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griteater

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About griteater

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    Charlotte, NC (South Lake Norman)

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  1. griteater

    April 18, 19, 2019 Severe Event

    ^ Isolated tornadoes seems like appropriate wording. Modest directional wind shear is a limiting factor for more and stronger tornadoes IMO, not to mention the current E NC rain
  2. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Why does the NAO hate us so much?
  3. griteater

    April 2nd 2019 Possible Flizzard Discussion&Obs

    Some decent bursts of snow here near Cowans Ford Dam at the back edge of precip
  4. griteater

    April 2nd 2019 Possible Flizzard Discussion&Obs

    After moving NW for a few runs, the Euro has moved SE with the precip shield in its last 2 runs including the new 18z run. Greenville and west gets less than a tenth on this run. Charlotte is around 0.25
  5. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    The word from GSP... Clouds will begin to increase tonight as storm system across southern Georgia and southern South Carolina amplifies and then moves up the eastern coast. Most of the precipitation with this system is southeast of the GSP region, but some is expected Tuesday morning. Cold-air damming with northeasterly surface flow will keep surface temperatures low enough for possible snow, without making much of a warm nose. 12Z NAM soundings show clear-cut snow soundings in some places, though with surface temperatures just barely cold enough. Tuesday morning lows, which take wet-bulb effect into account to some extent, are generally just above freezing in piedmont areas. Areas with heavier precipitation could see more wet bulbing, and have a greater chance of getting some snow accumulation. Both the NAM and the HREF have the most snow along south of I85 where heavier precipitation and more wet-bulbing occurs. Otherwise, rain mixed with snow with fairly quick melting is anticipated Tuesday morning, with some slush possible on area roads. Higher elevations in the mountains may see general snow, but precip. amounts are expected to be lighter there.
  6. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    My thoughts on this setup... I would go with: Charlotte Area: Trace to 1 inch Greenville-Spartanburg Area: Trace to 1/2 inch Looks to me like forcing for ascent will be modest. Precip light to moderate at times, with focus of precip in a 4 hour window - 7AM to 11AM for Charlotte, 5AM to 9AM for GSP. Rain or Rain/Snow mix when precip is light. Mostly snow when precip is steady.
  7. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Last 5 runs of Euro total precip
  8. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Euro bumped SE with precip but is a little colder on the NW fringe
  9. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    12z ICON
  10. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    12z RGEM is warmer than the NAM
  11. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    NAM shows mix to snow for you. We'll need steady precip to get things cooled down to where it's cold enough https://www.weathernerds.org/models/nam.html?&inittype=zoom&initfield=Rain-Snow_Radar&initcycle=determine&initfhour=024&initimdimx=1050&initimdimy=653&initrange=37.171858774690:275.022857142806:32.907407407425:283.251428571371&initcx1=0&initcy1=0&initcx2=0&initcy2=0&initcross=False&initsound=True&initsoundx=333&initsoundy=384&initloop=False&initoverlay=False&initlstart=000&initlend=084&initlint=6&initol1=Rain-Snow_Radar&initol2=null&initol3=null&initol4=null&initol5=null&initcities=On&inithgwys=On
  12. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    NAM composite reflectivity loop from 2AM to 2PM tomorrow
  13. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    'The snowiest winter sounding I ever saw was an April NAM sounding for Uptown Charlotte'
  14. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    12z NAM at 8AM tomorrow
  15. griteater

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    06z Euro bumped NW with total precip. Here's a loop of the last 4 runs
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