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stormtracker

Jan 25th Wintry Mix Obs and Nowcasting

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I noticed a few Eps ensembles that are almost totally dry up here Monday and guidance seems to be getting drier and drier for us northern peeps . I still think it's a snow sleet predominant mix here with little zrain . But mostly cloudy skies is becoming a risk too:yikes:

But I do kind of  expect the mesos to bump north inside 36 so well see 

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7 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

I noticed a few Eps ensembles that are almost totally dry up here Monday and guidance seems to be getting drier and drier for us northern peeps . I still think it's a snow sleet predominant mix here with little zrain . But mostly cloudy skies is becoming a risk too:yikes:

But I do kind of  expect the mesos to bump north inside 36 so well see 

So long as we get crushed Thursday let them have this one. 

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Just now, psuhoffman said:

So long as we get crushed Thursday let them have this one. 

Are we getting crushed on Thursday??

Hope so

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1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

So long as we get crushed Thursday let them have this one. 

Doubt anyone gets much snow anyway from this one, I think the euro is out to lunch on its snow vs/sleet and freezing rain depictions. If anyone thinks DC is getting 3” from this thing well, you’re gullible to the model

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Euro seems on its own and that small band of snow seems to keep shrinking. This still seems like a half hour or hour of snow and then sleet.

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55 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I’ve said my peace.  It’s getting warmer that part isn’t debatable. In the past that started ugly fights over the cause and the politics behind that.  I’m not getting into that. 

Wasn't trying to fight. Just expressing disappointment is all

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14 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Its a little better than that panel. WB WIll fail lol.

1611662400-4nOyaoigNAY.png

Lol. That's the smallest areal coverage for a " thump " that I think I've ever seen lol

 

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Just now, Chris78 said:

Lol. That's the smallest areal coverage for a " thump " that I think I've ever seen lol

 

Its pretty pathetic, and it may dwindle even more. This system doesn't have a lot going for it.

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9 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Its pretty pathetic, and it may dwindle even more. This system doesn't have a lot going for it.

It’s a prolific qpf producer and in a slightly colder airmass would be a huge score for us. 

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4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

12k NAM looks onboard with the thump. Surface looks slightly warmer but 850s slightly colder. Hopefully the NAMs smarter brother joins in.

3k a little warmer but nice to see the 12k join the euro. 

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Just now, NorthArlington101 said:


3k is great for MD. Think it was a step in the right direction. Plenty of time for this to get colder.

Very nice trend 

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Just now, Chris78 said:

@poolz1

We got named. Lol  (Purpled)

lol... heck yeah man, ill take it.  Def juiced up that WAA thump...probably the reason thermals looked better.

Felt great today with the first real CAA day of the winter...windy and just barely got above freezing. Seems like a pretty stout airmass in front of this.  22/10 right now.

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