Negnao

We really need that Hudson Bay shortwave to deepen and lower the confluence ne of us. That seems to be the feature to focus on

Sref is 40 percent chance at dca as well.

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/current/mcview.phtml?prod=usrad&java=script&mode=archive&frames=60&interval=60&year=2000&month=1&day=24&hour=0&minute=0

It’s never polite to say someone is getting dca’d. Worst insult in the weather business.

The 12z navgem is also much more suppressed. CMC is on an island by itself.

Thanks! Looks like many of the ensemble runs. Some major hits and misses.

Can you post the list of analog storms? Forgive me if you’ve already done so.

The kicker is slower on the 0z gfs as compared to the 18z so in that regard it improved. If it’s not going to race out of the way, we would want it to hang back more and it trended that way. Am I reading that right?

We lost the jma too. Low goes off the SE coast. Not even close.

If history is a guide, this figure will be lowered in the following weeks.

Thanks for the info!

Where do you see that? I see their last report was before 8am according to the NWS.

Absurd, the two are not mutually exclusive.

They didn't measure when the snow stopped(they are not required to do so although it's recommended). They measured hours after so melting and compaction lowered the total. Unfortunately the .2 is not the snowfall, it's what was left at the 7pm measurement. Other locations are much better at following NWS snowfall measurement recommendations. We should have people who care about science measure at the zoo as an additional official reporting location for DC.