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About Negnao

  1. Thanks for the info!
  2. Where do you see that? I see their last report was before 8am according to the NWS.
  3. PD3.5 Lite Obs and Nowcasting

    Absurd, the two are not mutually exclusive.
  4. PD3.5 Lite Obs and Nowcasting

    They didn't measure when the snow stopped(they are not required to do so although it's recommended). They measured hours after so melting and compaction lowered the total. Unfortunately the .2 is not the snowfall, it's what was left at the 7pm measurement. Other locations are much better at following NWS snowfall measurement recommendations. We should have people who care about science measure at the zoo as an additional official reporting location for DC.
  5. Jan 16/17 light snow event.

    H5 keeps backing more the next run or two and that northern low is even farther west and it will allow the southern precip to move north more before it goes east. You'll then have the scenario the euro first sniffed out a few days ago with rain on NYC and a few inches in central Virginia up to DC.
  6. Jan 16/17 light snow event.

    Hrrrx looks decent at hour 36. Wonder if it's as bad as the regular hrrr.
  7. January Mid-Long Range Disco

    Agreed about the climate. It's highly anamolous for DC to have consecutive winters with less than 10 inches. In fact, from 1887-1990 it only happened twice and one of those back to back winter periods was close to hitting 10 inches. Since 1990 it's happened more often, but overal it's not the norm. Chances are we'll get more snow this year. People need to calm down.
  8. January Mid-Long Range Disco

    Late 70s were pretty good. Annual snowfall at DCA: 77-78- 22.7 78-79: 37.7 79-80: 20.1
  9. Jan 4th Coastal Obs/Disc

    Pretty good. At 7am DCA reported .17 of precip and they might get another .01-.03. Of course their snow ratio is a joke and only .8 of snow was reported on that. Edit: I was responding to the thread about ppl complaining the euro gave .2 to DC and thought that it was smoking crack.
  10. Jan 4th Coastal Obs/Disc

    Dry air really fighting the precip trying to get into DC and points north and west. It's managed to get north of town and east of town and it's snowing as far north of town as York, pa. It just can't seem to advance even a mile into DC. It's the DC snow force field.
  11. Jan 4th Coastal Obs/Disc

    Mean qpf for DCA on the sref is .31
  12. Jan 4th Coastal Obs/Disc

    Rap looks improved as well.
  13. Jan 4th Coastal Obs/Disc

    I agree it's a bad model but the dec 8-9 storm was a qpf bust low and a ratio bust high. The hrrr was right about the lower qpf.
  14. Jan 4th Coastal Obs/Disc

    The driest air seems to be farther nw so far on this run. Don't know if it will translate into anything in the way of increased precip.
  15. JAN 4th Coastal

    Most of the models have precip into central nc before the system starts getting pushed east by the ns energy. That said, I'm still watching and hoping!