ct_yankee

The cell clearly cycled a few times, not surprised there were multiple reports. Would love to know what happened out in the Sound, though. That supercell looked even better on radar... Guess we'll never know, unless someone on a boat got in a really lucky shot.

Radar tightened up on the RI cell, may be about to do something again - if indeed it already produced.

It was riding a fine-line boundary of some kind when it was at its best, either outflow from earlier convection or seabreeze of some kind, barely discernable on super res radar.

The cell in the Sound looks incredible now, might even be producing. Would there be a CC drop over water? Never thought to ask about that before...

Some, yeah, probably mid-level, the cell is pretty far from the radar(s). That cell in LI Sound south of New Haven also showing signs of some rotation. Edit: the cell south of me just got a waterspout warning

Agreed, but when I looked about an hour ago almost none of the models were showing the activity making it very deep into CT - which is why they only have the watch to about Bridgeport. But of course even the best models are sometimes wrong, so we will see. It does look impressive now, tho.

What a waste of decent ML lapse rates, you just don't see 7 or greater over CT very often in the summer. The few soundings I looked had a hint of an EML, which explains the LRs but it was completely wasted without any strong forcing and with mediocre dews, and shear wasn't great either... When oh when will Southern CT get another genuine severe day? Don't answer that, I'm well aware of expectations, the question was merely rhetorical.

Have never seen high 70sdews offshore in July before. That's gotta count for something.

Didn't even get much rain in Hvn, let alone lightning, we were about the only remaining area with instability and LL shear unaffected by outflow but as expected, not even a storm really. From what I looked at last night the next one on Sat had more potential, but no doubt that will fail too. Stoopid hot and humid though, didn't even wanna walk to my car for the chase, if one was to had. Sigh...

Agreed. Was not expecting much of anything ahead of the line/CF but those are some nice little cells.

This storm's entire life has been filled with weirdness, mesocyclonically speaking. The cell splitting in two and then having the two mesos dance the Fujiwara before actually recombining back to a single cell is just par for the course, and also totally insane. Watched the whole development on radar from far far away, unfortunately... But what a storm - simply amazing evolution.

Also for tomorrow SNE tor risk has been upgraded:

One big hatched area now... That's a huge area for a 15% hatched tor risk. .

This is the way.

Been watching this one for a few days, the GFS has been relatively consistent with a potential severe event... In fact I almost asked about Saturday in the other thread, but thankfully controlled that impulse. I mean sure the numbers look good, at the moment - or at least they still did last night when I looked at it in detail. But it's Southern New England (sigh), and I've learned the hard way never to get my hopes up. But yeah, by all means lets start a thread and watch what happens. It couldn't hurt... Could it?