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DopplerWx

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Everything posted by DopplerWx

  1. yea at 90 soundings for clt look really good. took a bit to cool down.
  2. soundings dont look as good thru 84 for kclt though.
  3. at 84 its about identical to 12z
  4. gfs looks a tick cooler out to 72 vs 12z, initial precip coming into sc/nc
  5. ukie verification scores lately have been pretty solid too. above even the fv3
  6. this is a telling statement from nws gsp. We are approaching increases in the official fcst QPF cautiously since even modest snow ratios from these values would result in snow/sleet accumulations that might be a once-in-a-generation event for parts of the Piedmont.
  7. to me it seems likely we see initial snow sat night into sunday morning before a changeover, no matter what that is a win this early in december. give me an inch or 2 and i will be more than happy.
  8. i know we keep saying it but jan 2017 storm had the ensembles showing insane totals just like these and the waa screwed many of us. expecting a loooot of sleet with this one.
  9. here is an image to save, from the 12z gfs for charlotte lol.
  10. it is about to transfer offshore sc. just like 06z.
  11. fv3 looks very similar to the gfs at 96hr.
  12. fv3 a bit south with our lp out to 66.
  13. going ahead and making my reservation for sunday in the sanitarium.
  14. hoping we can get it to keep trending cooler over the next 3 days.
  15. now that is the kiss of death, will never forget when he popped in the jan 2017 thread and fired the warning shot.
  16. agree but soundings have improved over the past 6 runs or so. still expecting the nam to show that warm nose about 36hrs out once we are all nice and excited.
  17. backside is juicy too, man if these soundings verified for kclt, what a monster storm it would be.
  18. charlotte sounding at 96 w/ heavy precip. we like to live dangerously.
  19. at 96, oh mama. beautiful look.
  20. dps a bit better and the snow line is maybe a tick south.
  21. icon still showing initial snow in clt thru sunday morning before changing to rain for areas even to asheville.
  22. yea looking at soundings on the 6z gfs clt looks all snow thru 96 then a warm nose pops up at 102 turning us to sleet. encouraging that the warmer gfs shows a nice front end thumping. if we can get the nam thermals to verify we would be in even better shape.
  23. 6z gfs has clt right on the rain snow line and in turn spit out these ridiculous numbers. i don't buy it though, i think we see a lot more sleet and a lot more rain than snow.
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