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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    Well and also discussions from NHC indicate it will get some baroclinic help. Not a "typical" system or pure tropical by any means. So if folks are looking at satellite and expecting a warm core red-meat beast - they going off of incorrect information.
  2. Kmlwx
    Apologies if posted already - getting caught up -
  3. Kmlwx
    The low is pretty far west...probably a lot of pinging if not 33 and rain
  4. Kmlwx
    I figured as much - Mondays really suck. At least we likely will have *something* tropical to track probably
  5. Kmlwx
    From yesterday? Or do you have a Time Machine to see today's 12z run?
  6. Kmlwx
    Goalposts are essentially Texas to Spain at this point
  7. Kmlwx
    Way, way, way wide right on the 6z run.
  8. Kmlwx
    In Odenton right now and it is pouring and storming. Loud thunder. Radar looks great for more.
  9. Kmlwx
    Guidance looks pretty meh for today.
  10. Kmlwx
    Extremely loud thunder in Colesville, MD
  11. Kmlwx
    Really cool to see that stuff heading almost due north.
  12. Kmlwx
    Enormous amount of lightning showing up on ENTLN and GOES Lightning Mapper on the storm form DC to College Park.
  13. Kmlwx
    This activity looks like decent lightning producer(s). I'm guessing this stuff is elevated at this time of evening, though.
  14. Kmlwx
    This is one of the weirder storm days in recent memory. Between the storm motions, the outflow not doing much in large parts of the area earlier - and now nocturnal storms.
  15. Kmlwx
    Think there was a concert at the MD Fairgrounds tonight. Guessing that is canceled at this point.
  16. Kmlwx
    Mini shower developing just S of Alexandria. Probably won't amount to much.
  17. Kmlwx
    TIAD has winds of nearly 70mph in that...
  18. Kmlwx
    Unrelated....but that radar interference seemingly keeps getting worse (or maybe it's just depending on where precip is located) but it really has hurt radar accuracy in that area right near/south of the VA/MD/DC border intersection. Results in that phantom return pattern over in southern Anne Arundel County as well.
  19. Kmlwx
    Gonna get a big, fat zero IMBY unless more develops or the Bowling Green stuff makes it up here.
  20. Kmlwx
    The Virginia cell NE of Bowling Green really blew up fast.
  21. Kmlwx
    a cell is popping up down near Bowling Green. Would be funny if that came up and got DC/Eastern MoCo.
  22. Kmlwx
    And so far not a ton to speak of along the boundary collision area. Something tells me that what will happen is eventually that narrow corridor of repeating storms/hail is going to run out of gas and just sort of gust out and just be showers. Not saying game over for areas to the east yet...but there's not unlimited CAPE. And with the boundary clearing big chunks of the area - that'll drop temps and stabilize us potentially.
  23. Kmlwx
    I guess you could discern some boundaries via surface temps since they generally have cooler air behind them. But honestly radar is probably best for that. And they are often such small scale features and overall short in duration that an hourly mesoscale analysis might not pick them up that well. But also CINH.
  24. Kmlwx
    If nothing else - this is a really classic image of outflow....
  25. Kmlwx
    And now the cell near Haymarket seems to want to become a hail producer too...man...places running from Haymarket up to like Ashburn (including LWX) are getting absolutely demolished by this stuff. Would think at some point overturning will weaken the stuff..
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