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griteater

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About griteater

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  • Location:
    Charlotte, NC (South Lake Norman)

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  1. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Yeah it may help early on. Ensembles not showing the late May stuff, but it shows the ridge building to where it would be warmer than normals
  2. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Euro model Friday 2pm temperature / dewpoint under sunny skies: Greensboro: 72 / 47 Columbia: 77 / 49
  3. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Some nice temperature days this week (for summer). Ensembles show the ridge building across the southern 1/3 of the country going into the last week of June which would bring more high heat into the picture
  4. griteater

    June 2019 OBS

    5.20 storm total here
  5. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Well, it looks like Thursday thru Saturday will be a welcome site. More sun than not with highs south and east of the mtns in the 75-85 degree range.
  6. griteater

    June 2019 OBS

    Water release this evening at Cowans Ford Dam (Lake Norman). Just drove across
  7. griteater

    June 2019 OBS

    I have 4.80 inches of rain storm total. Just cloudy at the moment
  8. griteater

    June 2019 OBS

    Really sorry to hear it Calc. Hopefully the rain avoids you going forward. Storm total rain since Wed AM
  9. griteater

    June 2019 OBS

    Lots of lightning firing in those cells from Athens to Augusta - moving NNE
  10. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    The trajectory of the training cells here traveling south to north and NNW, and banking up against the Blue Ridge looks rather ominous for heavy rains and localized to regional flash flooding. Precipitable water / moisture content is high. Focus of the heavy rain threat looks to extend thru Sunday night. From latest Excessive Rainfall Discussion from WPC: PWs and instability will be on the increase again during the day and expect multiple rounds/clusters of storms through the period as additional shortwave impulses rotate around the mid/upper level trough to the west. A nearly stationary west to east boundary should help focus activity and support periodic backbuilding/training. The location of the main boundary appears to be a bit further south by later today...likely in the vicinity of central and western NC/SC. By later this afternoon into tonight we also will see an increase in 850mb southeasterly flow, which should add an orographic component to the rainfall along/east of the southern Appalachians across northeast GA into western NC/SC. The combination of the frontal boundary and increased upslope flow with time, suggests the likelihood of pockets of heavy rainfall into tonight. Would expect flash flooding to become increasingly common with time as soils saturate...and the setup does suggests the potential for at least localized significant flash flooding. The highest threat this morning is across western NC into southwestVA...and shifts southward a bit later today into tonight, with the greatest focus expected to be from far northeast GA into western SC/NC. This event does have the potential to produce high end flash flooding, especially by later today into tonight from northeast GA into the western Carolinas...and so will need to closely monitor trends across this region.
  11. griteater

    June 2019 OBS

    Had heavy rain with a little thunder roll thru. 2.2 inches of rain so far today
  12. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    No sign of any big heat ridges on the ensembles over the next 15 days
  13. griteater

    May 2019 Observations

    Since 1964, the high temperature in Charlotte has been 95 degrees or higher in May only one time (May 31, 2011). 3 days this May have reached 95 degrees (May 25, 26, 28), with that number being threatened again today. Interestingly enough, between 1878 and 1964, there were 30 such occurrences of 95+ degree days in May.
  14. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Not a cloud in the sky here today. Dewpoints / Humidity are down east of the mountains and temperatures are high, and it's breezy....an early summer scorcher. Some relief is on the way beginning Friday and thru next week.
  15. griteater

    FV3 GFS

    FV3 goes operational in June if all goes well with the final 30 day technical test https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pns19-09gfs_v15_1.pdf
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