Jon

This was a first for me honestly. Haven't seen a bust like this in years, maybe never. This isn't a situation when modeling trended our way within the last 24 hours and we ended up not getting it (which happens often with NW jogging, etc), it's a situation where the Euro hits on 8"+ for days leading up to the storm and only the Nam 4km and HRRR starts talking differently. Warm SST's might have been the silent killer, moisture was simply too warm even with plenty of cold air and the TEXTBOOK and I mean TEXTBOOK track for Central NC. Good god this is bad. Can't ask for more, so when are we going to get another look at 12"+ for Wake? It will be a few years. Shame.

Regulars in this thread right now

He's on another board. I also just registered and am posting on that board.People were way too fast to run away webber on this board, lots of insight and he's going to be one of the most recognized distinguished mets of his time - that's a fact. I can't imagine where he will end up in 20 years...probably some climate forecaster with a million twitter followers. Ha.

You're all welcome. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Btw - check out how much this thread is rolling! Good god this was a great idea. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Anyone punting to feb is an idiot Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Not surprising at all, I expect a warmup in mid Jan if we can't get sustained blocking which is hard to do. The next cold would have to be last week of Jan/early feb Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Day 10 and 11 have back to back systems for NC on the 6z. Just not cold enough. Had it been a smidge colder this forum would be off its rockers in the disco thread ready to cash in on their 12" totals Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Bufkit warehouse is also a great resource for soundings to load up in BUFKIT http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/

It's very unique to our area, here's a write up on it http://theweatherprediction.com/weatherpapers/030/index.html

Yep only 10 days off from the post in 2014. Mods need to get locked and loaded, it is time.

Great new (free) models this year: http://www.pivotalweather.com/ - features point and click soundings via SHARPpy

Me and my Doctor, I'll get one next year

#5

*BUMP* for the influx of new users after the last system

I'm adding this because it's going to get swallowed in the disco thread. For people who are interested in noaa recon missions: I emailed the guy over at http://tropicalatlantic.com/ to turn back on the pacific google earth plugin since recons were flying for winter, he has it up now and it's located here: http://tropicalglobe...eastandcentral/ the direct plugin link is here: http://tropicalglobe...ndcentral/live/ NON-TASKED missions are here: http://tropicalglobe...d.cgi?year=2013 updates every 5 minutes, also has an archive...love the in-browser plugin so you don't have to download Google Earth and the different data sets! Enjoy.

That's the longest it gets, a little shorter now...haven't took the leap to cut it all off like my bro though, gf likes it too much

Me and my brother at my white coat ceremony...I'm on the right

I think it can be below 850mb though, but really the overall concept is there has to be enough time for it to refreeze, of course.

Thanks man! Oh wait...THAT Jon.

My girlfriend and I took a trip to Raven Rock State Park in Lillington, NC not too far from Buies Creek, where I'll be for the next 4 years in school. It was a great hike and the rock formations are awesome...some of the best I've seen in this part of the state.

haha beat me to it.

The girlfriend. Thanks for the compliment! lol

Is the TV on or is that a ghost!?