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Everything posted by DopplerWx
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wow, fv3 even colder.
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yea at 90 soundings for clt look really good. took a bit to cool down.
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soundings dont look as good thru 84 for kclt though.
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at 84 its about identical to 12z
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gfs looks a tick cooler out to 72 vs 12z, initial precip coming into sc/nc
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ukie verification scores lately have been pretty solid too. above even the fv3
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this is a telling statement from nws gsp. We are approaching increases in the official fcst QPF cautiously since even modest snow ratios from these values would result in snow/sleet accumulations that might be a once-in-a-generation event for parts of the Piedmont.
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to me it seems likely we see initial snow sat night into sunday morning before a changeover, no matter what that is a win this early in december. give me an inch or 2 and i will be more than happy.
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i know we keep saying it but jan 2017 storm had the ensembles showing insane totals just like these and the waa screwed many of us. expecting a loooot of sleet with this one.
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here is an image to save, from the 12z gfs for charlotte lol.
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it is about to transfer offshore sc. just like 06z.
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fv3 looks very similar to the gfs at 96hr.
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TT fv3 sim radar
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fv3 a bit south with our lp out to 66.
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going ahead and making my reservation for sunday in the sanitarium.
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hoping we can get it to keep trending cooler over the next 3 days.
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now that is the kiss of death, will never forget when he popped in the jan 2017 thread and fired the warning shot.
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agree but soundings have improved over the past 6 runs or so. still expecting the nam to show that warm nose about 36hrs out once we are all nice and excited.
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backside is juicy too, man if these soundings verified for kclt, what a monster storm it would be.
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charlotte sounding at 96 w/ heavy precip. we like to live dangerously.
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at 96, oh mama. beautiful look.
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dps a bit better and the snow line is maybe a tick south.
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icon still showing initial snow in clt thru sunday morning before changing to rain for areas even to asheville.
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yea looking at soundings on the 6z gfs clt looks all snow thru 96 then a warm nose pops up at 102 turning us to sleet. encouraging that the warmer gfs shows a nice front end thumping. if we can get the nam thermals to verify we would be in even better shape.
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6z gfs has clt right on the rain snow line and in turn spit out these ridiculous numbers. i don't buy it though, i think we see a lot more sleet and a lot more rain than snow.
