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12/2 Cold Rain and High Elevation Snow


WxUSAF
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Looked at everything last night and decided not to head north for snow. Went to get car serviced instead. Was a nasty, raw morning here in the lowlands. Still getting a cold 39° rain here. We needed it, so I’ll take it. 
 

Sad to see the WAA win out, but that’s the sad truth about these types of setups. If the high is moving out and the antecedent airmass is marginal, probably should hedge on the lower end. This setup in January probably yields one heck of a mess, but the northern tier gets slammed. Till next time! 

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2 hours ago, wxmeddler said:

12:24z BWI
image.png.646199c6c50542463dbc1c111ae1f2f2.png
12:09z DCA:

image.png.8ff1fe114f545499b873b2abc6feaf17.png

12Z LWX (Balloon):
image.png.e6b8d308624ac94e9e1c273be3d071a2.png

Thanks! Unfortunately the warm nose at 800 was well modeled and deep enough to fully melt the dendrites which explains the lack of sleet even in the immediate NW suburbs.
 

Any thoughts on if this would’ve worked had it been Jan 2nd rather than Dec2nd? My hunch is this exact storm evolution wouldn’t have worked in the DC metro even in prime climo  

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