WinterWolf Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 11 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Delwer's weather was not boring. Growing up had many big snowstorms, some brushes with hurricanes, a few tornadoes. A great place to grow up, although I was happy to leave. Well see …that’s my point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 30 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: Last Feb North NJ got nearly 40 inches. Not even a year ago, much less ‘years’ ago. I am sure most everyone in this forum would sign the dotted line for that all day long. Very good winter there overall. 40 inches would be my worst winter ever since posting on these forums in 2004-2005. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 40 inches would be my worst winter ever since posting on these forums in 2004-2005. He said in Feb alone which was incredible for all of that area. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 There are some solid hits on the GEFS for Sunday PM/Monday AM. Several 6"+ ... The mean is like 1-3" across all of SNE.. Interesting.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: There are some solid hits on the GEFS for Sunday PM/Monday AM. Several 6"+ ... The mean is like 1-3" across all of SNE.. Interesting.. 40-50% chance of 24 hour snows of 1"+ and 20-30% chance of 3"+ ... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: He said in Feb alone which was incredible for all of that area. Oh yeah I missed that part. Yeah, 40” in a month is pretty sweet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Sometimes I envy Raleigh NC. Springs are awesome and great thunderstorms. Hell when they are in for 1 to 3 inches of snow its like winning the lottery and appreciated way more. For snowfall of course we score more than areas south of us, but it should be looked at at % of normal vs. total when comparing, also the trade off of way better springs than here. We all have weather we can be proud of. Man do we need a good snowstorm to look forward to. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 17 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: There are some solid hits on the GEFS for Sunday PM/Monday AM. Several 6"+ ... The mean is like 1-3" across all of SNE.. Interesting.. What’s that? The anafraudal deal? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said: What’s that? The anafraudal deal? Yes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 1 hour ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said: That’s awesome man. I stole it from Ray 40/70 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 11 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I stole it from Ray 40/70 Ah yes, the original author of the Fraud Five. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Euro is interesting at 90 hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: 40 inches would be my worst winter ever since posting on these forums in 2004-2005. 40 inches in one month. Edit saw Ginxy’s post... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 24 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro is interesting at 90 hours Actually is pretty interesting for what would eventually be the Sunday PM deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 24 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro is interesting at 90 hours lock it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: Actually is pretty interesting for what would eventually be the Sunday PM deal. Good… another model that will eventually jump off the fraud ship. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Euro is interesting at 90 hoursSlim chance, but not zero for some snow if the southern stream can speed up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 31 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro is interesting at 90 hours Euro USED to look interesting at 90.... now even 72 hours is a stretch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 That trough on the 18z Euro is still positive at hr 90. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Key is to watch the srn s/w. The gfs really beefs that up. Otherwise it’s not going to get much done if it can’t tilt and is fighting with the s/w to its north that won’t allow it to buckle the height field. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: That trough on the 18z Euro is still positive at hr 90. Just looks like it’s holding back some more compared to 12z which hopefully would allow for a more GFS like solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: Just looks like it’s holding back some more compared to 12z which hopefully would allow for a more GFS like solution Euro likes to hold back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Your going to be fighting a marginal air mass as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Looking at the long range, if we eventually make the flip from a -PNA/NAO pattern to a +PNA/NAO pattern, we have 4 potential Archambault chances, with the both the Pacific and Atlantic changing? With all that cold to our west, we'll see something significant in the next 20 days, I'm sure of it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 taking a macroscale view and letting what comes come, assured that we'll eventually get the goods, is far easier on the ole' limbic system 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 I recall a few times this year when the GFS wrapped up a southern stream wave and produced backside snow in the medium range when most other guidance did not. In every case, the northern stream ended up being too fast and the southern stream vortmax never made it to the downstream side of the longwave trof. The result was a positive tilted trof, squashed southern stream wave, and a frontal passage. Nobody trusts the GFS showing snow with this and probably for good reason. But there's just enough support from the EC, UK, previous CMC runs, ensembles, and even the ICON to completely dismiss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 1 hour ago, Henry's Weather said: taking a macroscale view and letting what comes come, assured that we'll eventually get the goods, is far easier on the ole' limbic system Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 You know you guys … it’s not as far fetched as we think that ice and/or mix could creep toward S VT/NH over the 1st .. 2nd - talking just prior to the ANA/frontal wave the GFS is pimping. some guidance hitting again at weightier high pressure setting up and with that type of flat open characteristic of the overall … if cold gets underneath it would be back built …. We’re not there yet but there’s both hints and time 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: You know you guys … it’s not as far fetched as we think that ice and/or mix could creep toward S VT/NH over the 1st .. 2nd - talking just prior to the ANA/frontal wave the GFS is pimping. some guidance hitting again at weightier high pressure setting up and with that type of flat open characteristic of the overall … if cold gets underneath it would be back built …. We’re not there yet but there’s both hints and time This has been the trend today, IMO. GFS has been getting pretty close to mix storm here if not an outright snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 As a long time weenie, I would just say don’t get sucked into the analfrontal deals 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now