PhiEaglesfan712

I think this one is different. The weather app on my iPhone has said double-digit inches of snow at PHL for days now. That hasn't happened for any of the other storms this year. I think a major snow event is a sure thing.

I'm not sure about 1960-61, but 1966-67 is easy to explain. That was a classic example of a neutral year taking the shape of the previous ENSO state. 1966-67 behaved like an el nino, as the previous year was a strong el nino. 1992-93 was very similar to this.

FWIW, I had February 2001 as my top analog for this February. Outside of the December 30, 2000 snowstorm, this winter has behaved almost similarly to that one in our area, in regards to temps/precip/snowfall. The winter of 2000-01, if I remember correctly, had that la nina mismatch.

I'll take my chances at a coastal hugger. I wouldn't mind a Jan 28-29, 2022 type storm.

If this pans out, we might rival winter temp departures of 2013-14 and 2014-15 in some places in the Northeast/Mid-Atlantic.

Let's play a hypothetical: What if the Eagles had drafted AJ Brown in round 1 and CJGJ in round 2 of the 2019 NFL Draft (instead of Dillard and JJAW)? How does that change the Doug Pederson/Carson Wentz era? Are either still here? Do they still draft Jalen Hurts?

It depends where you live. North and west, 2020-21 was the better winter. South and east, 2021-22 was the better winter. However, both only really had one good month (February in 2021 and January in 2022). We haven't really had a good wall-to-wall winter like 2013-14 and 2014-15, and there hasn't been a major snowstorm in the entire viewing area since January 23, 2016.

This would be the first below average winter since 2014-15.

February 20-21 looks promising:

Eagles win the Super Bowl, we're getting a lot of snow the next 3 days, and a parade on Friday. Not sure anyone else has it any better.

Makes up for January 2023, which torched when we were in MJO 8.

For PHL Last 6-inch storm: Jan 28-29, 2022 Last 8-inch storm: Jan 23, 2016

He's going out on top, like Ray Lewis did in that very stadium 12 years ago.

They don't give you enough space to post photos on here. I prefer using The Weather Forums for that: https://theweatherforums.com/index.php?/forum/9-east-of-the-rockies/

PHL: 1.5" of frozen precip ACY: all rain event (too warm by the coast for frozen precip)

I'll take a Feb 2015 redux as well.

Again, I'll be surprised if we see frozen precip at ACY on Saturday night. Temps are going to be well above freezing there.

Depends where you are. It's frozen the more north and west you are to the Philly viewing area. However, if you're south and east, you'll see less frozen precip. I think it will be an all-rain event in places like AC.

Some of these amounts are way too high. This looks like an all-rain event in AC to me.

What day does the parade take place if all these storms pan out?

I'm pretty sure we all scored big during the second half of February 2015. I've never seen the bottom fall out of the thermometer like this: 2015-02-14 32 18 25.0 -10.6 40 0 0.04 1.3 0 2015-02-15 21 9 15.0 -20.8 50 0 T T 1 2015-02-16 17 3 10.0 -26.0 55 0 0.02 0.3 T 2015-02-17 28 13 20.5 -15.7 44 0 0.24 3.4 4 2015-02-18 32 11 21.5 -15.0 43 0 0.00 T 3 2015-02-19 23 8 15.5 -21.2 49 0 0.00 0.0 1 2015-02-20 18 2 10.0 -26.9 55 0 0.00 0.0 T 2015-02-21 34 9 21.5 -15.6 43 0 0.76 4.8 T 2015-02-22 47 33 40.0 2.6 25 0 0.28 0.0 4 2015-02-23 37 13 25.0 -12.6 40 0 T T 1 2015-02-24 25 7 16.0 -21.8 49 0 0.00 0.0 1 2015-02-25 38 15 26.5 -11.6 38 0 0.00 0.0 T 2015-02-26 32 26 29.0 -9.3 36 0 T T 0 2015-02-27 31 22 26.5 -12.1 38 0 T T T 2015-02-28 32 16 24.0 -14.8 41 0 0.00 0.0 0 Of course, this carried over into March: 2015-03-01 32 21 26.5 -12.6 38 0 0.52 0.4 0 2015-03-02 40 29 34.5 -4.9 30 0 0.00 0.0 0 2015-03-03 34 25 29.5 -10.1 35 0 0.61 0.1 0 2015-03-04 43 33 38.0 -1.9 27 0 0.49 0.0 0 2015-03-05 40 20 30.0 -10.2 35 0 0.78 7.5 T

If the January RONI is really at -1.3, then you can pretty much kiss any chance of an el nino next year goodbye. That's already approaching 2021-22 territory: OND 2021 -1.23 NDJ 2021 -1.24 DJF 2022 -1.21 JFM 2022 -1.21 FMA 2022 -1.28 MAM 2022 -1.34 2005-06 and 2008-09, both of which went el nino the following year, never went below -1 on the RONI.

Classic backloaded el nino winter. Cool September and October, then warm November, December, and most of January. The bottom fell out of the thermometer in February, our coldest this side of 1980 (until the historically cold February 2015). Then, after the Valentine's Day and St. Patrick's Day storms, we had our wettest April on record, including a wintry mix event on April 16.

Yeah, I'd rather have the Super Bowl win, even if it means a snowless rest of the winter. The Super Bowl is forever, whereas the snow from the storm will eventually melt.