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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    Severe thunderstorm warning SW of CHO. Very respectable radar signature with it bowing out seemingly.
  2. Kmlwx
    Perfect way for us to transition from relatively boring weather long term to excitement. Severe weather, then severe cold and winter weather chances!
  3. Kmlwx
    Yeah - gusty showers is kind of what I'm expecting. But maybe something a little more robust. I'm already 2-3 degrees off of my high of the day. Dewpoint is down in the low 40s. Then again - I guess we could say that's not too bad for Dec 31st.
  4. Kmlwx
    HRRR pushes a blob or line through between 4pm and 6/7pm west to east. Let's hope @North Balti Zen lands before it rolls through!
  5. Kmlwx
    HRRR continues to be pretty robust for this evening. I know it tends to be underwhelming in the summer/severe months - not sure if that will still be the case for cold season storm events. But...it's kind of on its own with the FV3 and some of the NSSL models.
  6. Kmlwx
    I'm actually pretty "on board" with today. I mean I'm not predicting tons of lightning for 70mph winds or wedges on the Mall. But I think we'll get some "decent" activity by December standards. We always seem to get one or two cold season events. Usually one is in Nov/Dec and then we get another sometimes in February. That weird tornado/t'storm morning a few Februarys ago was insane.
  7. Kmlwx
    Models seem to suggest you'd be okay - with the turbulent stuff maybe coming in around 5-7 or so. But stuff does tend to pop quicker than expected.
  8. Kmlwx
    The 12z FV3 Hi-Res is pretty darn robust...
  9. Kmlwx
    Feels like it was apparent at H5 fairly early on. No reason to get bummed yet. Plenty of time!
  10. Kmlwx
    I was weenie tagged in the Eastern days for being a severe thunderstorm weenie. Learned my lesson real quick!
  11. Kmlwx
    Better late than never! Thank you!
  12. Kmlwx
    With possible busy times ahead (while we aren't there quite yet - it could be here before you know it) - probably a good time to give a friendly nudge to new posters who haven't endured an active period on here. We all get excited about weather - it's a weather forum, after all! But as things get more hectic, it'll get more and more important to keep the banter-ish stuff here and the serious pattern discussion and meteorological discussion in the main threads. It's obviously a bit looser when things aren't ramped up yet - but that can change in a hurry. Above all - just remember that post counts don't mean crap. Don't post just for the sake of posting because you feel like inflating your visibility will make you a "regular" quicker. It's okay to lurk and learn. We all can get wound up in the excitement, but a the heart of it - most of us love to learn from the pros and mets and knowledgable posters. When things get serious here - last thing we need is to have to sift through pages of garbage to get to the outstanding posts that some of the veterans of AmWx have to contribute.
  13. Kmlwx
    Not expecting much - but dynamic systems can bring some good wind sometimes with a low topped line. Hopefully we are so busy with snow that we won't need to start the 2025 Severe thread until April or May
  14. Kmlwx
    @bncho - Whether it was a joke or not - I know people PW share for various streaming services all the time - but it's not a wise idea to publicly post about sharing account logins for a pay site. While WxBell can be great, there are countless free sites that are excellent - and some pay sites for models that are also very robust. Many of them also carry free trials or different tiered plans. TropicalTidbits is great for the free stuff, Pivotal Weather is a solid pay site (that's the one I use). Just some friendly guidance to a relatively new poster on the forums. Just use your best judgment!
  15. Kmlwx
    That post really did make me wonder if people think NWS/NOAA/NCEP just closes down for the holidays
  16. Kmlwx
    Cars will crash. We live in the DC/Baltimore corridor and everyone sucks at driving even on dry pavement. Only takes a few hundredths of an inch of freezing rain to cause chaos.
  17. Kmlwx
    A lot of people in the main thread need to read more and post less. It's not about post count...
  18. Kmlwx
    NS = Northern stream Meaning that he doesn't expect much southern stream involvement like energy ejecting out of the SW region. Instead, clippers and little impulses in the northern stream - and getting them to dig and time up to pass south of our latitude (hopefully).
  19. Kmlwx
    It's because of his concrete pouring, I think.
  20. Kmlwx
    Bumping because it looks like we are low odds on accumulating snow in the lowlands.
  21. Kmlwx
    If anything it'll be severe Look at CSU MLP
  22. Kmlwx
    Furthest west I've been along that general "route" is into the Shenandoah/Luray area. I've been out to Ohiopyle, PA - but yes - Davis I've never been to! Ashamed to admit!
  23. Kmlwx
    4 degrees off my high for the day now (sitting at 34.0)
  24. Kmlwx
    Think it's Stumptown Ales.
  25. Kmlwx
    It's the worst kept secret in the Mid-Atlantic subforum!!!
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