PhiEaglesfan712

For this year, it's finished. The sun angle is going to prevent us from getting arctic cold. As for the next east coast snowstorm pattern, your guess is as good as mine. I can guarantee you, though, that there probably won't be one until at least November.

If true, that lawn is a deciduous forest by now. 1998 was 28 years ago.

April 1983 takes the cake when it comes to hard freezes: It snowed in places like Philly and NYC during the 19th and 20th.

I don't think it happens this year, but it does happen every once in a while. I believe they've gone as late as mid-May (in 2023, and that was after a very warm winter).

2014-15 is still the record holder, correct?

2014-2015 was followed by a record warm May (or at least close to it). One of the most remarkable pattern turnarounds in spring, right along with 2010.

A volcanic eruption is not necessary for a great winter. However, one certainly helps. Just look at 92-93, 93-94, and 95-96, following Pinatubo. In fact, they are still 3 of the Top 4 snowiest winters in State College, PA: 1 1993-1994 109.3 0 2 1995-1996 99.0 0 3 1977-1978 98.2 0 4 1992-1993 92.5 0 However, we have had great stretches of winters (2002-03 to 2004-05, 2008-09 to 2010-11, and 2013-14 and 2014-15) even without a volcanic eruption. If we can have another great winter in 2026-27, we could add another great stretch of winters.

My gut tells me a cold shot on Monday, but no snow. If there is a precip event, it will be Tuesday night into Wednesday, and will be primarily rain. After that will be a huge warm up.

I knew I should have stuck to my gut and kept 2013-14 as a top analog. We were in a solar max/-PDO heading towards neutral/2nd year near neutral ENSO.

I think the system ends up further south. We'll end up dry and cold. Even in the areas that get hit by the snow part of the system won't see too much accumulation due to the March sun angle.

The March 2-3 event now looks more like a cold shot, than a precipitation event.

La ninas can be warm in February, too. Just look at February 2012, 2017, 2018, and 2023.

I'd much rather have a +PDO than an el nino, like 2014-15. We got a lot of snow in 2009-10, but that winter was short. The spring of 2010 might be one of the most amazing pattern flips ever. It turned warm in March and got to 90 during the first week of April.

Didn't 2020-21 go over 40"?

What a difference a week makes. Last Monday, my sister wore her sneakers for the first time this season, and we went on a walk around the neighborhood. Now, we have a lot of snow to shovel. (We've been out at least twice now. Me three times.)

Seeing the snow reports from Providence, those Baltimore/DC numbers are not surprising at all. I think most of us knew from the beginning the storm was going to hit the Baltimore/DC area or Providence/Boston, but not both.

Here you go: https://x.com/NWS_MountHolly/status/2026004588776829119 PHL - 14.0 (30.0 for the season) ACY - 16.9 Trenton - 16.4 Mt. Holly office - 20.3

lol at the snow hole in the northwest corner with only 4 inches.

Yeah, I just realized that. Just the dates are wrong.

This should be Jan 31-Feb 3, 2021. The event ended on the 3rd, not the 1st: 2021-01-31 26 20 23.0 -10.6 42 0 0.12 2.0 0 2021-02-01 34 22 28.0 -5.7 37 0 1.85 14.8 5 2021-02-02 33 30 31.5 -2.3 33 0 0.13 0.4 14 2021-02-03 37 29 33.0 -0.9 32 0 0.01 0.2 13

But don't the records start in 1963 or 66? It misses out on historical storms, like 1958. I'm sure either the February or March event would be on there if it extended that far.

I think the record is Jan 31, 2021. I know that one went for at least 48, maybe even close to 72, hours.

What about 10-11? 13-14? 14-15?

Yeah, that's a record, but I believe the por starts in 1963 or 1966, so storms like February and March 1958 aren't accounted for in there.