Jump to content

PhiEaglesfan712

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,159

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by PhiEaglesfan712

  1. PhiEaglesfan712
    I'm still very skeptical of this. 2003, 2010, and 2016 were all part of el nino events. Pretty much all the big events came either during an el nino and/or a +PDO. Even 1996, which was a la nina, had a +PDO. We currently have a -PDO and a slight -ENSO. If we get a huge event, it would be unprecedented given the PDO/ENSO state.
  2. PhiEaglesfan712
    Very intersting. Here are the strong ENSO years. El Nino 1957-58 1965-66 1972-73 1982-83 1986-87/1987-88 1991-92 1997-98 2009-10 2015-16 2023-24 La Nina 1955-56 1973-74 1975-76 1988-89 1998-99 1999-2000 2007-08 2010-11 Which of these years did the PNA not hold?
  3. PhiEaglesfan712
    Yeah, if it was a front-loaded la nina winter, then the warm-up that started on 1/6 would have stuck.
  4. PhiEaglesfan712
    The Rams. The Eagles have beaten every NFC team at least once since 2021, except for the Seahawks.
  5. PhiEaglesfan712
    Only East of the Mississippi. Those were record warm winters in the Western US, especially 14-15, but that one was a +PDO winter.
  6. PhiEaglesfan712
    22-23 was a weakening la nina, and that one torched in January and February.
  7. PhiEaglesfan712
    We all know that isn't going to happen. We don't have a +PDO (like 2014-15) or +ENSO (like 2009-10). Those are the types of winters you need to produce a lot of snow in such a short period of time in the 2nd half of January and February. You're not going to get that in a -PDO/-ENSO like this year.
  8. PhiEaglesfan712
    Did it not in 2013-14 and 2014-15, when we had impressive cold? The nearby lakes in my area (Aetna Lake in Medford, NJ) was completely frozen over in late February/early March 2015.
  9. PhiEaglesfan712
    I think you meant 2003. PD 2023 was a torch, lol.
  10. PhiEaglesfan712
    Also, all of those happened during el ninos, with the 1966 and 2010 ones in strong el nino. Even the 1978 one had a borderline weak/moderate el nino.
  11. PhiEaglesfan712
    lol at the 1.7 in Virginia. Looks like there will be snow in the Patriots game. Almost reminds me of the Tuck Rule game, except that one randomly happened in a winter that was otherwise abnormally warm and non-snowy.
  12. PhiEaglesfan712
    If Philly, Baltimore, and DC don't get a major snowstorm in the next week, a new low 10-year rolling snowfall record will be set in those places. The 2016 snowstorm officially goes off the books on Saturday.
  13. PhiEaglesfan712
    Yeah, the last time the west was record warm (in 2014-15), at least there was an easy explanation: It was a strong +PDO winter, with a warm neutral/weak el nino. Easy to see in that configuration why you would get a record warm west and a well below average east. With the current configuration (-PDO/-ENSO/-IOD), there really is no reason why the west should be breaking their 14-15 records. You're not going to get anywhere near record cold in the east (like we did in 14-15) with that configuration.
  14. PhiEaglesfan712
    That failed el nino played a huge role in getting us the super el nino in 2015-16. If that el nino is stronger, then the super el nino never happens, and the PDO likely doesn't flip to positive in the mid-2010s. The years leading up to the super el nino shows us that a +PDO is probably more important for a cold/snowy winter than the el nino itself.
  15. PhiEaglesfan712
    This looks like a +PDO winter map, almost like 2014-15.
  16. PhiEaglesfan712
    We had major droughts in the Northeast/Mid-Atlantic in 1998-99 and 2001-02.
  17. PhiEaglesfan712
    Wasn't something like this happening at this point 3 years ago? How does this compare to winter 2022-23?
  18. PhiEaglesfan712
    If we don't keep Dallas, then we have to re-sign Grant Calcaterra. But we need to keep at least one, and draft a tight end in the early rounds.
  19. PhiEaglesfan712
    Probably not, and if we do, it will be mostly rain. There is just not much sustained cold air between now and the end of the month. I tried warning you all that if there wasn't a snowstorm in the first ten days of January, we might be waiting a while for one.
  20. PhiEaglesfan712
    2021 Wild Card loss -> 2022 Super Bowl LVII appearance 2023 Wild Card loss -> 2024 Super Bowl LIX win 2025 Wild Card loss -> 2026 Super Bowl LXI???
  21. PhiEaglesfan712
    Probably not because I'm going to Vermont 1/25-1/27. So, if there's one when you're away, there has to be one when I'm not away, which has close to 0% chance of happening.
  22. PhiEaglesfan712
    MEI just updated. ND 2025 came in at -0.8
  23. PhiEaglesfan712
    The temperature departure for January is going to be near normal by the end of today, if not tomorrow, in many places in the East, with the warmup just starting. I don't see sustained cold anywhere in the near future. We may not end up the absurd positive temperatures of January 2017 or 2023, but January should end with above average temperature departures in most places in the East.
  24. PhiEaglesfan712
    For the first time since November, I'm using my fan. I can feel it getting warmer...
  25. PhiEaglesfan712
    16-17 and 22-23 were my favored analogs at the beginning of the season. I always felt that December was going to be on the cooler side (this verified), but January and February were going to be warmer (looks like that's what's happening). [As I'm typing this, I'm using my fan for the first time since November. It's getting warm already!]
×
×
  • Create New...