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February Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowmagnet
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I was busy at a work meeting at Crooked Crab Brewing. What did I miss. Everything fall apart? GFS collapse? ICON sucks? Euro blows chunks? The Canuck model is trash? Where’s the JMA? CRAS? Panasonic? Samsung? Sony? Speaking of trash… @stormtrackertrashed in Mexico?! Imma go with damn right he is!! Anyway—pick a GD model and ride that shit hard! Oh. And happy Wednesday! Cheers? Cut me the F off. :lol: Bu-bye.

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5 minutes ago, Scraff said:

I was busy at a work meeting at Crooked Crab Brewing. What did I miss. Everything fall apart? GFS collapse? ICON sucks? Euro blows chunks? The Canuck model is trash? Where’s the JMA? CRAS? Panasonic? Samsung? Sony? Speaking of trash… @stormtrackertrashed in Mexico?! Imma go with damn right he is!! Anyway—pick a GD model and ride that shit hard! Oh. And happy Wednesday! Cheers? Cut me the F off. :lol: Bu-bye.

 Call an Uber.  

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51 minutes ago, 87storms said:

i think another point about this system is how much of it will stick after a week in the 50s.  i know it can if temps fall quick enough, but it's another variable working against us here.  i've been looking at the gfs periodically and was trying to figure out how it's even getting that stripe of snow.  i guess it's due to mid level forcing because the surface low is ots.

Right now the timing is still decent with the CAA pre-storm. The PBL improves on approach, which should keep the event either as straight snow, or a touch of rain before changing to snow. The ground temps will cool as snowfall chills the surface with elevated surfaces and grassy areas first to go. It's a standard event, and with it being overnight Sat into Sunday AM, impacts should be pretty low. More of a stats padder by the looks of it. I haven't dug too deep into the event since I've been working and have projects I've been working on for a spring conference, but from what I've seen, its a borderline event with WWA potential for portions of the sub. I don't foresee this changing to something more significant. Missing a prominent southern stream influence to get it to more SECS territory. 

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36 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Right now the timing is still decent with the CAA pre-storm. The PBL improves on approach, which should keep the event either as straight snow, or a touch of rain before changing to snow. The ground temps will cool as snowfall chills the surface with elevated surfaces and grassy areas first to go. It's a standard event, and with it being overnight Sat into Sunday AM, impacts should be pretty low. More of a stats padder by the looks of it. I haven't dug too deep into the event since I've been working and have projects I've been working on for a spring conference, but from what I've seen, its a borderline event with WWA potential for portions of the sub. I don't foresee this changing to something more significant. Missing a prominent southern stream influence to get it to more SECS territory. 

interesting.  usually there's a defined shorthwave or surface low, but this one just kinda pops precip from the 700 layer it seems (i'm not knowledgeable enough to know exactly).  i'll have to look into the details/caa more.

also, after i posted i checked out some of the other models (icon/cmc) and was expecting a whiff, but it looked decent lol.  maybe most people are just ready for a  secs/mecs at this point, but i'm good with a stats padder.

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1 hour ago, Scraff said:

I was busy at a work meeting at Crooked Crab Brewing. What did I miss. Everything fall apart? GFS collapse? ICON sucks? Euro blows chunks? The Canuck model is trash? Where’s the JMA? CRAS? Panasonic? Samsung? Sony? Speaking of trash… @stormtrackertrashed in Mexico?! Imma go with damn right he is!! Anyway—pick a GD model and ride that shit hard! Oh. And happy Wednesday! Cheers? Cut me the F off. :lol: Bu-bye.

I’m destroyed more than y’all will be. Muhahahahah. Burp 

7F243EFB-860B-4A2E-B4E8-975DCD4A1833.jpeg

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1 hour ago, 87storms said:

i think another point about this system is how much of it will stick after a week in the 50s.  i know it can if temps fall quick enough, but it's another variable working against us here.  i've been looking at the gfs periodically and was trying to figure out how it's even getting that stripe of snow.  i guess it's due to mid level forcing because the surface low is ots.

Well let me tell you about the 14.5”.of non sticking storm Jan 3 after all warm December. I literally wore shorts on Sunday and had long johns on Monday.   It can happen will it ? Mother Nature knows. .

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1 minute ago, wtkidz said:

Well let me tell you about the 14.5”.of non sticking storm Jan 3 after all warm December. I literally wore shorts on Sunday and had long johns on Monday.   It can happen will it ? Mother Nature knows. .

I just had this argument with my husband. He said there is no way to expect anything to stitch. He apparently blocked out the 50’s and 60’s that we had for a couple of weeks before January 3rd.  

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1 hour ago, Scraff said:

I was busy at a work meeting at Crooked Crab Brewing. What did I miss. Everything fall apart? GFS collapse? ICON sucks? Euro blows chunks? The Canuck model is trash? Where’s the JMA? CRAS? Panasonic? Samsung? Sony? Speaking of trash… @stormtrackertrashed in Mexico?! Imma go with damn right he is!! Anyway—pick a GD model and ride that shit hard! Oh. And happy Wednesday! Cheers? Cut me the F off. :lol: Bu-bye.

I  now wasted 42 seconds of my life reading this and it is my own @#{:;}( fault.

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