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About WxReese

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  1. WxReese

    2018 Mid-Atlantic General Severe Discussion

    What an intense 30-ish hours down here in Charlottesville! Last night was absolutely insane. The most insane thing about it is the RPM and HRRR pretty much nailed these ridiculous rain totals as the afternoon progressed. It's always tough to believe the 8-18" (HRRR had 18"... seriously), those models were spitting out, but did they verify! I kept watching this PWS between updating FB/Twitter last night. The highest rain rate was 7.2"/hr. I mean, WHAT!? It was heartbreaking when I found out about the missing person in Madison County and the 2 people near Ivy just west of Charlottesville. According to some emergency personnel, some roads were under 5-8' of water last night. That's just insane to me. If that "fire hose" had been 8 miles east, we'd be talking about a lot more deaths/missing people than we already are.
  2. WxReese

    Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Discussion

    Had a 4.2" of snow just south of Charlottesville. That eclipses the snow total we had thus far this year (3.4") and all of last year (3.6") in one storm. haha! Let's see what Saturday night/Sunday morning have in store for us. My concern is the strong high will crush everything south of us. We shall see.
  3. WxReese

    Tracking Nate

    The way this is going, I'm not expecting more than a breeze at this point. What a snoozefest.
  4. WxReese

    2017 First Freeze Contest!

    You are forecasting the first day the temperature reaches 32F at these locations: DCA: 11/24 BWI: 11/14 IAD: 11/14 RIC: 12/1 Tiebreaker: 3
  5. WxReese

    Hurricane Maria

    The forecasts from the GFS, CMC, and EURO have been fairly consistent thus far. The real test comes the next day or two when the CMC has Maria flirting with the Turks and Caicos while the GFS and EURO keep it well east of them. We'd have to see a rather significant shift west tonight for the CMC's forecasts to verify. GFS: EURO CMC:
  6. WxReese

    September Disco/Obs Thread

    This is amazing weather. If it was the middle of July. This being the middle of September absolutely sucks. We shouldn't be flirting with 90 for 5-7 days in a row. Can't wait for relief to close out September next week.
  7. WxReese

    Hurricane Maria

    One thing that will be interesting to see is what impact the land interaction with PR will have with Maria. It will weaken, obviously, but it could skirt along the northern part of the island when it's trying to come off and shift things west later on down the road. Just something I'll keep an eye on tomorrow morning.
  8. WxReese

    Hurricane Maria

    2005 had 4 Category 5s: Emily, Katrina, Rita, Wilma.
  9. WxReese

    Harvey - Main Thread

    Here's the link to the very first one with Matthew last year: https://www.weather.gov/media/mlb/surveys/Matthew.pdf
  10. WxReese

    End of July Super Soaker

    Jealous of you guys right now. Then again... I don't want to stay at the station late on a Friday. So... Have fun and be safe!
  11. WxReese

    End of July Super Soaker

    We had a nice downpour here in Charlottesville. One of the reporting stations had a rain rate of 6.13" per hour at one point! Another one close by had 4.2" per hour. Definitely some impressive rains to be had out there with more bands expected to develop later tonight. Specially when the band that just went through here gets near Culpeper in the next few hours. Going to be quite the rain event for y'all up there.
  12. WxReese

    End of July Super Soaker

    I keep imagining this is January and we're about to be dumped on with snow... This will be a good test run for the new GFS, though, to see how it handles N'reasters. But y'all have fun with this storm! Looks to bypass us too much to get us in the heavy rain part here in Charlottesville. Oh well, at least we aren't roasting!
  13. WxReese

    July Obs/Disco Thread

    I'm finding out that summers in Virginia suck worse than Georgia or Florida. Way worse. At least down south you had the chance for showers and storms. Here?
  14. WxReese

    July Obs/Disco Thread

    Nope! We had 4 straight days of 99°. Talk about blue balls... haha!
  15. WxReese

    July Obs/Disco Thread

    CHO hit 100° for the first time since July 8, 2012. Impressive! Most impressive!