Jump to content

DopplerWx

Members
  • Posts

    3,398
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by DopplerWx

  1. after rdu gets 4" tonight i will be the only one in the sanitarium. bummer.
  2. we need to remember for future storms that the nw trend only happens if it screws you with temps. otherwise you can bank on being dry.
  3. CR what time are you planning on reviving the "what did we learn" thread?
  4. hrrr has shifted precip east each of the past 4 runs, very similar to the new nam. uh oh...
  5. 970 mb low off Wilmington and still bone dry, laughable really. We learned last year to never trust the models until you see snow falling from the sky
  6. I've seen this movie plenty of times. Gonna be a epic storm offshore with a brutal cutoff and minimal precip back to 95. Friggin Florida with more snow than clt and rdu.
  7. if you want snow just have me move away from your town. used to live in charleston, now theyre getting 2-4". moved from raleigh, now they will see some snow. meanwhile charlotte is bone dry.
  8. because you did that we will have a jan 2000 redux and you will go down in infamy lol
  9. nam is giving chest compressions for the nyd event, ill toss a rope for those who jumped off the cliff.
  10. glad i saw my 5" of snow a few weeks ago in nyc, makes it a lot easier to watch these storm threats disappear.
  11. another inch or so on the back end for western nc and ga, what a great storm for you guys.
  12. also this should scare you if you have visions of clown maps dancing in your head, models may be underdoing the warm nose (imagine that) Jonathan Wall‏ @_jwall RDU flight observed sounding vs SREF from last night. Notice shallow warm layer from 900-1000mb and the tiny warm nose just before 800mb. It’s as if it was trying to tell us something!
  13. warm nose right now looks very similar to the hires nam and hrrr from last night. when you have both of them showing the snow line above you it is usually the kiss of death.
  14. i understand being wary of the hrrr but to think it is going to be THIS off? not likely. this is one of those warning shots the day before a storm that you ignore at your own peril.
  15. the HP is sitting in the midwest, much different than here. hrrr does not have a warm bias that i have seen, has nailed MANY rain/snow lines over the past few winters.
  16. hrrr tomorrow afternoon, no snow to be found in ga, sc or much of nc.
  17. newest hrrr has a steady cold rain tomorrow for all of sc and nc outside of the mountains at noon.
  18. remember when the hrrr was showing it ripping fatties tomorrow morning in nc? here's the latest run.
  19. hires nam showing the snow line not as far south and east as the 12km nam, FYI.
  20. agreed. as the low cranks offshore the precip should end as light snow showers for most. that is a good start to winter in my book.
  21. you can't be too surprised if it does trend warmer and most see cold rain, the setup was marginal at best for nc, many just got overexcited by 10:1 ratio snow maps.
  22. because we are getting closer to the event and we are at the max range of the hrrr. if it keeps trending warmer everyone hoping for the clown maps to verify better temper their expectations quickly. have seen this song and dance many times.
×
×
  • Create New...