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Bob Chill

January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast

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1 hour ago, notvirga! said:

A frustrating day in Owings Mills. Life on the edge. 

Screenshot_20190113-191524_kindlephoto-151898200.png

Don't worry. I'm under the dark blue on the bottom side of the Baltimore dot and what's fallen has only been enough to give a light dusting.

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5 minutes ago, Steve25 said:

Man...I was feeling good about getting 4.5 inches out of this until I saw all of you up near 10. Are any of you near Baltimore? That would be the ultimate punch to the gut lol. 

Yes. Howard county. 

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23 minutes ago, snjókoma said:

.5 away from 10”. Hoping for a miracle (band).

Feel free to apologize to the forum.  We forgive but never forget.  Waiting...

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We have 9.0" right now measured on a car top in the open. Maybe would have been 10+ with regular clearing. Definitely a fun day all around, especially with the mid afternoon snow round and the late 7pm burst.

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3 minutes ago, Fozz said:

4.3" just north of the beltway. But it's often the other way around too, especially when mixing is involved.

I measured 4 inches this morning towards the end of the last real burst of snow. Other than a light on and off dusting I haven't had anything since about 10 or 11am. I'm right next to 83 less than a mile south of the train station.

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Normal that people right outside intense bands see flurries as it dumps a few miles away. Intense lifting means sinking air outside the band. What may look like a snowy radar may produce not much in reality. We got lucky here in HoCo and MoCo. 11” 

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1 minute ago, snowmagnet said:

The Northern trend was real in this storm.  We thought Fredericksburg was the bullseye, and then just south of DC. And the short term models keeps moving a bit north. But just south really suffered from the mix and north and west did very well!  

The ironic thing is the reason the snow totals ended up being much higher than we thought is the same reason it wasn't cold smoke. Lol. I'm good with that. The afternoon snow was very high ratio.

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4 minutes ago, RockabilyJunior said:

Don't worry. I'm under the dark blue on the bottom side of the Baltimore dot and what's fallen has only been enough to give a light dusting.

That might just be the most frustrating thing ever. You look at radar and see great rates right over you and then you look out the window to see flurries. 

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9 minutes ago, Yeoman said:

Not sure if it was posted, but 9.8" measured at National Airport as of 7:50p

If true, that's just... wow

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1 minute ago, real said:

National Airport has 9.8 as of an hour ago, per Capital Weather Gang. 

Get real, Real, everybody knows that DCA always inflates their snowfall amounts

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Had a little melting/compaction earlier, but just measured 9.4 inches for the storm (SE DC - Fairlawn - Randle Highlands). That'll be my final measurement.

Wouldn't surprise me if I had over 10 inches overall without the slight melting that occured this afternoon before the coastal low got going.

28/27 - temp is dropping, as the glacier starts to form overnight.

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11 minutes ago, Steve25 said:

Man...I was feeling good about getting 4.5 inches out of this until I saw all of you up near 10. Are any of you near Baltimore? That would be the ultimate punch to the gut lol. 

It just didn’t work out for us this time. Hopefully next time we do better. I ended up 5.2. Frustrating given how close we were to much more, but also, could have been much worse in terms of far less snow.

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5 minutes ago, real said:

National Airport has 9.8 as of an hour ago, per Capital Weather Gang. 

Ever since my move out of the Old Town heat island, that area has been doing oddly better compared to the western suburbs.

We got boned between bands this afternoon and evening... and we're almost surely done with about 7" OTG in Fairfax.

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Eased up to just flurries here and it looks like in general the lifting mechanism is dying out. Lots of weakening of the bands now. It was a fun evening though. Let's keep the ball rolling for next weekend. That's the BIG one.

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5 minutes ago, snowmagnet said:

The Northern trend was real in this storm.  We thought Fredericksburg was the bullseye, and then just south of DC. And the short term models keeps moving a bit north. But just south really suffered from the mix and north and west did very well!  

Places like Dale City usually get 4 inches from a Jan storm. That's climo for Dale City. Dale City ended up with 7.3 inches which is amazing, considering climo, but also got in some great fzdz and sleet which will end up fortifying the snowpack against the hated sun. It will also offer up a funny spectacle as people stagger along on the ice like penguins as they try to walk out to get their newspapers. The communities to the north and west have much much better climo, it was no surprise they ended up with nearly a foot of fresh snow from this. Overall, a massively excellent snow for nearly the entire subforum. It is fitting the Rockville deathband annihilated every community it hit.

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