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PhiEaglesfan712

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Everything posted by PhiEaglesfan712

  1. PhiEaglesfan712
    Yeah, if Emily didn't get retired (and that was a C5), I highly doubt they are going to retire Edouard.
  2. PhiEaglesfan712
    Do we now have a relative and a traditional PDO now (like we do with the ONI)? This one shows July as -2.14 and August as -1.84: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/cmb/ersst/v5/index/ersst.v5.pdo.dat
  3. PhiEaglesfan712
    July 22, 2011 had high end heat. A lot of records that day, including EWR's all-time high of 108.
  4. PhiEaglesfan712
    With the MLB lockout looming, maybe Mike Trout retires after the season and takes over. We all know Trout has a love for meteorology. [Most likely not going to happen (at least right now), but crazier things have happened. Realistically, though, the Phillies need to make a trade for Trout. Philly already has LeBron, now time for the baseball team to land the big fish.]
  5. PhiEaglesfan712
    PHL mean temperature August 2026: 79.2 (tied 8th warmest) Summer 2026 (JJA): 78.8 (tied 3rd warmest with 2016, only behind 2010 and 2022)
  6. PhiEaglesfan712
    I think 1984 on that Top 10 warmest list is a mistake. That was one of the cooler summers at PHL. I think that one was one of the Top 10 least 90-degree days ever, and I believe the earliest last-90 on record. 1980 or 1988 would make much more sense there.
  7. PhiEaglesfan712
    With yesterday's beach storm out of the way and football season officially beginning, it's now time to start the fall thread.
  8. PhiEaglesfan712
    Update: Storm is out of the way. The football season has officially begun!
  9. PhiEaglesfan712
    Yeah, I can confirm, as there was a massive delay with the Battle at the Beach high school football games in Ocean City. All the games starting after 1 got moved back an hour.
  10. PhiEaglesfan712
    Looks like the storms today missed us. They went south, affecting the Battle at the Beach high school football games in Ocean City: https://x.com/Mtrible/status/2093371539525657029
  11. PhiEaglesfan712
    Lots of la nina years on this list. 1955 and 2007 were developing strong la ninas; 2011, 1974, and 1989 were exiting strong la nina years; 1971 and 2021 were also moderate la nina years.
  12. PhiEaglesfan712
    At the end of the day, the winter of 2025-26 was a warmer version of 2014-15. The 10+ departures in the West were much more widespread, and the cold in the East wasn't as strong or as long.
  13. PhiEaglesfan712
    Name changes are more common than you think. Just look at all the pro sports stadiums. You don't realize it, but their name changes hand often, and sometimes silently. As they say, in this country, if you pay enough...
  14. PhiEaglesfan712
    In New Jersey, the high school football season now starts in late August. It has since 2018. I think that's why school now starts in late August, rather than after Labor Day.
  15. PhiEaglesfan712
    Jolene, Jolene, Jolene, Jolene... In honor of Dolly
  16. PhiEaglesfan712
    Funny thing is that wouldn't be true because 13 years ago was 2013, which was a very quiet season. All storms that year were either TS or C1. All of the notable hurricanes came during the active seasons of 2010, 2011, and 2012, which were 14-16 years ago.
  17. PhiEaglesfan712
    Now that everyone's convinced that the el nino won't peak as high, watch the 5C peak in February run verify.
  18. PhiEaglesfan712
    Imagine if that purple, late-blooming one that peaks near 5C verifies.
  19. PhiEaglesfan712
    The March 1993 superstorm, 93-94, and 95-96 were the fruits of Pinatubo's temporary global cooling.
  20. PhiEaglesfan712
    I was in the spa on Friday night, and my sister asked me why the spa doesn't stay consistently hot. It was at that moment that my understanding of the el nino/la nina cycle truly clicked. My answer was that it requires an extra amount of energy to maintain that heat. The same way that it requires extra heat to maintain an el nino. It was at that point that I realized why an el nino doesn't last, and ENSO neutrals/la ninas are more natural, lasting states. Then, she said that at hotels (where spas are maintained at continuous heat), there is a warning that you should not stay more than 15 minutes. It was at that point that I realized that if the earth was in a continuous el nino state, it would not really be habitable. (Like you'd have to leave the continuous warm spa after 15 minutes, you'd have to leave continuous earth to cool off after a certain period of time.)
  21. PhiEaglesfan712
    I'm not sure if anyone pointed this out yet, but we're experiencing a very rapid upwelling of cold water in the western Pacific Ocean, which is literally pushing the warm Kelvin wave onto the South American continent. As a result, the warm water in the east is sinking deeper. This is why we are in for a strong la nina in 2027-28 or 2028-29 (depending on how quickly the current el nino dissipates) - like in 1998-2000, which immediately followed the 1997-98 el nino. As you can see, the strong la nina years of 1998-99 and 1999-2000 (which correspond to the dark blue strips in 1998 and 1999) was the result of the last upwelling. Also, our last strong la nina was in 2010-11 (which corresponds to the dark blue strip in 2010). If we don't have a strong la nina following this el nino event, it will be the longest gap between strong la ninas since prior to the 1955-56 event.
  22. PhiEaglesfan712
    I finally got the IRI links to work:
  23. PhiEaglesfan712
    That early part of September 1997 must have been record cold in the Northeast US. All I remember is that early September 2015 and early September 2023 were really hot.
  24. PhiEaglesfan712
    Same pattern as June and July: Very warm first half of the month, only to be offset by a cooler second half of the month. I wonder if this continues, and things turn warmer to begin September.
  25. PhiEaglesfan712
    The fact that 1999 was the driest summer, I will always believe that if Floyd never happened, we would have had a continuous, multi-year drought from about spring 1998 through fall 2002.
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