gfs giving us a foot of snow less than 12hrs from onset, if we mix and get screwed i will never forget it. we will know about 10pm tonight if it si still raining or sleeting if its out to lunch and needs to be put down
rah nws should be ramping down snowfall totals for wake coming up. 12hrs of heavy sleet and rain while those to the nw get heavy snow. im nervous here by the airport bc the sleet usually overperforms, hope to see at least 1-2" of snow.
if the sref plumes gave rdu 15"+ (which it did in the 2015 storm) i'd throw it out, not concerned at all with that. gfs ens members are all hits, euro is a hit, euro ens are hits, rgem is a hit. really we are in a good spot.
memories of the last few years of big snow totals forecasted only to end up sleet are making me nervous. hope the gfs holds serve, not much wiggle room here in wake.