PhiEaglesfan712

When you start to see people posting headlines like this, then you know to expect the opposite is most likely to happen. It's like when people on Accuweather were commenting in the beginning of March 2015 that April and May 2015 were going to be even colder. The opposite ended up happening, with May 2015 being record warm (or very close to it) in many places in the Eastern US.

The law of averages says a warm month has to happen at some point. The Eastern US hasn't had an above average month since September, and a near normal month since November. With the exception of 2013-14 (and even that had a warm May and June), all of the big cold years produced torch months at some point in the spring. 2010 (from March-September), 2011 (from April-July), and 2015 (in May). Even last year, March produced a Top 10 warmest month, and 2018 had the anomolously warm February, as well as a Top 10 warmest May.

I feel like the cold is on borrowed time. I see a 2015-type progression (just shift one month forward). I'm going with near normal mid-February, warm March, and torch April.

NDJ 25-26 RONI: -1.0 January 2026 PDO: -1.19 (73rd straight negative month)

Thing is we have had several below average months in a row. At some point, it's got to regress to the mean. If I were betting on this, seasonal mid-February, warm March, and torch April is the way to go. Just look at 2015. The bottom fell out of the thermometer in February, March was below average (mostly due to the first week), but things turned warmer in April, and May was near record warm.

I'd replace 2020 with 2005. 2020 was an outlier, snowless year, which will drag down the composite.

1993-94 (and possibly even 1995-96) was the result of the after effects of Pinatubo, our last major volcanic eruption. The cooling effects definitely wore off by the 1997-98 el nino, which was the next big global temperature jump.

The decade from 1982-92 was el nino/+PDO heavy. We had 3 strong/super el ninos back-to-back (82-83, 86-88, and 91-92), and a +PDO la nina (83-85). The only real break from el nino/+PDO was the strong la nina in 88-89. Not anything like 2016-present, which has been la nina/-PDO heavy.

When people start to say stuff like this, I almost know the opposite is going to happen. I'd be willing to bet March is going to be above average temperaturewise, and April is going to be a Top 10 warmest month, possibly even near record warm.

I'm just skeptical of the prospect of record 70+ degree warmth in the middle of the month. I would love for it to happen, but with how cold it has been for most of the winter and the beginning of this month, I just don't see it happening.

I find this list hard to believe to be correct without any February 2015 dates listed on here.

Uh, we had a January thaw from about 1/6-1/15: 2026-01-06 45 31 38.0 3.7 27 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-01-07 57 38 47.5 13.3 17 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-01-08 55 34 44.5 10.5 20 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-01-09 57 31 44.0 10.1 21 0 0.04 0.0 0 2026-01-10 50 43 46.5 12.7 18 0 0.96 0.0 0 2026-01-11 49 36 42.5 8.8 22 0 0.01 0.0 0 2026-01-12 45 30 37.5 3.9 27 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-01-13 51 28 39.5 6.0 25 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-01-14 57 44 50.5 17.1 14 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-01-15 45 25 35.0 1.7 30 0 0.03 T 0

17 years ago (February 3-4, 2009):

What month is this future's contract for? March or April?

We had April torches in 2017 and 2019 (those were two of the warmest Aprils ever), as well as the first half of April 2023 (before we turned cold, which lasted until the end of June). Thing about February is that it's only 28 days. The cold beginning is going to eat a good chunk of the month. For the warmer days to eventually outweigh the colder days, we're going to need to string together some record-breaking, 70+ heat. I just don't see it happening.

BN, I'm getting March 2015 vibes. The first week being well below average, a continuation of the previous month, and set the tone for the month, but I feel like a pattern change is coming, with the string of below average months coming to an end soon. Something tells me March is going to be above average (like April 2015), and April is going to be a near record warm month (like May 2015).

Definitely not a March 2018 redux. That was a record snowy March here at PHL, and quite frankly, I can't see that outcome happening again. At some point, I've got to think this string of cold months has to end at some point. Even in 2018, we had the very warm February that interrupted an otherwise cold and snowy winter pattern.

2023 just took too long to develop. By the time things turned cold, it was already May and June, and the snow season was over. We got our coldest June since 1985, and (tied with 3 other years) for 31st coldest June overall at PHL. To put into perspective how impressive that cold was, December 2025 was only the 48th coldest December, while January 2025 was the 46th coldest and January 2026 was the 59th coldest January in PHL.

Yeah, the last time we had record warmth in the West, at least the East had some historical cold. As cold as this winter has been in the East, it doesn't hold a candle to 13-14 and 14-15.

The odd thing about 2012 and 1977 is that both ended up producing record warm springs in most of the eastern half to two-thirds of the US.

Tinicum Twp is where the Airport is, and PHL had a low of 10 this morning. -12 (or 22 degrees colder) seems impossible, and it would be lower than PHL's lowest ever temperature, which was set in February 1934. I'd be willing to bet the low is somewhere in between both. 10 seems too high, -12 seems too low.

That statement isn't even correct. January 2010 wasn't below average temperaturewise, and both November 2009 and March 2010 were really warm. 2009-10 had historical snow, but it was done in a very short window, and wasn't really historically cold. After snowmageddon, the winter was pretty much over, and we had 90 degree temps in early April (years like 95-96, 02-03, and 13-14 - all wall-to-wall cold and snowy winters - it was still snowing at that point in the season).

Both had more intensity/longevity, and went on later. Based on 1981-2010 normals, January 2014 was -4.6, February 2014 -3.6, and March 2014 -4.6 departure (November 2013 was -2.1). January 2015 was -2, February 2015 -10, and March 2015 -4.4 (November 2014 was -2.4). December is the only month preventing 13-14 and 14-15 from having a wall-to-wall 5 months (November-March) below average.

I was a junior in high school, taking the SATs that morning. It snowed pretty much the whole day, as far as I can remember. That was the last time a clipper (turned Nor'easter) really produced. 2026 joins 2005 and 2016 in the Conference Championship weekend snowstorms. Mark one down for 2036 or 2037 next?

The record for the snowiest winter in Levittown is still 1957-58, correct?