MJO812 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: CMC standing it's ground thru 120 Cmc has alot of confluence to the north at 114. This will be a Miller B on this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 3 minutes ago, Chris78 said: I know it's shocking but appears the cmc is heading the wrong way also. Higher heights out ahead at 90 Could be but at h5 it is holding that lobe back over SE Canada which may aid confluence...doesn't zip it thru like gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 These are rough times, but I kinda would feel better with the GFS on our side than the Euro. *runs and hides* 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Snow starts at 123 on the CMC. Much colder than GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Stronger hp on the cmc, slightly better positioning. LP strength may mitigate that tho. Still close and not a cave to gfs imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Moderate snow/frozen from 123. Heavy snow at 135 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Hmmm, coastal NC weakness. Miller B-ish Eta: CAD signal now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 CMC is what we want/need 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Nice...0z vs 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 For this year, it's a legit beatdown on the CMC...but alas...it's the CMC Sign me up 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Kind of sucks to see the NAO trend upward just in time for phase 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 22 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: This may mean the Severe Thread needs some attention. 3 closed-low, cutting into a -NAO block lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 GEFS looks to follow the OP thru 96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 re: 12z gfs Closed 500mb low rolling into the west coast.. -EPO. closed 50/50 low. This is the one I want to watch (what's diving into the WC). m 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 if euro/eps/geps improve like cmc did or hold i wouldn't be worried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Have the GfS and Euro agreed at all this winter? We always get the CMC and Icon for a few runs and maybe the euro or gfs. But never both gfs and euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 7 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Kind of sucks to see the NAO trend upward just in time for phase 8. A -NAO trending towards neutral isn’t bad, especially if the numerical trend is because the blocking is retrograding west into Canada which is increasing the NAO in the east region of the NAO domain. That’s not a bad look for us. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
windycutter Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Not sure if this was posted from last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 KU setup imo.. it could change. Biggest threat to change is that Aleutian island high needs to break in pattern.. we have rain going up into the Davis Straight and Alaska.. sometimes that high latitude stuff trends back to -PNA. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 The GEFS is going to be slightly improved from the 6z run. There's at least some reflection of a HP up north now. It's not much, but something 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Just now, Newman said: The GEFS is going to be slightly improved from the 6z run. There's at least some reflection of a HP up north now. It's not much, but something That high is what's kicking the low north. Low needs to be in front or at the same time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 GEFS is at least slightly improved. more confluence and a slightly weaker vort 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 SE ridge is pumping up every run. The storm is too slow and needs to be about 12 hours faster for confluence to really matter. The CMC and the Euro have been steadily headed north along with the icon. We all know where this is headed unless timing works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Compared to it's 00z counterpart, the 12z CMC has a much stronger and better placed high over Canada. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: GEFS is at least slightly improved. more confluence and a slightly weaker vort And I see better separation between the vort and the one behind it. Maybe if this trend continues, ridging over montana can keep this vort pos tilted just a wee bit longer. It’s not much and it’s just one run, but it’s something. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
windycutter Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Now at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
windycutter Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 minute ago, windycutter said: Now at 12z Gfs like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 12 minutes ago, Terpeast said: And I see better separation between the vort and the one behind it. Maybe if this trend continues, ridging over montana can keep this vort pos tilted just a wee bit longer. It’s not much and it’s just one run, but it’s something. Agreed. And it's 5 days out so there is actually time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 GEPS has more confluence. should be good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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