Kmlwx

The hand-wringing about it not snowing yet is always so predictable. Timing is fine...

It's filling in. It's well on schedule. Relax! Part of the column is extremely dry.

Local Storm Report

PWS says I am at 29.1/21.2 (Colesville, MD) Obviously nothing happening here as of yet. Debating napping for a few hours or just staying up all night.

Checking with the infrared thermometer on the grass and walkway shows surface/ground temps in the mid to upper 20s IMBY. Should have instant stickage. Didn't venture down to the street though. Lots of salt on it from the other day.

Probably meant the eastern part of 32 where it's a bit more E/W ish

The "Snow Squall Warning" product wasn't operational until 2018. Previously it would be handled by SWS or WWA under some conditions.

Burst of snow and down to 33.4 Little dusting trying to form on the grass and dirt.

36.3 here in Colesville. Got pretty dark but not much of note yet. Looks like a heavy burst might be on the doorstep looking at radar.

Reeeeeeeeeal subtle @mappy

You know me....always trying to be that "friendly" nudge to the influx of posters each year. I can't help it Good thing you guys never made me a mod or I'd probably go scorched Earth at times, though

@bncho friendly nudge again. Absorb info - no shame in that! We've all been enthusiastic weather folks. Your post per day average is SKYROCKETING. It's not a race to see who can post the most frequently. Every time I see you post your post count has jumped a ton. Meteorology is such a nuanced science - learned long ago that maps don't tell the full story. Arguing back and forth with long term forum members and/or mets isn't going to gain you much camaraderie on here. We are all excited about the possibility of a snowstorm - posting more times won't "lock it in" or anything. As much as we joke about jinxing things and juju - our weather forum has no impact on real world weather.

Are you using p-type maps or soundings? sometimes the p-type maps vary depending on how they are calculated (even from website to website). You need to look at soundings. It might get close if rates are vey low but look above at red tagger posts.

Are you using soundings or just p-type maps?

A dry slot is sort of a loose term to describe an area that is less hospitable to precipitation.

@stormtracker just needs to declare Storm Mode and just put us all out of our misery.

It is absolutely too early to be discussing seasonal temp results when astronomical winter started like 11 days ago. And seasonal precip too for that matter.

I mean let's just be honest - the "it's been a while" excuse holds true just a tiny bit. We'd have the same issue if we had an incoming storm after seeing 20 inches. I keep trying to stress too that I'm not trying to be "better" than the newbies. But it's totally speaking from PERSONAL EXPERIENCE. It does take some willpower to not post as much - but it pays dividends.

Or heck...maybe a minimum character/word count. While it's still possible to s**t post a longer post - it takes more effort. The difference between "Looks tasty" versus "At hour x, the shortwave responsible for our storm looks a bit stronger/better defined. Not sure what that means for the end result with the confluence, however" is night and day. And the second variation there takes almost no additional effort other than some extra keystrokes to type.

Maybe...but we can get cold season thunderstorms on the leading edge of a major pattern change as a strong/dynamic front goes through. Seemingly that's more what happened yesterday. Dynamic/strong system ushers in a regime change.

Every winter it is the same. We get an influx of users who think post quantity is more important than quality. Just remember - sometimes it's like when the principal at your school knows you...better to NOT be known by the principal as that means you're probably not getting in trouble on the regular. It's OK to lurk and learn. And I'm not saying this as an elitist. Many of us were in your same position long (or not so long) ago. Running up am absurd number of posts in a short amount of time isn't going to garner you any extra camaraderie around here.

Pretty soon we're going to have to re-visit the idea of having only designated people parse the model runs/suites

@bncho - famous last words! You are running up a fast post count since joining! Not a race Always love when rapid fire posts contrast this much

Think favored area for severe will be south of DC and maybe more like South of Manassas. But we'll see.

Blizznado warning comes next!