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The last hurrah? Putting all the eggs in the Tuesday 3/14 basket

Ginx snewx

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7 minutes ago, Kbosch said:

This is a disaster, and most definitely one of the worst sagas I've seen. Thoughts and prayers to those who have to make an official forecast.

I had no interest in being burned by this, and I'd gladly take a 3-6" event. I didn't need the 20-24" regardless of how lovely it would be. This winter? I'll take anything. Now? Thanks for the 3-6" of rain.

At least our poor little crocus won't be harmed :rolleyes:

The best approach as of right now is a conservative one. Then adjust accordingly while nowcasting. 

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14 minutes ago, DJln491 said:

RAP is crap!

Spring in the Texas-Oklahoma-Arkansas-Louisiana subforum, if I am using a short range model between 6 hour runs for thunderstorm initiation and severe stuff, I use the HRRR, not RAP.  I use RAP only in the form of the SPC current conditions page.   I don't use HRRR much past 12 hours.  HRRR might be getting in range for the surface low location between 18Z and 0Z models.  16Z has the inverted trough at hour 18, FWIW.  

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