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About SnowNiner

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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  • Location:
    Mooresville, NC

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  1. SnowNiner

    Winter 2018-2019 Speculation

    Yeah, December and February look pretty good. I think you would see a -NAO there on average. January looks the standard the last 4 years. All in all, not bad. Hope it holds.
  2. SnowNiner

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    Lol. Nice to see the FV3 still has the happy hour run this winter! Didn't want to lose that...
  3. SnowNiner

    Winter 2018-2019 Speculation

    Allan's winter forecast....looks as good as I think you can ask for. December meh as usual, but January starts a good season. Patiently waiting on Grit's outlook...:) http://raleighwxmodels.com/awhuffma/Winter/Winter2018-19Forecast.pdf
  4. SnowNiner

    2018/2019 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread

    Yep, got a dusting up in the Balsams, 5500 feet. Special weather statement, traffic caution. Wintry mix through the night.
  5. SnowNiner

    Winter 2018-2019 Speculation

    Not that I put too much credence into seasonal models, but the take away from those IRI maps to me is both Alaska and Greenland are above normal temperatures. That's usually a good thing the for the southeast even though there's no blues down our way. That NSF map though...yuck. Let's just hope that's an outlier.
  6. SnowNiner

    Winter 2018-2019 Speculation

    I think we have them in March and April every year....when it doesn't matter anymore (spring). I'm referring to Dec, Jan, Feb Greenland blocking. We just don't seem to get it anymore. -EPO block in Alaska yes, Greenland -NAO block no. I bet that trend continues this year. Anthony Masiello already doesn't think big -NAO blocking is going to happen this December either. I actually understood a few of his tweets today! I would love some good Atlantic blocking but I'll be happy with a steady STJ keeping waves coming, eventually meeting up with a cold air mass.
  7. SnowNiner

    2018 Banter Thread

    Actually, I think it's a pile of bologna. . I can't think of a winter predictor that has had less success in the last 5 years as the Siberian snow cover index. IMO. Nope, we hug all models that don't show it...for the good of winter.
  8. SnowNiner

    Winter 2018-2019 Speculation

    I thought for good blocking Grit, we would want to stay -10 to -20? Somewhere thereabouts. Fly in the ointment? Generally I'm going with the persistence model until it breaks. Last few years, we haven't had any NA blocking at all. Cold came from west coast ridging and the -EPO. Had a healthy dose of WAR too. My preliminary bet is we generally get more of the same this year. I'm fine with that though if we can just get the STJ rolling. If Nino can at least give us that, we should do just fine.
  9. SnowNiner

    Hurricane Florence

    That seems a bit overdone IMO. I may be wrong but I think Brad P's forecast of 4-8 is more reasonable for CLT. Lines up with GFS products. I'll need to check but I don't know if any models showed a foot of rain for CLT yet?
  10. SnowNiner

    Hurricane Florence

    Evidently. Overall this thing has been a bit overhyped IMO, from evacuating the entire SC coast 2 days ago to this. The charlotte observer is telling everybody on the front page for everybody to be prepared to be without power for 3 days. I'm just not seeing it for clt. Yes, there's going to be alot of rain (maybe). And if you live in a floodplain, there's going to be flooding (could be). I'm not sure power outages are going to be widespread even if there is alot of rain. So why cancel schools....before it even reaches Charlotte? Facebook recommendations seem out of control too from what I hear from my workmates.
  11. SnowNiner

    Hurricane Florence

    Howdy all, interesting weather in the summer, go figure! I'm really not a tropical guy and I don't really follow weather very closely in the summer. But I usually pay attention to tropical storms tracking toward the Carolinas. I've never seen a storm that I recall come up SC/NC and go NW (other than Hugo). 98% of the storms re-curve more toward the north and NE. If I had to bet, I'd say this one will do similar. Though we hug the EURO in the winter, I'm leaning toward this affecting the Eastern Carolinas more as usual. I'd be surprised if Charlotte north and west had any extraordinary weather. With that said, considering we've got another 3 days before landfall I bet the final track is totally different than what we're seeing. The last 2 years have shown these systems go where they want to go and we're not that great in predicting them yet at long leads.
  12. SnowNiner

    spring snowstorm 4/7 -4/8

    Didn't Brad P say there was 0% chance we'd see any more than 1 inch of snow in CLT from the January storm? I think we're going to get a foot then... lol, I don't know, I don't think we've had a storm ride the gulf coast all year, so I'm pretty skeptical we're going to get one in April. It riding up the Apps seems about right. I don't see any hard core blocking pushing it south.
  13. SnowNiner

    spring snowstorm 4/7 -4/8

    12Z CMC looked like a frontal passage, lost the storm. Yes, GFS went north. We need a nice Miller A along the gulf coast to have a shot at anything. This morning's EURO and several GFS runs overnight had my attention. But if EURO goes north in the next few minutes...meh.
  14. SnowNiner

    spring snowstorm 4/7 -4/8

    Very lol worthy. But hey, kudos to the models for giving weenie runs in April. That in and of itself is unique and memorable.
  15. SnowNiner

    Winter 2017-2018 Recap (In Images & Photos)

    That was extremely informational Grit, thank you. Next year let's reign in the March pattern in January or February!