high risk Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 The latest HRRR Is very intriguing. The storyline in most of the guidance has been that the early morning band of precip will be rain except for areas well northwest of I-95, with the threat for snow for most people during the afternoon. But the HRRR says that it comes down so heavily in the initial band that it actually turns most of the area over to a nice burst of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 The latest HRRR Is very intriguing. The storyline in most of the guidance has been that the early morning band of precip will be rain except for areas well northwest of I-95, with the threat for snow for most people during the afternoon. But the HRRR says that it comes down so heavily in the initial band that it actually turns most of the area over to a nice burst of snow. What time does it have the precip starting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 roughly 4AM in the western burbs and 5AM for DC. starts as rain. in fact, the 00z cycle backed off a bit on the intensity which slows down any transition to snow. Rates will be the key for getting snow in the early morning band. What time does it have the precip starting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 roughly 4AM in the western burbs and 5AM for DC. starts as rain. in fact, the 00z cycle backed off a bit on the intensity which slows down any transition to snow. Rates will be the key for getting snow in the early morning band. The RAP and the HRRR? 1z cycles should bring it back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 These are the kinds of systems that seem to favor northern Poconos and NE corner of PA, sorta to the N&E of Scranton ... toward the N NJ/NY State region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 Nam colder than HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 Nam colder than HRRR Nam's got 6" for Wilmington, and a 7" jackpot for those sharks swimming 70 miles south of central Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 Currently 36. Somehow I don't see rain as a possibility overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 Currently 36. Somehow I don't see rain as a possibility overnight. I was thinking that too. I am at 37. If the upper levels are cold then what makes this any different than the same set up in January. I know when the sun comes up its toast but until about 12z we should be cold enough. Or am I nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 Super cold higher up. Even if we miss the pre sun snow the noontime and on boil ups can be wild. 38/25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 33 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 36 with a dew point of 29. Would be nice to hit 32 before predicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 Freeze warnings all over the place now. URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 411 AM EDT SAT APR 9 2016 WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-NORTHWEST MONTGOMERY-NORTHWEST HOWARD- FREDERICK VA-WARREN-CLARKE-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK- NORTHERN FAUQUIER-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-WESTERN LOUDOUN- EASTERN LOUDOUN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON- ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EDT SUNDAY... * TEMPERATURES...LOW TO MID 20S TONIGHT. * TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-PAGE-NORTHERN VIRGINIA BLUE RIDGE- CENTRAL VIRGINIA BLUE RIDGE- ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EDT SUNDAY... * TEMPERATURES...LOW TO MID 20S TONIGHT. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-NORTHWEST HARFORD-NELSON-ALBEMARLE- GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-ORANGE-CULPEPER-MORGAN- ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EDT SUNDAY... * TEMPERATURES...LOW TO MID 20S TONIGHT. SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-SOUTHEAST HARFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BALTIMORE...ABERDEEN...FREDERICKSBURG 411 AM EDT SAT APR 9 2016 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT SUNDAY... * TEMPERATURES...MID TO UPPER 20S TONIGHT. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES- CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MONTGOMERY-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST HOWARD- FAIRFAX-ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-KING GEORGE- ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT SUNDAY... * TEMPERATURES...MID TO UPPER 20S TONIGHT. * TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. ST. MARYS-CALVERT- ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT SUNDAY... * TEMPERATURES...MID TO UPPER 20S TONIGHT. * TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 Rain and snow. 39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 It looks like all snow outside my window. ~35F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 Doesn't look like this will be a big deal for anyone in MD. GFS/NAM/HRRR pushing most snow accums into PA. Not even a lot of precip down this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 Got a dusting here between 5:30 and 6:30am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 40.0 after an overnight "high" of 43.2. Bit of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 40 and rain. Coming down pretty hard right now. Might be some sloppy flakes mixed in. At least tomorrow looks nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 Doesn't look like this will be a big deal for anyone in MD. GFS/NAM/HRRR pushing most snow accums into PA. Not even a lot of precip down this way. RAP and HRRR have both de-pummeled NE MD even. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kingstonian Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 Switched from plain rain to a mix while out walking the dog just now in Kingstowne. ETA: Lasted maybe 5 min Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 RAP and HRRR have both de-pummeled NE MD even. Someone please check on Ravens94. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 Picked up a quick dusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 had some decent graupel mixed in with the rain in that line moving through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 had some decent graupel mixed in with the rain in that line moving throughSame here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 Patch of blue sky out my front window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 Same here.Graupel, rain, and snow mix now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 Over 9" at Canaan valley wva in 2 days and snowing like crazy right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 haven't seen a drop of anything, here. shocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 LOL, looks like a blizzard outside right now, pouring snow and winds howling. I had 0.5 inch on ground at 7 am from what fell overnight, probably have doubled that in last 30 minutes. 31.8 degrees DP 28.8. EDIT- probably 1/8 mile visibility! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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