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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    Moving over here since no longer severe seemingly. Pouring here in Colesville again. Local stream gauge after the last round was already pushing 6ft. Guessing it dropped a bit during the lull but it should shoot back up with this line of heavy rain.
  2. Kmlwx
    A day like today with a similar vort pass but with perhaps better mid-level lapse rates and a bit more instability would have probably yielded a substantial outbreak. As it stands it was already quite impressive with the number of warnings.
  3. Kmlwx
    I drove out of the neighborhood and along Randolph from Kemp Mill east to New Hampshire before turning south and then back into my neighborhood. Nothing much of note. The canvas sign from a church along Randolph was torn off and some tiny twigs around in spots but nothing to note otherwise.
  4. Kmlwx
    The "dryslot" seems to have some activity popping in it now.
  5. Kmlwx
    LSR indicates a funnel cloud was spotted north of Holy Cross Hospital. Anybody have a link to that? I haven't been able to find it.
  6. Kmlwx
    At some point with all the messy radar look - we probably will get overturned and most stuff will just be a heavy rain threat.
  7. Kmlwx
    The cell for me has pretty broad rotation - nothing indicating tornado as it went over me - but lots of rain for sure. Radar looks....active....to say the least. Don't think we are done yet.
  8. Kmlwx
    Pouring with no visibility of the structure right now unfortunately. But it looks nice on radar for sure. Somebody maybe east of me perhaps near like Fort Meade might have better luck.
  9. Kmlwx
    Now a TOR warning for me.
  10. Kmlwx
    Some rotation over me on radar.
  11. Kmlwx
    Messy radar
  12. Kmlwx
    Well seems our weenie handbook "SPC playing catch-up" checkbox could also be getting checked
  13. Kmlwx
    You know it's at least somewhat intriguing when @andyhb pops into the Mid-Atlantic forum. And as always, thanks for your insight/thoughts!
  14. Kmlwx
    WPC frontal analysis assesses that the front is north of many of us but as a stationary front.
  15. Kmlwx
    Sunshine? - Check Shear? - Present-ish CAPE? - Present-ish MLLR? - Nope. @Eskimo Joe - Thoughts?
  16. Kmlwx
    On the CoD model page - many models showed decent clearing/sunshine this morning at least when I looked at them yesterday.
  17. Kmlwx
    I'm mostly ready to "meh" this in MBY. Seems like one of those days when south of the area gets hammered, though.
  18. Kmlwx
    Sends a UH swath right through Charles County.....
  19. Kmlwx
    CSU doesn't like the threat...but CIPS is honking nicely.
  20. Kmlwx
    It's been pretty uneventful this year in our area in the severe department. I might have to stop using the WxWatcher007 blanket....it might actually be a curse.
  21. Kmlwx
    The 0z HRRR is pretty much a dud the rest of the night.
  22. Kmlwx
    Mesoanalysis show a minimum of CAPE over most of the region. I just wonder if between the MLLR to the west potentially advecting in, and any "recovery" from any other processes overnight could sustain convection into our area. But judging my CAPE alone - it seems we are cooked for surface based activity. Perhaps the MLLR and better forcing and maybe if there's a cold pool fro the activity to the west could sustain covection. Lots of question marks.
  23. Kmlwx
    Seems like a mixture of both.
  24. Kmlwx
    HRRR fires storms in the 3am timeframe.
  25. Kmlwx
    It honestly might miss MBY to the north - but yes it looks fierce!
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