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DopplerWx

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Everything posted by DopplerWx

  1. DopplerWx
    past 2 hrrr runs have really warmed for much of nc for tomorrow. 21z run: 23z run:
  2. DopplerWx
    hrrr was pretty accurate last jan but the snow line ended up ~50miles or so north of where it was forecasted, had me safely in the snow and ended up with rain and sleet. just a forewarning.
  3. DopplerWx
    gfs even warmer thru 36, precip a bit west
  4. DopplerWx
    brutal warm nose on the hi-res nam. upstate sc looks like snow initially with the heavier rates but quickly goes back to rain. clt east looks like all rain.
  5. DopplerWx
    this will be killer for snow chances just like last year, another snowstorm a couple thousand feet up. going to be very difficult to overcome a 3c warm nose. Jonathan Blaes @jlblaes 5 minutes ago Snow lovers, Rut Roh! The 12/07 06Z NAM BUFR forecast for KRDU is picking up on a developing warm nose Friday night. At 2am, snow aloft is falling but likely melts in the ~3C warm nose near 775 mb. The +2C surface temp and warm ground limit accumulations. #ncwx
  6. DopplerWx
    going to have wet grass and wet roads, little to nothing will stick outside of car tops and elevated surfaces. model sees .2" qpf falling as snow and paints it on a clown map that people get excited about when .18" of that qpf will melt as soon as it makes contact.
  7. DopplerWx
    3k nam has pretty much all rain for clt to rdu east. warm nose rears its head.
  8. DopplerWx
    theres a good look at the power of the warm nose at 51hr.
  9. DopplerWx
    yep, we all tried to ignore it 36-48hrs out last jan and it ended up being even stronger than modeled.
  10. DopplerWx
    anyone hoping the warm nose isnt as strong as modeled on the hi-res nam is going to be very dissapointed.
  11. DopplerWx
    more precip but warmer at 78. a cold rain for most in nc.
  12. DopplerWx
    yep. every ensemble for the gfs and euro were showing 10"+ the morning of the storm and we got a cold rain and some sleet because of the warm nose. i really don't see any reason to expect more than some token flakes rdu north with this one.
  13. DopplerWx
    clipper with some light snow sunday morn
  14. DopplerWx
    at least i saw snow and the ground is somewhat white. what a freaking nightmare this was. tracking it nearly 8 days out only for this garbage. perfect track only to have a sleetfest with token flakes. disgusting.
  15. DopplerWx
    they are airing a show on weather phobias...no time for live coverage.
  16. DopplerWx
    this was 18hrs ago, just shows what a bust this was
  17. DopplerWx
    ABC11 WTVD with Don Schwenneker WTVD. 18 hrs · The latest snow chances for most of the viewing area: *100% chance of seeing snow *90% chance of seeing 2 inches or more *80% chance of seeing more than 4 inches *50/50 chance of seeing more than 8 inches in the Triangle!
  18. DopplerWx
    hey remember when TWC was calling for 8-12" for raleigh and cantore was here this morning? good times!
  19. DopplerWx
    seems to have stalled now, big chunk of precip otw so im hoping it sags south again. hrrr shows it but who knows.
  20. DopplerWx
    hrrr's view of the snow line. lol. godawful.
  21. DopplerWx
    BOOM all snow now! never had a doubt!!
  22. DopplerWx
    for pack and cold rain...latest hrrr
  23. DopplerWx
    hrrr has calmed me down a bit.
  24. DopplerWx
    rain falling in the light of the streetlamps is so beautiful.
  25. DopplerWx
    radar matches hrrr really well, doubt we see snow tonight, maybe token flakes tomorrow morning before precip ends. my god what a kick in the nuts this storm was.
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