TheSnowman Posted yesterday at 08:21 AM Share Posted yesterday at 08:21 AM Well, Let’s try This Again since it worked SO WELL LAST TIME! (even though you guys freaked out about me starting a thread) Yes, Once Again I’m off on a trip for gigs, this time in NYC, leaving Saturday, and coming back Tuesday. And you know what happens when TheSnowman goes away while Losing his mind for a storm? The Models Continue to show a Monster Possible Right in the muster of that time frame, with the possibility of a Sub-970mb Low And 24”-36”. The GFS, GEM, and UKIE are All on board as I type this. The EURO has a strangled storm currently OTS; is it Still the dreaded Dr. NO? Let’s track A Potentially TRUE, Historic, Snowstorm and Blizzard. Unlike that overrated SWFE you guys just had. 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted yesterday at 10:17 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:17 AM Cancelled 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted yesterday at 02:01 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:01 PM I will be paying careful attention to timing. I’m supposed to fly out from Logan for work at 6pm Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted yesterday at 02:01 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:01 PM 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Cancelled Maybe just a gravity wave that screws RI, but buries the rest? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted yesterday at 02:02 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:02 PM Threadworthy. A lot to discuss. Let’s see if the AIs lead the pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted yesterday at 02:19 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:19 PM He already porked WOR starting this, Lets see who else is screwed. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted yesterday at 02:34 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:34 PM This 06z mean is a bit of a reposition W compared to the prior 00z cycle. Along with the spread ( in particular) opening up with more members closer to the coast, does lean more ominous.. 06z EPS mean. Some deep members there and more of them pulling/morphing the pressure pattern w-nw tends to flag where the correction wants to go, an aspect that has been noted when using ens means prior to other events in storm climo 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted yesterday at 02:50 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:50 PM 48 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: I will be paying careful attention to timing. I’m supposed to fly out from Logan for work at 6pm Sunday. I'm flying in from ORD at 2130 and would like to get in before all the flights are canceled if this verifies. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted yesterday at 02:54 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:54 PM So reminiscent. Like a favorite song. I recall the D6 MRF ensemble mean in the days before Apr 1997 looked just exactly like that, having those members along with uncertainty pulling W. Just looking at this and I’m taken back in time. … God I need to get laid 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted yesterday at 02:54 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:54 PM LFG!! 12z runs up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted yesterday at 02:58 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:58 PM 8 minutes ago, ariof said: I'm flying in from ORD at 2130 and would like to get in before all the flights are canceled if this verifies. I think by the year 2130 airline flighting will have long become an outmoded method for transportation. Go ahead and schedule the time away … Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted yesterday at 03:23 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:23 PM ICON going wild just to the south at hr132.. lets see if it shunts east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted yesterday at 03:26 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:26 PM ICON a moderate hit.. would like to see this 75 miles north or so.. but a ways out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted yesterday at 03:28 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:28 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted yesterday at 03:36 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:36 PM Das Bier ist gut, oder? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted yesterday at 03:56 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:56 PM 32 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: ICON a moderate hit.. would like to see this 75 miles north or so.. but a ways out Not sure why I'm giving this particular model, at this kind of lead range, this much attention and energy but ... for shits and giggles, this run is actually deeper and arguable a tick or two closer than the 12z run yesterday, which delivered monster snow totals. This one just out at 12z this morning ... the only difference is that it is loading about half the QPF totals. It almost smacks like whatever physics it uses, swaps out QPF mechanics for kinetic/cyclone power - and vice versa... It's probably just internal physical idiosyncratic handling between those to particular runs. Why the 00z was completely in a wholesale different universe and not a part of the conversation, altogether is beyond me - but I'm not an ICON specialist by any means... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted yesterday at 04:00 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:00 PM ICON LBSW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted yesterday at 04:01 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:01 PM Need to weaken the confluence to the north of here on these next two 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted yesterday at 04:04 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 04:04 PM 2 hours ago, NorEastermass128 said: Maybe just a gravity wave that screws RI, but buries the rest? Wouldn’t be Surprised. I’ll say it again and again; 4 TIMES this winter, people got more snow East And West And North And South of Me. Impossible. But here we are. Last time was the Mini-Fujiwawa a week ago. 12z: And for 7 Runs In A Row in the GFS, There it Is! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted yesterday at 04:08 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:08 PM Lock that icon run now. Unfortunately we in WCT know how these eventually go…later phase/stall that crushes EOR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted yesterday at 04:09 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:09 PM GFS trying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted yesterday at 04:09 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:09 PM That’s a bomb on gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted yesterday at 04:10 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:10 PM Just now, CoastalWx said: That’s a bomb on gfs What a storm. Let's bring that about 50 miles northwest. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted yesterday at 04:11 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:11 PM 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That’s a bomb on gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted yesterday at 04:12 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:12 PM Just now, CT Rain said: What a storm. Let's bring that about 50 miles northwest. would probably have a death band further north with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted yesterday at 04:13 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:13 PM 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That’s a bomb on gfs Tblizz grabbing a 20 burger after declaring winter over last week. 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted yesterday at 04:13 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:13 PM 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That’s a bomb on gfs Congrats on another 2fter this season… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted yesterday at 04:13 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 04:13 PM Bombs out over Mid-Atlantic and the Fish but the fact it’s still showing a SUB-970 Bomb run after run is so encouraging. Even with it out to Sea, it drops 15-20 hahaha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted yesterday at 04:14 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:14 PM The sublime expectation of happiness that is happiness itself. Just kidding, it's got to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted yesterday at 04:16 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:16 PM Just now, ORH_wxman said: Tblizz grabbing a 20 burger after declaring winter over last week. Classic. It's looking like this one has legs. Those changes out west may be subtle but they've increased the explosive potential. Possible winter weather events Wednesday, Friday, and a nuke Sun/Mon? Busy busy week ahead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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