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Winter Begins Jan 20th AWT


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Wondering if they'll have to mention thunder in the S-SE zones... LI's down to 0 over Logan...

Probably while it ices along Rt 2 ...  This system is precisely wrong for everyone's preference.  Really is quite remarkably wrong -

I have a particular aversion and disinterest to the power going out because of ice storms... Meanwhile, if the 18z NAM gets it's way (warmest run yet mind you...) it's 54 F in ORH and boy oh boy does everyone that trashed the GFS looks embarrassing... 

Thing is... know what?  I bet the GFS was right for the wrong reason. It's got a whopper warm bias in the BL ... this situation may simply have converged over top it's bias.  Funny almost...

The FRH grid now 3" liquid at Logan, the but tries to argue for 3 inch burst of snow at the tail end -

Other notable ... NAM has single digits at 18z Monday at Logan with 30 mph wind gusts...  That could very well be a 45 F 24 -hr whiplash

 

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14 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Ice storm uncancelled? If the store verifies as warm as guidance currently shows, what does it say about the computer guidance that they really had this nailed at Day 5, only to lose it between Day 2-4?

As with many events, it truly was one NAM run at 00z a couple nights ago that sucked everyone back in, even the NYC and mid-Atlantic crowd.  Leave it to the NAM to always have that whacky run.

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