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DopplerWx

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Everything posted by DopplerWx

  1. DopplerWx
    A beaut
  2. DopplerWx
    look at the soundings, pretty close to a sleet souding on 06z and 12z looks even worse.
  3. DopplerWx
    upstate to clt thru rdu and greenville all snow at hr 51. another good gfs run coming.
  4. DopplerWx
    upstate and clt folks, a thing of beauty. feels good to have the 3km nam on our side with cooler upper levels this run.
  5. DopplerWx
    wow, on 3km nam charlotte gets rid of the warm nose after hr48 and then we have an all snow sounding if sfc temps cooperate. interesting...
  6. DopplerWx
    interesting nws gsp is leaning towards this being rain/snow vs sleet. hope they are right.
  7. DopplerWx
    when is the last time you saw the nam overdo a warm nose only to have it trend colder as we got closer to verification? the warm nose will likely be stronger than advertised. believe these 8-10" outputs at your own peril.
  8. DopplerWx
    anyone who has tracked nc/sc storms knows this is a warning shot from the nam. 3k showing that stout of a warm nose and it has only trended stronger. this is a sleet storm for upstate to clt and if i were in rdu i'd be concerned as well. we all know how this usually ends up.
  9. DopplerWx
    Grit, that warm nose the nam is painting for Charlotte scares me. Seen this movie before...
  10. DopplerWx
    precip looks a bit further north on the gfs out to 69
  11. DopplerWx
    as the 12z nam runs, just look at the northward shift in precip for weds before our event in the last 24hrs.
  12. DopplerWx
    if the 00z euro had a bit more precip northward into nc i think we would have seen a 1-2" system, model just didn't have enough precip to spit out snow at the sfc level even though soundings looked near ideal for snow. would much rather have this issue than our usual fear of the warm nose screwing us. give me cold upper levels and ill worry about precip, especially in this pattern.
  13. DopplerWx
    roads are fine
  14. DopplerWx
    yea those returns coming northward look insane.
  15. DopplerWx
    pouring here in southpark, windshields already getting covered.
  16. DopplerWx
    IF we can keep this heavy band just west enough to move over clt we will be in business for a little time of some mod snow I believe
  17. DopplerWx
    SNOWING IN SOUTHPARK
  18. DopplerWx
    fwiw gfs at 06z had nothing for clt and now 12z has ~1" accums.
  19. DopplerWx
    good lord the nam. cut it by 80% and i'll still be ecstatic. wild that clt has has not even a trace in april since 87.
  20. DopplerWx
    You had my curiosity, now you've got my attention.
  21. DopplerWx
    nam showing the tongue of precip over clt now, similar to the hrrr. precip shield is healthier and further inland as well but looks like ran in eastern sc.
  22. DopplerWx
    Gfs shifted precip west again vs 18z
  23. DopplerWx
    yea this is pretty close to game on for eastern carolinas
  24. DopplerWx
    nam much further nw with precip at 54. this is a massive shift.
  25. DopplerWx
    fv3 not as good as 06z. heavier returns a bit east.
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