2017 First Freeze Contest!

[WxUSAF]

You are forecasting the first day the temperature reaches 32F at these locations:

DCA:

BWI:

IAD:

RIC:

Tiebreaker: Number of days with a minimum temperature below 40F at BWI in October

 

Lowest total departure wins!  This thread will lock at midnight September 30th.  

[BristowWx]

DCA: Dec 2

BWI: Nov 4

IAD: Oct 27

RIC: Nov 17

Number of days with a minimum temperature below 40F at BWI in October: 2

[WinterWxLuvr]

DCA 11/6

BWI 10/27

IAD 10/19

RIC 10/27

Tie 3

[MillvilleWx]

DCA: 11/17

BWI: 11/7

IAD: 10/28

RIC: 11/17

Tiebreaker: 3

[nw baltimore wx]

Lol. You stole the gif I wanted to use for my fall avatar!

DCA: 12/9

BWI:  11/12

IAD:  11/1

RIC:  11/1

Tiebreaker: Number of days with a minimum temperature below 40F at BWI in October

4

[RIC Airport]

DCA 11/22

BWI 10/28

IAD 10/27

RIC 11/7

Tiebreaker: 6

[yoda]

DCA 11/14

BWI 10/30

IAD 10/23

RIC 11/17

Tiebreaker: 4

[North Balti Zen]

DCA 11/16

BWI 10/24

IAD 10/15

RIC 11/5

Tie 4

[mappy]

DCA: 11/18

BWI: 11/01

IAD: 10/15

RIC: 11/20

Tiebreaker: Number of days with a minimum temperature below 40F at BWI in October: 3

[biodhokie]

DCA: 11/9

BWI: 10/30

IAD: 11/3

RIC:  11/20

Tiebreaker: 1

[mattie g]

DCA: 11/22

BWI: 11/10

IAD: 10/27

RIC:  11/10

Tiebreaker: 5

[Bob Chill]

DCA: 11/15

BWI: 11/7

IAD: 11/6

RIC:  11/7

Tiebreaker: 2

[wxdude64]

Not sure about the 'big cities' east, but we'd be late if this was 1983 here, 28 on 9/23/83.

I only go back to '79, but local CO-ops have mid teens dates back in 60's for a first freeze.

[H2O]

DCA: 11/22

BWI: 11/9

IAD: 11/7

RIC: 11/9

TB: 3

[WxUSAF]

DCA: 11/16

BWI: 11/8

IAD: 11/8

RIC: 11/16

TB: 3

 

Going late this year.   

[gopper]

DCA: 12/16

BWI: 12/8

IAD: 11/26

RIC: 12/16

TB: 4

 

 

[BTRWx]

3 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

DCA: 11/16

BWI: 11/8

IAD: 11/8

RIC: 11/16

TB: 3

 

Going late this year.   

Late?

[MDstorm]

DCA: 11/29

BWI: 11/04

IAD: 11/03

RIC:  11/30

Tiebreaker: Number of days with a minimum temperature below 40F at BWI in October:  3

 

MDstorm

[GramaxRefugee]

DCA: 11/22

BWI: 10/27

IAD: 10/26

RIC:  11/10

Tiebreaker: Number of days with a minimum temperature below 40F at BWI in October:  4

[WxReese]

You are forecasting the first day the temperature reaches 32F at these locations:

DCA: 11/24

BWI: 11/14

IAD: 11/14

RIC: 12/1

Tiebreaker: 3

[midatlanticweather]

DCA 11/22

BWI 11/21

IAD 11/21

RIC 12/6

Tiebreaker: 3

[WVclimo]

DCA: 11/20

BWI: 10/29

IAD:10/29

RIC: 11/19

Tiebreaker: 3

[EastCoast NPZ]

DCA: 12/1

BWI: 11/13

IAD: 11/10

RIC: 12/1

Number of days with a minimum temperature below 40F at BWI in October: 1

[weatherCCB]

 

DCA : 11/18

BWI : 11/6

IAD : 11/5

RIC : 11/18

T.B :  3

[WxUSAF]

Get your forecasts in!

[wxdude64]

DCA: 11/19

BWI: 11/10

IAD: 10/15

RIC: 11/10

TB: 2

[KingJWx]

DCA: 11/20

BWI: 11/5

IAD: 10/25

RIC: 11/10

Tiebreaker: 3

[BTRWx]

DCA: 11/11

BWI: 10/21

IAD: 10/10

RIC: 11/11

Tiebreaker: 10

[WxUSAF]

First sub 40 low for BWI. Forecasts attached. Several folks already have missed IAD.

2017 First Freeze Contest_forecasts.xlsx

[arlwx]

AS OF 7 AM ON Thursday 19 Oct, looks like BWI may have a third sub-40 day (40 now, sub-40 on the 17th and 18th).

BUT the GFS claims chances for a freeze maybe on the 29th and everywhere on the 30th (except maybe the heat island of DCA).

Time to huddle close to DCA and check on soup supplies (after one nice weekend upcoming).