griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Good snow at 87 from Columbia to Wilmington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timothy Clyde Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, odell.moton said: How's upstate sc looking Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 lp looks more nw to me at 90hr. hopefully precip reflects it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Heavier precip at 90 in E SC into SE NC....great run in there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Crushjob for central GA through central SC to SE NC (3-6"...locally higher). Tight cutoff with CLT and RDU basically getting nothing. Kinda has a Fab Feb '10 feel to it (the Valentine's Day storm). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Still no dice for most in NC this run. I guess a good trend though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Is that the LP headed to port in Cuba? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, DopplerWx said: lp looks more nw to me at 90hr. hopefully precip reflects it. It may have ended up just a tad further north, but it's still well south of the other guidance. Maybe this is the first of several moves NW?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Just now, Poimen said: It may have ended up just a tad further north, but it's still well south of the other guidance. Maybe this is the first of several moves NW?? 18z was a decent tick North west than 12z for eastern sections so not the first but the second! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 2 minutes ago, Timothy Clyde said: Just look at the surface location for that lp. Lmbo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 precip shield about the same at 90, nice run for sc, cae to flo gets smoked. still like our position here in rdu, let the precip shield expand tomorrow as the sw comes ashore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Token dusting for the NW NC mountains. Ha. If this verifies Macon will have a higher yearly total than Boone (so far). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Textbook track for Columbia...sfc low across C FL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Another tick NW for the GFS. Got to believe climo wins out and we see an even bigger NW jog starting tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Window for northwest trend is any time up until mid day Friday. So, still a lot of time. Just glad to see that all models still have a storm. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, DopplerWx said: precip shield about the same at 90, nice run for sc, cae to flo gets smoked. still like our position here in rdu, let the precip shield expand tomorrow as the sw comes ashore. I thought it would start to be moving more NW now if it was going to do so. Still hasn't moved enough to do much here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Definitely a tick NW, we may be seeing the beginning of the NW trend for the GFS. Major ice for southern SC...yikes. Great storm if it plays out this way, this is not a loss by any means. Goodnight folks! Hopefully the Euro gives us the goods.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, griteater said: Textbook track for Columbia...sfc low across C FL Starting to think one way or another, this is just a novelty event for clt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 SV shows maybe 4-6 in ATL....not sure what the other clown maps have Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldman75 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 4 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: precip shield about the same at 90, nice run for sc, cae to flo gets smoked. still like our position here in rdu, let the precip shield expand tomorrow as the sw comes ashore. Is there a sharp cutoff near the coast? Or does it stretch anywhere between Charleston - outer banks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Ultimately this proves nothing til we see the CMC/UKIE. As I've said many times. If the GFS is a hold out its usually very stubborn and does not cave til inside 60 hours. Its also gotten good at being bad the last 2 years. It used to waffle which made it clear it was off, now it tends to stay consistent and really fool you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 UKMet looks less amped and out to sea...hard to really tell with the 24 hr panels, but it looks similar to GFS to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nomanslandva Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Starting to believe I need to look for ways to get the first wave to over perform up here Looks like a very interesting storm for you deeper south peeps! Reel it in!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, griteater said: SV shows maybe 4-6 in ATL....not sure what the other clown maps have Generally about the same...east and south of Atlanta gets more snow than north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Precip totals slowly but surely inching their way NW in the Carolinas. Charlotte was around 0.01-0.05" QPF at 12z on the GFS and is now at 0.20-0.30". Fayetteville is now over 0.5" after being at 0.05" at 12z. Interesting that after all the hysteria regarding the interaction or lack thereof, weak s/w, etc it found a way to develop more precip in central NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 I wouldn't torture yourself watching every shift of the GFS. On the whole, this is a really solid setup for NE GA/N SC/NC and into southern VA. In a split flow pattern, the GFS often over shears these incoming STJ waves. This results in a weaker/strung out/suppressed system. It will resolve this eventually. The PJ is screaming along over the great lakes with the departing polar vortex that swings out Thursday and drags a front through the southeast. There is a really nice boundary around 850 mb's on all the models that stalls out over the southeast. To me, that will be the focus of the heaviest precip and the areas just NW of there will be the best place for accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: Ultimately this proves nothing til we see the CMC/UKIE. As I've said many times. If the GFS is a hold out its usually very stubborn and does not cave til inside 60 hours. Its also gotten good at being bad the last 2 years. It used to waffle which made it clear it was off, now it tends to stay consistent and really fool you. Enjoy hearing your input on the model tendencies, thanks. I do recall the GFS a year or two ago being very jumpy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Just now, chapelhillwx said: Precip totals slowly but surely inching their way NW in the Carolinas. Charlotte was around 0.01-0.05" QPF at 12z on the GFS and is now at 0.20-0.30". Fayetteville is now over 0.5" after being at 0.05" at 12z. Interesting that after all the hysteria regarding the interaction or lack thereof, weak s/w, etc it found a way to develop more precip in central NC. 75 miles is all we need in 4 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 this should make all the nc peeps feel good, 12z gfs compared to the recent 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, Queencitywx said: 75 miles is all we need in 4 days. That puts it in the correct perspective right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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