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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Nice outflow/gust front winds but pretty mundane with the precipitation itself. Still will be nice to drop the temperatures tonight...still will be soupy but it was brutal out today.
  2. I can't imagine their page is hosted onsite - but I may be wrong. Probably just coincidental.
  3. Actually even see a 75-76mph pixel on the LWX base reflectivity tilt.
  4. DCA is going to get rocked in a sec. Wind core almost heading right for the airport/Arlington. I see 70+mph pixels on LWX
  5. Any reason that it seems to be more prominent this season than prior ones? Or is that just recency bias?
  6. Our vantage point looks super similar - I could probably yell our "SNOWFAN" and you might hear it.
  7. It seems like LWX will warn a huge swath and then if an area of considerable or destructive nature shows itself they will put a warning inside of the warning. I can see it from both sides...I think they do it because of the metro corridor honestly.
  8. It's interesting because anecdotally we have seen them bring through robust lines only for relative minimums to occur in swaths of our area. But yeah - this has been an interesting season of modeling.
  9. The shape of the velocity signature sort of makes me think there's a slight chance of a little kink or enhanced area that may be prone to spin briefly. But certainly not a strong tornado risk or anything - maybe more like a gustnado if that keeps up.
  10. Next segment of the area warned now. can see the profile of the storms looking west from Odenton, MD right now. Looks cool!
  11. The timing may be after daytime heating is subsiding - it's possible that instability could become more elevated versus surface based is my assumption.
  12. The HRRR which had looked impressive for tomorrow afternoon no longer does with the 12z run - unless you are south of DC.
  13. Some of my most memorable severe days started out as SEE TEXT lol. Bring it.
  14. I was actually just thinking that this is likely more a factor of the new categorical risk areas/percentages than anything. Especially now that they can go even higher on percentages on wind...30% at day 3 is nothing to sneeze at - but I think it will become a lot more common with these new outlooks. Also no CIG hatching at all.
  15. Quite a bit of initiation happening on the higher terrain to the west.
  16. Someone (or a few people) in the next few days - will get microbursted I think. But probably not a region-wide event.
  17. HRRR actually has something coming through Central Maryland this afternoon.
  18. @Ian was always overrated - meh. All kidding - missed you, dude!
  19. Friday is getting more robust on the CSU MLP page as well - area of 30% showing up.
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