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PhiEaglesfan712

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Everything posted by PhiEaglesfan712

  1. PhiEaglesfan712
    Exactly, it would be like re-living the epic March 2001 snow bust. I'd rather the rug be pulled now, not the day of. That was the worst feeling in the world. I was in 7th grade when that snow bust happened, and it really messed me up the rest of that school year.
  2. PhiEaglesfan712
    I think it's 30 years (right now, it's the 1991-2020 normals). That's at least what we use for average temperatures. Some time in 2031, it will become the 2001-2030 normals.
  3. PhiEaglesfan712
    If you're talking about an el nino, then we're at least 2-3 years out. The ENSO is pretty similar to this point in 2022, where we had a late/in-between season la nina peak.
  4. PhiEaglesfan712
    Yeah, assuming February stays below average temperaturewise, when was the last time we got 4 straight below average temperature months? You can bet your bottom dollar that March is going to be warmer than average.
  5. PhiEaglesfan712
    We're not getting an el nino next winter. We have a late peaking la nina that is at or below -1C on the MEI and RONI, like we were in 2022. The la nina will continue into next winter. El nino will need to wait until 2026-27, if not 2027-28.
  6. PhiEaglesfan712
    I think this one is different. The weather app on my iPhone has said double-digit inches of snow at PHL for days now. That hasn't happened for any of the other storms this year. I think a major snow event is a sure thing.
  7. PhiEaglesfan712
  8. PhiEaglesfan712
    I'm not sure about 1960-61, but 1966-67 is easy to explain. That was a classic example of a neutral year taking the shape of the previous ENSO state. 1966-67 behaved like an el nino, as the previous year was a strong el nino. 1992-93 was very similar to this.
  9. PhiEaglesfan712
    FWIW, I had February 2001 as my top analog for this February. Outside of the December 30, 2000 snowstorm, this winter has behaved almost similarly to that one in our area, in regards to temps/precip/snowfall. The winter of 2000-01, if I remember correctly, had that la nina mismatch.
  10. PhiEaglesfan712
    I'll take my chances at a coastal hugger. I wouldn't mind a Jan 28-29, 2022 type storm.
  11. PhiEaglesfan712
    If this pans out, we might rival winter temp departures of 2013-14 and 2014-15 in some places in the Northeast/Mid-Atlantic.
  12. PhiEaglesfan712
    Let's play a hypothetical: What if the Eagles had drafted AJ Brown in round 1 and CJGJ in round 2 of the 2019 NFL Draft (instead of Dillard and JJAW)? How does that change the Doug Pederson/Carson Wentz era? Are either still here? Do they still draft Jalen Hurts?
  13. PhiEaglesfan712
    It depends where you live. North and west, 2020-21 was the better winter. South and east, 2021-22 was the better winter. However, both only really had one good month (February in 2021 and January in 2022). We haven't really had a good wall-to-wall winter like 2013-14 and 2014-15, and there hasn't been a major snowstorm in the entire viewing area since January 23, 2016.
  14. PhiEaglesfan712
    This would be the first below average winter since 2014-15.
  15. PhiEaglesfan712
    February 20-21 looks promising:
  16. PhiEaglesfan712
    Eagles win the Super Bowl, we're getting a lot of snow the next 3 days, and a parade on Friday. Not sure anyone else has it any better.
  17. PhiEaglesfan712
    Makes up for January 2023, which torched when we were in MJO 8.
  18. PhiEaglesfan712
    For PHL Last 6-inch storm: Jan 28-29, 2022 Last 8-inch storm: Jan 23, 2016
  19. PhiEaglesfan712
    He's going out on top, like Ray Lewis did in that very stadium 12 years ago.
  20. PhiEaglesfan712
    They don't give you enough space to post photos on here. I prefer using The Weather Forums for that: https://theweatherforums.com/index.php?/forum/9-east-of-the-rockies/
  21. PhiEaglesfan712
    PHL: 1.5" of frozen precip ACY: all rain event (too warm by the coast for frozen precip)
  22. PhiEaglesfan712
    I'll take a Feb 2015 redux as well.
  23. PhiEaglesfan712
    Again, I'll be surprised if we see frozen precip at ACY on Saturday night. Temps are going to be well above freezing there.
  24. PhiEaglesfan712
    Depends where you are. It's frozen the more north and west you are to the Philly viewing area. However, if you're south and east, you'll see less frozen precip. I think it will be an all-rain event in places like AC.
  25. PhiEaglesfan712
    Some of these amounts are way too high. This looks like an all-rain event in AC to me.
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