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September Discobs 2021


George BM
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7 minutes ago, jonjon said:

Yep, very frosty this morning.  Looked like snow on the ground in some places.

Wow!  Is that early for Canaan? 

I need to go back to the last five years of having a place at Deep Creek to see the average first freeze on the weather station data but I'd guess its probably early October there.

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1 hour ago, nj2va said:

Wow!  Is that early for Canaan? 

I need to go back to the last five years of having a place at Deep Creek to see the average first freeze on the weather station data but I'd guess its probably early October there.

Just guessing but I'd speculate mid September is average first frost, so its definitely early.

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2 hours ago, MN Transplant said:

I’m guessing there are no new posts on this forum since everyone is outside.  

Damn right. Did a ton of yard work we’ve been ignoring. After all the rain the weeds came up pretty easily 

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Odds of wetter increased by Mount Holly. 

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
105 PM EDT Sun Sep 5 2021
The next perturbation moves into the region tonight and appears to
be positioned slightly south of the first one. Guidance has trended
wetter with this vort max, as it appears to be interacting a little
more favorably with the larger-scale trough moving into the Lakes
Erie/Ontario region by 12z Monday versus what models have been
depicting in previous runs. The GFS/CMC and most of the higher-
resolution guidance are signaling for precipitation to break out in
a band near/south of the I-76 corridor this evening into the
overnight hours, with the CMC and some of the hi-res guidance
indicating a quarter to half inch of rainfall possible in this axis.
This is noticeably higher than recent guidance, and even the 00z
ECMWF has become a little more bullish (though hardly "aggressive").
Given this distinct trend, did bump PoPs southeast of the I-95
corridor during the tonight period, but kept them fairly modest for
now pending later guidance.
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10 minutes ago, H2O said:

Gonna be warm today. Barely in the yellow for severe so I’ll do an early EJ and go meh

 

 *Checks sky for clouds*

Indeed. I'm thinking of mowing the back lawn before potential storms move in later. But if I do that, then the mere act of mowing will likely ruin the chance for the development of those potential storms later (for those that might be anticipating them). Stuck in a decision loop.

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31 minutes ago, vastateofmind said:

Indeed. I'm thinking of mowing the back lawn before potential storms move in later. But if I do that, then the mere act of mowing will likely ruin the chance for the development of those potential storms later (for those that might be anticipating them). Stuck in a decision loop.

I got all my grass done yesterday.  I could wash the car and that would cancel out your grass cutting.

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1 hour ago, H2O said:

I got all my grass done yesterday.  I could wash the car and that would cancel out your grass cutting.

Luckily when #2 went to college 2 weeks ago, #3 (my 16 y/o daughter) picked up the mowing job.  All she wanted in return is Michael's gift cards.  :-)

 

If I watered the flowers this AM, does that cancel out  washing the car? 

 

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  • George BM changed the title to September Discobs 2021
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