July 2026

[FPizz]

1.82 yesterday 

[SnoSki14]

5 hours ago, Keith Central PA said:

Weak sauce, dont expect a major hurricane with the ragging nino

Major hurricanes can still happen if conditions are right aka Andrew in 92. Models are more bullish with this now too. 

[TriPol]

5 hours ago, Keith Central PA said:

Weak sauce, dont expect a major hurricane with the ragging nino

Yeah but Texas does NOT need more rain

[donsutherland1]

A cooler regime, less smoky regime has settled into the region just in time for the World Cup final. The pleasant temperature regime will continue for an extended period of time. Highs will generally reach the upper 70s and lower 80s through the week into the start of the weekend.

Showers and thunderstorms are possible Tuesday night and Wednesday. Some areas could pick up heavy downpours.

The long-term outlook for the remainder of July has swung to near normal or even somewhat cooler than normal on the guidance.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.8°C for the week centered around July 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.52°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -27.15 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.800 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 55% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 77.0° (0.5° below normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.5° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[Stormlover74]

Lots of 50s for lows tomorrow morning

[lee59]

47 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

A cooler regime, less smoky regime has settled into the region just in time for the World Cup final. The pleasant temperature regime will continue for an extended period of time. Highs will generally reach the upper 70s and lower 80s through the week into the start of the weekend.

Showers and thunderstorms are possible Tuesday night and Wednesday. Some areas could pick up heavy downpours.

The long-term outlook for the remainder of July has swung to near normal or even somewhat cooler than normal on the guidance.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.8°C for the week centered around July 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.52°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -27.15 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.800 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 55% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 77.0° (0.5° below normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.5° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

Considering those 100 degree days, it is a little surprising the month may end up near normal.

[SACRUS]

Today's Highs: rain doing its part to keep the park overgrowth and cooler

ACY: 84
PHL: 84
New Brnswck: 83
LGA: 83
EWR: 82
BLM: 82
JFK: 82
TEB: 81
TTN: 80
ISP: 80

NYC: 79

[Poker2015]

4 hours ago, FPizz said:

1.82 yesterday 

Winner, only 1.05 here

[JerseyWx]

5 hours ago, NEG NAO said:

one of the few this summer so far IMO between the excessive long heat spells combined with high humidity and the recent smoke and flooding rains - this summer has not been that great if you enjoy spending time outdoors.........maybe we will get a longer stretch of comfortable nicer weather starting next Thursday..........

Honestly, I really don't think this summer has been that bad.  Yes I know I'm biased because this is my season, but when the heat hits we seem to get some relief after (today and tomorrow for example).  It's really been up and down.

We had a couple summers awhile back where the dewpoints were consistently high and just lingered throughout most of the season.  Someone could probably confirm, but I know at least one was pre-covid.  

[psv88]

81.5 today. 64 now. 

[SnoSki14]

48 minutes ago, JerseyWx said:

Honestly, I really don't think this summer has been that bad.  Yes I know I'm biased because this is my season, but when the heat hits we seem to get some relief after (today and tomorrow for example).  It's really been up and down.

We had a couple summers awhile back where the dewpoints were consistently high and just lingered throughout most of the season.  Someone could probably confirm, but I know at least one was pre-covid.  

We're top 5 warmest from june 1 through July 15 or half of met summer. The hot stretches have been record breaking and the smoke didn't help either. 

After a cooler spell in late July all signs point to a lot more record heat for early August. 

Humans are like goldfish when it comes to weather though 

[JerseyWx]

41 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

We're top 5 warmest from june 1 through July 15 or half of met summer. The hot stretches have been record breaking and the smoke didn't help either. 

After a cooler spell in late July all signs point to a lot more record heat for early August. 

Humans are like goldfish when it comes to weather though 

Right, my point is that when the heat shows up it hits hard, but it otherwise has been bearable.

After the heat broke on July 5th, I've only had 2 days that were 90+ and 2 days with a low of 70+.

[winterwx21]

46 minutes ago, JerseyWx said:

Right, my point is that when the heat shows up it hits hard, but it otherwise has been bearable.

After the heat broke on July 5th, I've only had 2 days that were 90+ and 2 days with a low of 70+.

Yeah July hasn't been bad other than that incredible heat wave to start the month. Pretty good that we're gonna end up with a near normal month despite that record early heat. I'm glad that we've gotten much more rain this month too. 

[doncat]

Upper 50's morning of July 20th not too bad.

[Snowlover11]

Beautiful outside. 57F

[Stormlover74]

Down to 56. Feels chilly out

[MJO812]

63 here

[ForestHillWx]

52 here; lovely morning. 

[rclab]

72 in my UHI blessed Brooklyn postage stamp as opposed to 64 at Central Park, probably due to natural air conditioning. As always …

 

[NEG NAO]

Seems like Upton is discounting the widespread regional flood threat for tomorrow and Wednesday. Thoughts ?

AFD from KOKX

[bluewave]

8 hours ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah July hasn't been bad other than that incredible heat wave to start the month. Pretty good that we're gonna end up with a near normal month despite that record early heat. I'm glad that we've gotten much more rain this month too. 

This will be a rare occasion that a dense smoke plume prevented 100°+ heat and higher departures. 

[FPizz]

13 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Lots of 50s for lows tomorrow morning

51 here

[FPizz]

11 hours ago, Poker2015 said:

Winner, only 1.05 here

Wow.  That is crazy only being maybe 3-4 miles away

[SACRUS]

74 / 54 gorgeous day today, low to mid 80s.    Front boundary pushes north tomorrow with southerly flow , humid , storms and chance for the next >1 inche of rain.  Im less enthused that we clear our or have such a nice Wednesday, i think the boundary / clouds / showers linger into Wed.  The period Thursday through the coming weekend looks great  - but still throw caution with the trough in place that systems and rain could materialize, but overall looking below normal through the 27th.  Beyond there moderation warmer and hot close and overall warmer - hot as western heat comes east.  

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 101 (1980)
NYC: 101 (1980)
LGA: 101 (1991)
JFK: 99 (2019)



Lows: 

EWR: 59 (1997)
NYC: 55 (1890)
LGA: 62 (1997)
JFK: 58 (1965)


Historical:

 

 

1915: A record high temperature of 115 degrees occurred in Yosemite Valley at the National Park Headquarters, California (around 4,000 feet elevation). This reading was the warmest day in a streak of 7 consecutive days of 110 degrees or higher at Yosemite Valley from the 19th through the 25th.

 

1921: Montana registered its record maximum 24 hour precipitation as 11.50 inches of rain fell at Circle. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

1930 - The temperature at Washington D.C. soared to an all-time record of 106 degrees. The next day Millsboro reached 110 degrees to set a record for the state of Delaware. July 1930 was one of the hottest and driest summers in the U.S., particularly in the Missouri Valley where severe drought conditions developed. Toward the end of the month state records were set for Kentucky with 114 degrees, and Mississippi with 115 degrees. (David Ludlum)

1934 - The temperature at Keokuk, IA, soared to 118 degrees to establish a state record. (The Weather Channel)

 

1946: The temperature at Medford, OR soared to an all-time high of 115° to begin a two week heat wave. During that Oregon heat wave the mercury hit 100° at Sexton Summit for the only time in 40 years of records.  (Extreme Weather p. 276, by Christopher C. Burt)

1953 - Twenty-two inches of hail reportedly fell northeast of Dickinson, ND. (The Weather Channel)

 

1975: Annandale, Fairfax County, VA 16 people were struck and injured while picnicking. (Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History)

 

1977: A flash flood hits Johnstown, Pennsylvania, on this day in 1977, killing 84 people and causing millions of dollars in damages. This flood came 88 years after the infamous Great Flood of 1889 that killed more than 2,000 people in Johnstown.

 

 

1986 - The temperature at Charleston, SC, hit 104 degrees for the second day in a row to tie their all-time record high. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather across Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 87 mph at Mosinee, WI, and strong thunderstorm winds capsized twenty-six boats on Grand Traverse Bay drowning two women. Thunderstorms produced nine inches of rain at Shakopee, MN, with 7.83 inches reported in six hours at Chaska, MN. Thunderstorms in north central Nebraska produced hail as large as golf balls in southwestern Cherry County, which accumulated to a depth of 12 inches. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - The temperature at Redding, CA, soared to an all-time record high of 118 degrees. Showers and thunderstorms produced much needed rains from New England to southern Texas. Salem, IN, was deluged with 7.2 inches of rain resulting in flash flooding. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Showers and thunderstorms in the Middle Atlantic Coast Region soaked Wilmington, DE, with 2.28 inches of rain, pushing their total for the period May through July past the previous record of 22.43 inches. Heavy rain over that three month period virtually wiped out a 16.82 inch deficit which had been building since drought conditions began in 1985. Thunderstorms in central Indiana deluged Lebanon with 6.50 inches of rain in twelve hours, and thunderstorms over Florida produced wind gusts to 84 mph at Flagler Beach. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)


1993: Heavy rains caused flash flooding in the Black Hills of South Dakota. 2.5 inches of rain fell within 30 minutes causing flash flooding in the Lead/Deadwood area and the northern Black Hills. The rapid runoff from the rains also caused numerous mudslides. The mudslides were as deep as three feet on area highways and even washed out a few roads. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1993: Seattle, WA recorded their record maximum temperature of 100 °F which was also recorded on June 9, 1955. (Extreme Weather p. 278, by Christopher C. Burt)

1994: Several separate lightning bolts struck Camp Pickett, VA injuring seven officers. Two suffered serious injuries and had to be resuscitated several times. Most of the men were injured while inside tents with metal poles. (Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History)

1997: 32.54 inches of rain fell at Dauphin Island Sea Lab during the slow passage of Hurricane Danny. This set Alabama’s record 24-hour maximum precipitation record. In total 36.74 inches of rain was dumped by Danny here, 26 inches of which fell in just 7 hours the previous day. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2003: A hailstorm (had ping-pong to baseball size) damaged most houses and vehicles on the east side of North Platte Nebraska; $7 million damage. A woman was struck on her head by a large hailstone in the Wal-Mart parking lot. She had to be taken to the hospital for stitches.
(Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2007 Accord Publishing, USA)

2005: Hurricane Emily made landfall in northern Mexico. When the central pressure fell to 29.43 inches of mercury, and its sustained winds reached 160 mph on the 16th, Emily became the strongest hurricane ever to form before August, breaking a record set by Hurricane Dennis just six days before. It was also the earliest Category 5 hurricane ever recorded in the Atlantic basin, beating Hurricane Allen's old record by nearly three weeks.

[SACRUS]

On 7/14/2026 at 9:42 PM, SACRUS said:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[SACRUS]

56 minutes ago, bluewave said:

This will be a rare occasion that a dense smoke plume prevented 100°+ heat and higher departures. 

Could be one of only a few where August had more 90 degree days than July and only in 2021 (since 2010) has Jun / Aug had more 90 degree days than July.  EWR at 6 currently

 

Year	July 90° Days	August 90° Days	Difference
2021	10	13	+3
2018	9	14	+5
2015	11	13	+2

 

 

Year	June	July	August
2021	13	10	13

[psv88]

57.5 this morning

[forkyfork]

9 hours ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah July hasn't been bad other than that incredible heat wave to start the month. Pretty good that we're gonna end up with a near normal month despite that record early heat. I'm glad that we've gotten much more rain this month too. 

all we need for an average spell in july is the strongest el nino in history

[WestBabylonWeather]

58.5 this morning. Perfect day. Glad I’m off heading to Long Beach boardwalk