high risk Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 22 minutes ago, yoda said: For isolated damaging wind gusts or isolated tornado? more for damaging wind, as wind profiles are strong but somewhat unidirectional. Still, there is perhaps enough low-level backing of winds closer to the sfc flow to make it so that an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. Instability is limited (which prevents a more robust threat), but low-level lapse rates will be good. Forecasts like these intrigue me..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Woke up to only find less an inch in the tank. My sump pump and back yard lake appreciate it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 14 hours ago, yoda said: @Eskimo Joe Sounds good... LWX in their AFD mentioned a chance as well Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 At 6:51 am, Baltimore's storm total rainfall reached 1.18". That brought Baltimore's annual precipitation to 70.00", which further extends Baltimore's annual precipitation record. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Man those clouds are zooming by up here in Germantown. If I didn’t know any better I’d say I was in a big thunderstorm that was about to get here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Lost power over night for a little bit, I'm guessing a tree fell or something somewhere. 1.45" so far, bringing me to 76.15" for the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 I think IAD still needs another 0.78" to break the yearly record (someone can correct me if that's wrong). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 For once, this rain underperformed at my house. Only received .63 thru 9am. Unless I luck into a gullywasher, Its going to bust low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 About .6" from this so far, and partly sunny skies here this morning. For once, it's nice to live in Bustville. Temps stayed in the 30s and low 40s all night and we've had no wind to speak of. Quite pleased to have missed 2" of rain, storms, and gusty winds. Sounds like this storm busted, in general, for the region. Hopefully, that continues today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 .92" so far.... currently at 991mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 This is one of those set ups where we tend to change over to snow earlier than progged. I'm guessing we change to snow later this afternoon and pick up 6-8" overnight into tomorrow. We'll see. Good to at least be pretty assured of a White Christmas after the last couple of crappy weeks! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 1.2" here. Hope this is it, although it would be kinda cool to get a little thunder later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 10 hours ago, high risk said: Seems like a pretty good shot that northern VA, eastern WV, western MD, and south-central PA will get a MRGL risk for severe Friday, with an outside chance of an eventual SLGT. So, no MRGL yet, although based on SPC's Day 1 outlook, they almost pulled the trigger on it. Still think that there is a window for some interesting cells, especially west and northwest of DC during the mid and late afternoon hours, although the forcing mechanism is admittedly unclear. Most guidance also has a forced line of heavy showers along the cold front during the late evening, but the wind fields will have largely relaxed by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 11 hours ago, Roger Smith said: On the 1980 analogy, it wasn't really meant as a full winter analogue, I just remembered this similar heavy rain producing low without snow in the circulation, then that's what followed. Oddly enough...I looked up BWI's precipitation records for December 1979 and we had less than an inch total! So maybe the bulk of that storm skipped over Baltimore/Maryland, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Oddly enough...I looked up BWI's precipitation records for December 1979 and we had less than an inch total! So maybe the bulk of that storm skipped over Baltimore/Maryland, lol Judging by some of your recent posts, if you had been around for the majority of the winters in these parts in the 70's, you would have been institutionalized. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 5 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Judging by some of your recent posts, if you had been around for the majority of the winters in these parts in the 70's, you would have been institutionalized. Oh look...another bait! I'm past yesterday (andthe days prior)...new day. I hope folks can just let it go and not make me pay for it the rest of the season. (And for the record, I would've been just fine...likely the hardening would have been quicker with that snow drought! But...I think 77-78 and 78-79 must have been all the more sweet after all that!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Oh look...another bait! I'm past yesterday...new day. I hope folks can just let it go. (And for the record, I would've been just fine...likely the hardening would have been quicker with that snow drought! But...I think 77-78 and 78-79 must have been all the more sweet after all that!) The blizzard of 79 is still my favorite snowstorm. Under-forecasted and incredibly heavy snow rates. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 23 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Oh look...another bait! I'm past yesterday (andthe days prior)...new day. I hope folks can just let it go and not make me pay for it the rest of the season. (And for the record, I would've been just fine...likely the hardening would have been quicker with that snow drought! But...I think 77-78 and 78-79 must have been all the more sweet after all that!) I know I sure appreciated those two winters after the disaster winters prior. Actually you could back it up a year to 76-77 which was a special winter in its own right with sustained bitter cold and snowy landscape that endured for a good month or more. But I finally got my snow fix with the Feb. '78 blizzard, it was more like a mini-blizzard in Baltimore (where I lived). Baltimore got some intense wrap around bands from that primarily New England storm. It snowed hard for 5-6 hours on strong northerly winds that gusted approx. 45-50 mph. Dropped a good foot of snow on most of Baltimore and the winds created drifts I hadn't seen since the big blizzard of '66. Then of course the monumental February of '79 was great with the sustained cold, two heavy snowfalls each around 6" followed by the big dog PD1 (snow on snow). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Brace yourselves.. it's called El Nino Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Really weird radar feature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted December 21, 2018 Author Share Posted December 21, 2018 14 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Really weird radar feature. My guess would be something called "chaff"? If that's how you spell it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 It's like 200 degrees out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 40 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Really weird radar feature. I believe you call that the zombie claw...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 57 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: It's like 200 degrees out Or 300 degrees. It’s frickin hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 I turned the AC on in my car today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 63 with a sun shower. Is it April? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 MD issued - basically no chance of a watch, but we do have some "moderately interesting" convection approaching.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Big downpour in that enhanced area through Fairfax and Prince William. Blue skies on either side. Pretty cool 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Holy crap, I heard thunder and it was awesome! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 3 hours ago, Sparky said: I know I sure appreciated those two winters after the disaster winters prior. Actually you could back it up a year to 76-77 which was a special winter in its own right with sustained bitter cold and snowy landscape that endured for a good month or more. But I finally got my snow fix with the Feb. '78 blizzard, it was more like a mini-blizzard in Baltimore (where I lived). Baltimore got some intense wrap around bands from that primarily New England storm. It snowed hard for 5-6 hours on strong northerly winds that gusted approx. 45-50 mph. Dropped a good foot of snow on most of Baltimore and the winds created drifts I hadn't seen since the big blizzard of '66. Then of course the monumental February of '79 was great with the sustained cold, two heavy snowfalls each around 6" followed by the big dog PD1 (snow on snow). You should have been in the mid-west in '78, which was ground zero for that blizzard. Was a truly magnificent display of what mother nature can muster. Was a teenager in HS and will never forget it. The flash freeze from 40's to teens in a few hours, the wind and white out conditions stick out the most. Oh my that wind. Remember waking up for school and thinking to myself what the heck is that noise? Our mom told us what was going on and that all the first responders were assembling at the firehouse (that's where people go in a small mid-west town of 5500 when stuff happens). My dad helped deliver multiple babies in that 48 hours in very challenging conditions (he was one of the first paramedics in Ohio). Massive power outages, drifts that closed roads for weeks until the snowblowers from Dayton Aiport and WPAFB came out to do their thing. National guard deployed to help evacuate people and assist in getting food to stranded livestock. Grocery stores running out of food. It was epic and within only a couple of days from being cataclysmic when the food ran out. They got the roads open just in time. People start to do dire things when they are hungry. Never forget it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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