DopplerWx
-
Posts
3,398 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by DopplerWx
-
by hr 30 clt looks to be a snow sounding but it is very close. i think a lot of these shifts in rain/sleet/snow line is from the varying precip rates with each run moving north and south.
-
temps much warmer at 45 than 12z though. a lot of frz rain and sleet.
-
nam trends over the past 6 runs, temps cooler, precip slower.
.thumb.gif.c634ebddfe4be7886349abccf2fc6025.gif)
-
at 36 its pretty close to 12z, snow line may even be a bit south. precip just was slower.
-
18z run of the hrrr goes out to 36hr and is still running but i figured i would post it. shows rain but soundings have 2m temps at 46 (5 degrees higher than the forecast) so hopefully out to lunch.
-
yea are the WRFs worth anything this far out?
-
euro kuchera maps brought the snow line a tick north but nothing huge. 4-6" for clt on the front end snow before changeover.
-
fv3 holds serve, pretty close to 06z
-
12z nam with a mized bag. total snow increased a good bit each run since the 12z runs yesterday which is a good trend.
-
upstate to clt back to all snow at 51 with the lp just offshore sc. mercy.
-
good stuff as the 3k nam caved as well and has the snow line well south of its 6z run.
-
nam really cranking at hr39 and upstate looks to be all snow again after some brief mixing?
-
man, when was the last time the nam came south with the snow line as we got closer to a storm?
-
well this is an improvement.
-
this nam run is looking real nice.
-
hr32 and upstate looks to be all snow.
-
wow much better look at hr30. snow line below the state line, similar to euro and fv3.
-
out to 26 and nam looks colder, snow line right over clt and points west.
-
where can you find the 06z/18z euro runs on wxbell, I can't seem to find it?
-
its more of a difference between modeling, as the main snow will come from the front end thump before any changeover. nam shows snow line well north with low totals while gfs and euro have the snow line much further south showing 6"+ before changeover
-
i hate it but the wsp disco about the waa being less of a factor than normal due to easterly winds vs SE winds has my hopes up a bit more for clt. the fv3 and euro match up perfectly with the snow line below the state line but the rgem and nam continue to show it well to our north. if we could just get them to shift south i would feel much better about the 3-5" the NWS is calling for.
-
man if somehow the fv3 scored a coup on this it may rival the euro in terms of legendary status for the next few years. i hate that i am holding out hope that the snow line verifies and sets up just to the south of clt. ughhhhh. and with wsp mentioning the possibility of waa not being as big of a factor as in previous storms.
-
dang, havent even thought of the effects the dugan values will have on the shaft...talk about a fly in the ointment.
-
much better run at 57. clt close.
-
yesterdays runs had snow in western nc at 18z sat, now showing rain.
.gif.cec354eb2e06dc7deb2e67f4607ece96.gif)
