seems like. We'll see how this goes once they get some distance between each other.
  21. Kmlwx
    Definitely not as intense but it definitely is a clean split now on radar!
  22. Kmlwx
    The Loudoun cell looks like it might be splitting or bowing out.
  23. Kmlwx
    I thought they might go higher on the hail in that MCD. Still seems like they are a bit uncertain about the ultimate outcome.
  24. Kmlwx
    Clouds are moving in from the west. That could be a wrinkle to things...or it could provide a focus for activity perhaps.
  25. Kmlwx
    No changes for our area on the 1630z SPC D1 outlook. I guess SPC still has big questions about initiation and coverage. The subsequent HRRR runs will be interesting to see if they keep that trend of convecting in that afternoon timeframe.
×
×
  • Create New...