Maestrobjwa Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Yep! I figured we'd be all green by 0z or earlier today...called it, lol Alright let's wait until Saturday to see how long something 7 days out will make it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: And that's a wrap. Rainstorm. GFS ftw But what’s the trajectory of the rain? 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 17 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: There is some validity to this but keep in mind an outlier solution has a way better chance of scoring a coup when it’s on the side of typical climo then when it’s showing the more anomalous scenario. And now we have the case-in-point right here, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Tornado chasing anyone? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Not surprised. The margin for error was always so small with this one. Needed the perfect track, and the small shifts north were a bad sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Was it really ever in doubt 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 It ain't over till its over, but this is expected as the GFS and GEM have been feeling height rises in the Atlantic. Just more of a long term pattern that encourages cutters to the OHV or Lakes because of the SER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Not surprised either. And i guess it’s not which model is better, it’s which shows the most likely track given climo, enso state, and persistence. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 All hail to King GFS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Chuck’s storm is our last hope. Goofus has struck back. Now we wait on the Return of the KU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: And that's a wrap. Rainstorm. GFS ftw Shocker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: And now we have the case-in-point right here, lol Been trying to prepare ppl for and thus soften the blow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 3 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Not surprised either. And i guess it’s not which model is better, it’s which shows the most likely track given climo, enso state, and persistence. This x1000 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Just now, psuhoffman said: Been trying to prepare ppl for and thus soften the blow. You've been preparing ppl since October tho with your essays and journal notes. Nobody is surprised. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Just now, psuhoffman said: Been trying to prepare ppl for and thus soften the blow. I mean for me I was never fully invested and it did concern me a bit how rock steady the GFS was with it's solution. I was out once the 18z eps ticked north yesterday...and given the pattern ya kinda knew it would be tough after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: You've been preparing ppl since October tho with your essays and journal notes. Nobody is surprised. Nothing to see here folks, move along 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 wet jet We have a 12-18"+ building up as an organized system if it stays like this... for us it's a matter of if the -PNA builds/trends or not. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 13 minutes ago, stormtracker said: And that's a wrap. Rainstorm. GFS ftw Old @Ji rule applies. Least snowy model wins always 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Well, I will have another week of non-distracted work again! This winter is nothing but rounds and rounds of punched below the belt! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 i suppose ensembles have been thrown out the window 3 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Old @Ji rule applies. Least snowy model wins always It really does lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Just now, brooklynwx99 said: i suppose ensembles have been thrown out the window We seen how this plays out all winter. Ens been dog crap. The euro had a massive slider south the other day now it’s off to our NW. We need a low over Cuba at day 7 for us to get snow. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 2 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: wet jet. Can you dub this one the Swiffer Storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Just now, TSSN+ said: We seen how this plays out all winter. Ens been dog crap. The euro had a massive slider south the other day now it’s off to our NW. We need a low over Cuba at day 7 for us to get snow. The SE ridge has corrected to be stronger than progged in the medium range ALL winter. There’s no reason to expect that to change. And it’s happening again for Friday. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 How much for Boston and Short Pump? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: The SE ridge has corrected to be stronger than progged in the medium range ALL winter. There’s no reason to expect that to change. And it’s happening again for Friday. Oh I know. I been saying winter was done for a while now. Haha. This just ain’t our year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 11 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: This x1000 Do we still have the mid month window? I can’t muster the energy to look at another 11-15 day window lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Just now, Allsnow said: Do we still have the mid month window? I can’t muster the energy to look at another 11-15 day window lol I think that window is our last hail mary 2 minute warning chance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Euro sucky for Western MD too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 3 minutes ago, Terpeast said: I think that window is our last hail mary 2 minute warning chance. Thanks. Agree. Looks like high lat blocking but not in the nao domain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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