SACRUS Posted Wednesday at 01:35 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:35 PM 06z EuroAI AIFS Total QPF - Storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Wednesday at 01:36 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:36 PM 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Monday night should be better Tuesday-air traffic will be a mess for a couple of days-later is better 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Wednesday at 01:37 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:37 PM 1/21 06Z Total QPF - Storm ICON: 0.8 (120H) GFS: 1.0 - 1.2 GFS AI AIGFS: 0.8 EURO: 1.2 EURO AI AIFS: 1.1 GEFS: 0.8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Wednesday at 01:37 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:37 PM Just now, Brian5671 said: Tuesday-air traffic will be a mess for a couple of days-later is better Defintely Brunt of the storm will be Sunday but snow will linger around until late Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted Wednesday at 01:43 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:43 PM 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: The primary hanging on too long can sometimes be problematic. If I recall that was the issue with March 2001. I'm hoping for a March 2001 situation. I have to travel to Vermont on Sunday. If I had known this wasn't going to be a canonical frontloaded la nina (thanks @snowman19), I would have booked the March 7-8 weekend. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Wednesday at 01:44 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:44 PM 06Z GEFS Total QPF storm mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Wednesday at 01:46 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:46 PM 3 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: I'm hoping for a March 2001 situation. I have to travel to Vermont on Sunday. If I had known this wasn't going to be a canonical frontloaded la nina (thanks @snowman19), I would have booked the March 7-8 weekend. Drive up early Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted Wednesday at 01:51 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:51 PM 1 hour ago, Jersey_Snowhole said: Like blue wave said 90% of the time with these big storms you’re going to tend to mix. Let’s hope it comes at the end and when we dry slot. If only we had that volcano it wouldn't mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted Wednesday at 02:00 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:00 PM For reference, the frequency of measurable snow events and the highest daily snowfall. The January 24-26 period is highlighted in red to reflect the coming storm. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted Wednesday at 02:11 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:11 PM Something that not many have mentioned is that if it does snow, it will last for quite some time as it looks cold for much of next week too. That’s another rarity as it often seems like we warm up right after big storms (with some notable exceptions). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Wednesday at 02:13 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:13 PM 2 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said: Something that not many have mentioned is that if it does snow, it will last for quite some time as it looks cold for much of next week too. That’s another rarity as it often seems like we warm up right after big storms (with some notable exceptions). And we are also watching another potential storm next weekend. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted Wednesday at 02:16 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:16 PM Can we enjoy this one before we even go think down about next weekend? 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted Wednesday at 02:19 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:19 PM when all the models make a big jump to a similar idea the big moves usually stop 10 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larrye Posted Wednesday at 02:39 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:39 PM 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Monday night should be better That may be true, but who knows where the planes will be and what flights will be cancelled at that point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mo Snow Posted Wednesday at 02:41 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:41 PM Unsure if this has been posted. Saw this update from Mt.Holly this morning Gives NYC 71% chance of >6" 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted Wednesday at 02:42 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:42 PM NAM will likely be a lot more amped than at 06Z, the phasing out west is way cleaner. Initially heights out ahead were a bit lower, but in the last few frames it rises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Wednesday at 02:42 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:42 PM Nam at the end of its run 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted Wednesday at 02:50 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:50 PM That predicted ice storm in the south has the potential to be historic, extremely dangerous. Long term power outages, trees down, roads not safe at all for any vehicles. They will have to bring in salt/sand equipment, power line repair people from where ever they can. With the FEMA cuts, emergency funds might run low until a special funding bill can be passed. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Wednesday at 02:52 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:52 PM 9 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Nam at the end of its run This looks great. Let's get Namd! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted Wednesday at 02:53 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:53 PM Just now, Wannabehippie said: That potential ice storm in the south has the potential to be historic, extremely dangerous. Long term power outages, trees down, roads not safe at all for any vehicles. They will have to bring in salt/sand equipment, power line repair people from where ever they can. With the FEMA cuts, emergency funds might run low until a special funding bill can be passed. True but it is moving less south now based on recent trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted Wednesday at 02:56 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:56 PM 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: This looks great. Let's get Namd! I think it's more likely it comes in like a wall and turns to sleet at the end as dry slot comes through. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted Wednesday at 02:57 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:57 PM Just now, SnoSki14 said: I think it's more likely it comes in like a wall and turns to sleet at the end as dry slot comes through. that's what i'm thinking 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Wednesday at 02:57 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:57 PM 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: I think it's more likely it comes in like a wall and turns to sleet at the end as dry slot comes through. A glorified SWFE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Wednesday at 02:57 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:57 PM 4 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said: True but it is moving less south now based on recent trends. You'll still see a nasty swath of ice on the southern flank of the storm regardless of where it ends up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted Wednesday at 02:58 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:58 PM 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I think it's more likely it comes in like a wall and turns to sleet at the end as dry slot comes through. Yea nobody would be upset with a foot that ends with a little sleet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted Wednesday at 02:59 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:59 PM Just now, Brian5671 said: A glorified SWFE Yeah but one that could maximize over our region and dump 2-4/per hour rates for a few hours and us close to a foot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted Wednesday at 03:04 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:04 PM 4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Yeah but one that could maximize over our region and dump 2-4/per hour rates for a few hours and us close to a foot of snow. the high is close to being perfect. i am not worried 10 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted Wednesday at 03:08 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:08 PM 3 minutes ago, forkyfork said: the high is close to being perfect. i am not worried If you're optimistic. I'm all in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted Wednesday at 03:08 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:08 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted Wednesday at 03:08 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:08 PM 2 minutes ago, forkyfork said: the high is close to being perfect. i am not worried when this poster gets serious, i pay attention; i remember this quote from Jan 2016; "this is a storm for the ages.." 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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