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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    Interesting that it's been repeatedly showing up right along the fall line for the most part.
  2. Kmlwx
    Thunder just now in the Odenton area in Maryland.
  3. Kmlwx
    Was just about to post this
  4. Kmlwx
    If nothing else - 925mb and 850mb winds are pretty impressive for a time on Sunday. GFS has 45-55mph gusts. Would at least trigger a wind advisory if that verifies.
  5. Kmlwx
    Pencil thin convective potential on Sunday? GFS gets marginal supercell composite parameters into the area. Nothing super severe - but could be a bit of "interesting" weather more than just fog and rain and sun.
  6. Kmlwx
    Flurries in Colesville!
  7. Kmlwx
    It’s also an ensemble mean and thus will appear smoothed.
  8. Kmlwx
    My less direct way of saying "read more, post less" But now not so subtle lol. I just went back and checked... The map that the person posted was the Euro ensemble control... Not even the OP
  9. Kmlwx
    Except in a few cases - as soon as somebody starts saying things like "my vast years of knowledge" I know to stop taking them seriously. The true ones that have years of experience don't flaunt them overtly like that. PSU, Bob Chill and all of the degreed mets on here don't flaunt "I'm better than you because I have decades of observation" Take notes certain people... It's like somebody simply saying as a rebuttal "I've done my research" RMPL
  10. Kmlwx
    The OP Euro is NOT the same as the Euro Control...if that's indeed what you posted. Euro control is a single member of the ensembles with no perturbed conditions initially. It's NOT the OP Euro and has little value other than being a single member of the EC ENS ETA: You literally did post the Euro ensemble control member. Not even the OP Euro run... I went back and looked. It's a single ensemble member.
  11. Kmlwx
    Big storms typically wait until the NAO is on the rebound towards neutral or positive
  12. Kmlwx
    It's Ji...
  13. Kmlwx
    This is not unique to this area. People just suck nationwide or even globally. It's very sad. Back on topic though....imagine if that tropical system and that digging trough were configured a bit differently lol
  14. Kmlwx
    It may be worth telling Ashley (I can as well) that Alan Henney (a local news/crime follower) and I run a Zello group dedicated to local breaking news and crime (as it happens essentially). It's much more focused on police/fire - but there could be some crossover there. We don't do any forwarding to authorities that much - but many of the members that monitor the channel are local reporters (freelance or pro) and many have some connection to local public safety. We have several hundred "members" - the channel is PW protected as well to prevent "riff raff" from joining. I don't think we would want to merge the groups of course - but it may be a way to coordinate or work together.
  15. Kmlwx
    Will they QC the reports? I can only imagine what this will lead to if a "friend of a friend" messages that they see a "tornado" and somebody reposts that....90% chance it's scud or other cloud phenomenon.
  16. Kmlwx
    Count me in to help in whatever way is needed. I'm in Montgomery County - but it sounds like this would not be limited to PG?
  17. Kmlwx
    BWI: 8.2" DCA: 5.5" IAD: 12.2" RIC: 1.5" Tiebreaker SBY: 1.0"
  18. Kmlwx
    There's also been some hints at some sort of big storm system (maybe tropical in origin?) going well off the coast or perhaps closer-in...but obviously it could just be the GFS doing it's weird super long range stuff.
  19. Kmlwx
    A few runs have had a signal in that timeframe recently! Let's will this one in!
  20. Kmlwx
    Recall that in 2017, I believe in the DC area it was like 80%+ total. This will be like 30% locally. So whatever perceived darkness people felt here (I was in SC for that) - it will be much less than that.
  21. Kmlwx
    Peak is 1:18pm for Colesville.
  22. Kmlwx
    Might be discernable to a solar sensor - not sure it'll be detectable in dreary conditions to the naked eye here in Maryland. Perhaps down in Texas and similar spots. Less than 50% will be obscured here. Even in places like Texas - it won't be a pitch black darkness eclipse since part of the disk will still be uncovered (ring of fire).
  23. Kmlwx
    Yup...options are to watch online, miss it, or try to drive/fly/travel to a clearer area.
  24. Kmlwx
    There is some glimmer of hope on the 6z GFS for the DC area. The problem is the clouds on that run clear out a bit too late (21z looks decent) - but by then the eclipse will be over.
  25. Kmlwx
    Latest GFS runs do *not* look promising for being able to observe this locally, unfortunately. Heck..the GFS even gets a little tongue of supercell composite parameters up into our SE zones.
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