lpaschall
-
Content count
285 -
Joined
-
Last visited
About lpaschall
-
MLK Weekend Event - Making Lemonade Out of Lemons
lpaschall replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
I feel likes the temps are busting lower than models foretasted. Not sure what that means since I am at 31-32 and it appears to be mostly rain with some flakes mixed in...Not really accumulating -
MLK Weekend Event - Making Lemonade Out of Lemons
lpaschall replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah I heard they were bad up there. My son was driving back from ski liberty and felt he needed to use 4wd. -
MLK Weekend Event - Making Lemonade Out of Lemons
lpaschall replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
Maybe 1/2 inch. Temps holding at 30-31 -
MLK Weekend Event - Making Lemonade Out of Lemons
lpaschall replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like it's snowing just 10 miles or so to the north of me. Sitting at 31 and rain when forecast called for 35 at this time. -
MLK Weekend Event - Making Lemonade Out of Lemons
lpaschall replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
All rain down here in Westminster -
MLK Weekend Event - Making Lemonade Out of Lemons
lpaschall replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
Snow finally starting in Westminster -
Not at all and I am here because my forum threw in the towel on this storm and I am on the fringes of this forum. Was primarily focusing on the long discussions about MJO, STS, etc... and what the long range models have 384 days out lol....
-
I dont trust anything the models put out outside of 36 hours. I have avoided our mid atlantic long range thread as its a roller coaster discussion that has zero usefulness.
-
I presume if it decouples the solution would come in colder?
-
MLK Weekend Event - Making Lemonade Out of Lemons
lpaschall replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
My faith is in the NAM now that we are in the short range. It has been consistent over the last few runs with minor timing differences. -
Good point. If you take that into consideration it does align with 6Z.
-
The 12Z NAM is warmer...The 2M freezing line touches the Mason Dixon line at HR36 when at 6Z it was 25 miles south.
-
MLK Weekend Event - Making Lemonade Out of Lemons
lpaschall replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
Lets see if the GFS follows... -
The NAM has been oscillating between runs and moving the frozen precip line north and south for the past 24 hours. Lets hope we start seeing a southerly trend with the NAM...
-
MLK Weekend Event - Making Lemonade Out of Lemons
lpaschall replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
Those in the MA will not like the 12ZNAM, The LP crosses directly over us and erodes the cold air