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October Discobs 2025


George BM
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19 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Couple of very, very early thoughts as we continue to slide through autumn:

1.) Seems like the Euro OP midrange QPF bias beyond HR 150 is real. 

2.) Long range warm ups may be head fakes. Also, as @mitchnick has observed it's good to see a persistent trough over Japan. 

3.) I have no expectations that we're going to see some SECS or HECS this winter, but man it'd be nice to get a forum wide 6" - 10" event.

This pattern would translate to a brutally cold, wall to wall winter.  Unfortunately, we’re kinda due for it.  Gotta get the outdoor activities in while I can.

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URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1219 PM EDT Fri Oct 24 2025

MDZ004>006-503-505-507-VAZ055-056-505-506-526-527-250030-
/O.NEW.KLWX.FZ.W.0006.251025T0600Z-251025T1300Z/
Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Northwest Montgomery-
Northwest Howard-Northwest Harford-Stafford-Spotsylvania-Western
Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William-Central and
Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-
1219 PM EDT Fri Oct 24 2025

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures in the upper 20s to lower 30s.

* WHERE...Portions of central, north central, and northern Maryland
  and central and northern Virginia.

* WHEN...From 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor
  plumbing.
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URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1219 PM EDT Fri Oct 24 2025

DCZ001-MDZ008-011-013-014-016>018-504-506-508-VAZ053-054-057-250030-
/O.NEW.KLWX.FR.Y.0013.251025T0600Z-251025T1300Z/
District of Columbia-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne
Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Central and Southeast
Montgomery-Central and Southeast Howard-Southeast Harford-Fairfax-
Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-King George-
1219 PM EDT Fri Oct 24 2025

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Temperatures as low as 33 will result in frost formation.

* WHERE...Portions of DC, central, northeast, northern, and southern
  Maryland, and central and northern Virginia.

* WHEN...From 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive
  outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Biggest impacts will be outside of city
  centers, as well as areas further inland from the shores of the
  Chesapeake Bay and Potomac River.
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Hit 32.0 exactly this morning for the first time... today has this raw winter post-FROPA kinda look to it, with gusty winds and the lower sun angle (and shorter days) casting plenty of cloud shadows and making them seem darker in the process. 
 

Definitely one of those afternoons where you can tell it'll be cold tonight! Freeze warning for all of Loudoun.. I'm usually about 3-5 degrees cooler than forecast so we'll see. 

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1 hour ago, 87storms said:

This pattern would translate to a brutally cold, wall to wall winter.  Unfortunately, we’re kinda due for it.  Gotta get the outdoor activities in while I can.

Due for it?! I got down to -2.4 degrees last year in Northern VA!  We had some brutally cold stretches last year (with absolutely ZERO precip.) Actually, wasn't that most of last winter? lol

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59 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

New around here? We'll be back in 70's by Thanksgiving lol

Eh, I'm not sold on that yet. If we get a cold December then I think you're on to something, but we seem to have this post Thanksgiving / early December torch every year the resets things.

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